Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: I like how Solution Man is literally the solution. @BristowWxwould say, Yes, yes I like this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 It's a damn shame that frontrunner energy zips on thru essentially detached from the ULL vort. This one had alot more potential than many think. But I also think many here will be quite happy with another light event....a snow-on-snow. Save Feb for the big dogs. It is sort of funny tho that for 5 weeks we get deluge after deluge, cold air comes in and they vanish. Again, we take what we got, no complaints. Just funny. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Solution Man or whoever, you must carry the gauntlet for the 18z GFS. I'll be heading home from work and stopping to get materials for Taco Tuesday. Godspeed. If they're old school tacos I might come over. Not too worried about the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Happy Hour looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: If they're old school tacos I might come over. Not too worried about the RGEM We toss 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 RGEM ^ ICON below 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: It's a damn shame that frontrunner energy zips on thru essentially detached from the ULL vort. This one had alot more potential than many think. But I also think many here will be quite happy with another light event....a snow-on-snow. Save Feb for the big dogs. It is sort of funny tho that for 5 weeks we get deluge after deluge, cold air comes in and they vanish. Again, we take what we got, no complaints. Just funny. Be careful 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Idk guys, hate being in bullseye or southern edge this far out... North trends always loom 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 8 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: If they're old school tacos I might come over. Not too worried about the RGEM Stand and stuff nacho cheese shells and some soft tortillas too. See you in an hour. We can talk about the upcoming HECS 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: Idk guys, hate being in bullseye or southern edge this far out... North trends always loom Didn’t happen in this last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 28 minutes ago, baltosquid said: So, if one of the more knowledgeable people here is able to help out - this sounding here from NAM, in Baltimore during what appears to be best reflectivity: Contrary to yesterday's storm, flakes should be healthier IF this was to pass? Feels like only thing keeping it from being an even bigger surprise was getting pixie dust most of the time. I am under the impression deflection of the dewpoint at a layer would be a dryslot, and it looks better here - or am I looking in the wrong place? Also I'm sure soundings are far too early at this point for the NAM but trying to learn! I think so, temp/dew is much closer together, thus better saturation within the column and usually a good dendritic growth zone. further apart the dew/temp is, less moisture in the column, smaller flakes, less accumulation when precip rates are light. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: It's a damn shame that frontrunner energy zips on thru essentially detached from the ULL vort. This one had alot more potential than many think. But I also think many here will be quite happy with another light event....a snow-on-snow. Save Feb for the big dogs. It is sort of funny tho that for 5 weeks we get deluge after deluge, cold air comes in and they vanish. Again, we take what we got, no complaints. Just funny. I think it was just getting under that tpv. Suppressed the SS a bit...got slightly unlucky there--which is why we should be very grateful to get what we have so far! Thankfully we're getting a bit of a reset...that stj is still very much alive, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, WesternFringe said: Didn’t happen in this last storm. It definitely happened this last storm. I am in the Spotsylvania area and we had a bullseye for a while. The final 24 hours of modeling moved it north a ways and final results were north getting more. (It’s the same with most storms). I only remember a handful where I got more than the north crew in the last 15 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Due to the law of diminishing returns, I'mma need 6" or bust this Friday. I want SNOW on top of snow. hehe. But I do like the trend. I just wish we could get one of those Gulf lows to ride up the coast and give us some feet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 WB 18Z 12K NAM at range compared to 12Z.#moister. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 GFS at bat 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Through 39 not much change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 minutes ago, Demeter said: It definitely happened this last storm. I am in the Spotsylvania area and we had a bullseye for a while. The final 24 hours of modeling moved it north a ways and final results were north getting more. (It’s the same with most storms). I only remember a handful where I got more than the north crew in the last 15 years. Sorry it didn’t work out for you, but for most folks the last storm trended better in the last 24-36 hours if you go back and read the thread. I don’t think the guidance shifted north late much for most longitudes in this sub. I think it was the opposite and the last minute trends were good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, Demeter said: It definitely happened this last storm. I am in the Spotsylvania area and we had a bullseye for a while. The final 24 hours of modeling moved it north a ways and final results were north getting more. (It’s the same with most storms). I only remember a handful where I got more than the north crew in the last 15 years. These storms that have to cross the mountains are so precarious from DC south. Our snow gets eaten 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, Deck Pic said: These storms that have to cross the mountains are so precarious from DC south. Our snow gets eaten At least it’s cold. That block checked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 54 a little drier but look is OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 quick dusting overnight thursday... light snow fills in by 9:00am fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 4 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Sorry it didn’t work out for you, but for most folks the last storm trended better in the last 24-36 hours if you go back and read the thread. I don’t think the guidance shifted north late much for most longitudes in this sub. I think it was the opposite and the last minute trends were good. I am so used to the north trend that I always set my bar low. I was happy to get snowy scenery and flakes in the air. My happy place, so a win for me 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: quick dusting overnight thursday... light snow fills in by 9:00am fri 9am or 9z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 66-69 light snow, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Close the thread probably tonight after 0z suite and roar back at 6 & 12z tomorrow? Maybe 0z tomorrow night? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: 9am or 9z? the former! .3"/hr (10:1) rates from 10-1... ends pretty quick. slight downtrend but really prob noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Light snow through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 there's some flurry action after this point but this is pretty much what happens 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Man if the lead wave doesnt run off with all the moisture… this has much bigger potential with just a slight adjustment. 11 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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