DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I think you should create the 2nd thread for this event Yeah let’s do a second thread. I bet she juices up starting at 0z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Can we start a new thread to turn this around....we are going the wrong way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 i mean ive seen worse runs...having 10-12 hours of straight flurries isnt the worst friday 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, GATECH said: Can we start a new thread to turn this around....we are going the wrong way. i would do it at 00z as 18z will probably be a disaster 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 An upper level disturbance will push in behind a cold front Thursday night into Friday and the two will bring a sufficient opportunity for more accumulating snowfall later Thursday night and into the early half of the day on Friday. Most of the snow accumulation will take place Friday during the morning with only the higher elevations seeing any accumulation before 12Z Friday. All areas have an opportunity to see snow accumulation. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Why is everyone being so negative!?!. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: An upper level disturbance will push in behind a cold front Thursday night into Friday and the two will bring a sufficient opportunity for more accumulating snowfall later Thursday night and into the early half of the day on Friday. Most of the snow accumulation will take place Friday during the morning with only the higher elevations seeing any accumulation before 12Z Friday. All areas have an opportunity to see snow accumulation. When was this written ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, MD Snow said: Why is everyone being so negative!?! . because every event now is suppose to be ticking up....we suddenly became a snowtown after a 3-5 inch blizzard 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdood Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 The last storm ended up running so dry everyone bailed pretty much. Then it came back. Still time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Solution Man said: When was this written ? 2 nights ago lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: When was this written ? 10:12 am is the timestamp on the discussion, but maybe that part is from last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, Ji said: i would do it at 00z as 18z will probably be a disaster He’s right, we need new data to go with the new thread. 18z usually doesn’t turn us around if 12z sucked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Yeah, I'd say 0z tonight will probably set the mark since the event begins like 24 hours after that. I get the concern, but nobody should be bailing yet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: He’s right, we need new data to go with the new thread. 18z usually doesn’t turn us around if 12z sucked Think this is a myth but I choose not to believe that either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 9 minutes ago, osfan24 said: This "event" happens mostly during the day, too, so rates are going to be important or it's just gonna be wasted qpf anyway. The good news is the ground is frozen. Something were not used to in these parts lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Chris78 said: The good news is the ground is frozen. Something were not used to in these parts lol. Also sun angle doesn't really kick in until about 10 or 11 am, if we get a few hours of snow before that it'll look and feel wintry again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Models will moisten up this evening. We got this....I hope 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Solution Man said: Models will moisten up this evening. We got this....I hope something has to NAM us right? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Ji said: something has to NAM us right? That's the spirit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Maybe 0z sets the table but meal arrives 12z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 hours ago, Terpeast said: Vort pass looks good where it is. It looks dry maybe because the model has a dry feed from the south. If that moisture feed turns out to be wetter, watch the snow amounts jump up quickly on that same vort pass. Not having more STJ involvement and the lead wave running off are really killing us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, psuhoffman said: Not having more STJ involvement and the lead wave running off are really killing us here. True. Best case scenario here is something similar to what happened with the last system where it beefed up moisture. I think this will be to a much lesser extent here. 1-2" with an upside of 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Not having more STJ involvement and the lead wave running off are really killing us here. Can you slow it down just a wee bit for us so they can interact a bit? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 17 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Can you slow it down just a wee bit for us so they can interact a bit? You do it, don't be lazy. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Can you slow it down just a wee bit for us so they can interact a bit? That's like trying to get 1 million butterflies to fart in one direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You do it, don't be lazy. Yeah but you're higher up in the atmosphere, so you'd have more leverage...so get up on that mountain, and PUSH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but you're higher up in the atmosphere, so you'd have more leverage...so get up on that mountain, and PUSH! Mount PSU is pretty high up, I’m only at about 900’ myself. But 10 mins away I can be at 1500 ft near Fort Ritchie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 13 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah but you're higher up in the atmosphere, so you'd have more leverage...so get up on that mountain, and PUSH! I'm in Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 So...JB did REALLY analog this to PD 1979. But we have to be fair, he said he is NOT calling for 2-3 feet, just 12-18"! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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