clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 18Z ICON still decent for DC and north. But it did tick north a little bit. Writing seems to be on the wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 3 minutes ago, paulythegun said: 18z RGEM is a little dryer but still lots of light snow for dc and points north. Philly jackput with the inverted trough. https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html I saw it, its bleeding the wrong way also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 15 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: His analogs are accurate too, it just doesn’t happen for us with these types of systems. You have to use your buffer, we probably peaked on this 24 hours early. Definitely can't argue with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Icon isn’t too bad. Prediction is we hit rock bottom with the 18z gfs, but then the trend north stops and 0z moistens a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 There is still a chance we hold onto a minor event here, I am not 100% sold it continues to slide away to NOTHING...but I certainly would be prepared for that result emotionally, even up here, given where we are now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 @Deck Pic, your turn soon. I have faith in you. Bring us home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 There is still a chance we hold onto a minor event here, I am not 100% sold it continues to slide away to NOTHING...but I certainly would be prepared for that result emotionally, even up here, given where we are now. We more often that not go from something to nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keviepoo Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Once again... I am willing it to snow... ok... everyone can relax now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 36 hours is a lot of time for sufficient ticks south and wetter. How many ticks we got left? bout 5? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 43 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: This one might be unsalvageable If it shows same tomorrow at noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 I guess accuweather uses the graf….it updated to 3-6 for Haymarket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 36 hours is a lot of time for sufficient ticks south and wetter. How many ticks we got left? bout 5?South and wetter are things we dont do here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 27 minutes ago, notvirga! said: Graf model still on board https://x.com/miketfox5/status/1747719656025075846?s=46 i think stefi graf is more reliable 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: I guess accuweather uses the graf….it updated to 3-6 for Haymarket They have 1-3 for Montclair. I’d sign right now for that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, SnowGolfBro said: They have 1-3 for Montclair. I’d sign right now for that lol Yep, no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Yep, no doubt Unless of course things turn around at 0z, then i want more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 40 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Go ahead. And do pbp for the GFS...gym day. 0z really will be telling Starting the PBP, the -72 hr 500mb vorticity on the 18z matches the -66 hr 500mb vorticity on the 12z. We're off to a good start! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 You guys are putting way too much time into a NS dominant system. Do yourself a favor and prepare for nothing and hope for more than that. I don’t waste my time with those evolutions in the Mid Atlantic. We aren’t New England. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1-3 inches on top of what we got already this week is a win in my book. Expectations are always important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1 hour ago, Deck Pic said: This one might be unsalvageable Randy gave you the go ahead. Fire it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Gfs looks basically the same. Light Snow from 7am to 1 or so. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, Imgoinhungry said: Gfs looks basically the same. Light Snow from 7am to 1 or so. . 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1-2 inchesIll take it and that has been my expectation. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1 minute ago, Imgoinhungry said: Ill take it and that has been my expectation. . Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, paulythegun said: South trend is starting! 0z will be rocking 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 QPF is pretty light on the GFS, 1-3" across the area. However, and I would say this is mildly important...the S/W at h5 passed slightly south-er of the 12z run. And I'm 100% sure of that lol, no takebacks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: South trend is starting! 0z will be rocking We abscond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 We had good trends but we peaked too soon yesterday. however, my 0% scientific opinion says at 0z we actually see this come back our way a bit. I said that last week and that was the start of our comeback. Trying to replicate all the variables. Now all we need is the 2nd thread after the cancel and a 3rd to bring it back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 I haven't tried one of these in a while. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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