WVsnowlover Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18 minutes ago, yoda said: Close up view Jack right over my house. Lock that sh*t up! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 I seriously don't get the negativity in here this morning. It's wild. For those of you who want to bellyache, how about heading over the panic room and staying there? 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Now onto the GFS... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, stormtracker said: I seriously don't get the negativity in here this morning. It's wild. For those of you who want to bellyache, how about heading over the panic room and staying there? I agree, the stingy ass icon just painted 3-5” over most of us. RGEM improved, 3k was solid, need more be said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I seriously don't get the negativity in here this morning. It's wild. For those of you who want to bellyache, how about heading over the panic room and staying there? And in addition to that...look out the window at what just got and be grateful. We're likely to get at least a little snow on snow...and this is the first snow that wasn't immediately washed away, and as a bonus, not melted away in a couple days--that we've had in sometime. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Now onto the GFS...Im a novice and trying to learn. What are we looking for on gfs for improved snow totals? Appreciate your play by play!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Imgoinhungry said: Im a novice and trying to learn. What are we looking for on gfs for improved snow totals? Appreciate your play by play! . A further South vort pass ideally. Southern VA is preferred. Relevant hours are like 48-60 right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 GFS digging a lot more this run. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Precip on the doorstep at 9z Friday, so far similar to 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: GFS digging a lot more this run. You sure about that? 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Vort pass is about the same as 6z. A bit more drier so far this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You sure about that? H5 almost carbon copy of 6z to my eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 still going at 57 hours...above freeze just north of DC, bisecting Mont county and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You sure about that? Clearly not. :). Looked diggy early. But once again I fail pbp miserably. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Carbon copy of 6z..just a tad drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I see Wes lurking. He must be trying to learn something from us. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: still going at 57 hours...above freeze just north of DC, bisecting Mont county and east did you cancel your meeting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 It's drier...2 to 4 has moved north and DC...1-3 just touching DC north border and 1 inch just south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: did you cancel your meeting? He heard he could possibly be getting 3" so of course he canceled his meeting. He is a true weather nut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: did you cancel your meeting? It was over quickly! But on to my evaluation at 11. I might not be in the best of moods come 11:30 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, stormtracker said: It's drier...2 to 4 has moved north and DC...1-3 just touching DC north border and 1 inch just south this is unacceptable... you know what to do 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, stormtracker said: It's drier...2 to 4 has moved north and DC...1-3 just touching DC north border and 1 inch just south Run to run there are fluctuations, each model gets drier than another gets wetter, etc. 12z GFS was an ideal location for the vort pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 From a WPC met: 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: this is unacceptable... you know what to do At first glance, this looks like something trended north, but in reality it was a carbon copy of 6z gfs as Randy said. ICON & RGEM actually went south a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Petitioning to change my username to "pockets of meandering heavy snow" 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 It’s almost Next worthy with these north trends. I’m buying the Icon though 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: At first glance, this looks like something trended north, but in reality it was a carbon copy of 6z gfs as Randy said. ICON & RGEM actually went south a bit. I believe you but one way or another it's trended worse for DCA for ~4 runs in a row now. Very willing to believe it just doesn't have a good handle on precip and winners likely won't be decided til the day of. Doesn't mean I don't want to stare at a prettier result 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 At this stage, can we pull out weenie handbook rule #725 and say "at this stage it's appropriate to rely on mesos rather than globals" and ignore global runs that don't paint the DC metro area blue? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 30 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: It’ll be rain there though so doesn’t matter. Is Georgetown the new Short Pump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Same playbook as last time - watch those mesos and keep up hope they’ll lead the globals from here on. And watch returns upstream for how things verify leading in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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