Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I knew the reverend would bring me strength! I'd be more comforted if ALY had the confidence to at put my neighboring VT zones at least into a watch. Again, I'm ohping the seconday max. It's my story and I'm sticking with it! OT--in my first post of the day, I managed to relocate the "tray" that had been at the bottom of my screen so it now goes across the right hand side. It's driving me crazy and I don't know how to fix it. Any ideas? I've done that before.and usually play around with it till I fix it. I think I right clicked or something or drag and dropped it back to the bottom of the screen. Can't recall exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Think it should be coming at least lightly for you by noon. The tubing at Butternut tomorrow may have to be cancelled. I think we are supposed to start at 2:00 ..though they have an 11:00 slot also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Xmas to my family to yours. I have so much family in town, I honestly had no idea. Im speechless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 DENDRITICAL DELICIOUSNESS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For Moneypit.. See point 1..Love HM Well, the MJO pulse is rounding the 60W to 60E belt, aiding in this potential major snowstorm for many locations. The situation is very similar to early November, as described in the first two posts. Notice that the GWO/AAM etc were all doing this then and produced the autumn version of what's ahead for us this weekend (you have to admit there is a strong similarity between the maps in post 2 and what's ahead). A few pointers: 1. Just because you're not in the heaviest QPF, doesn't mean you will not see heavy snow. Systems like this always have a sick band on the NW edge near the dry air that produces more snow than indicated, especially when this thing begins to occlude/mature. Then if the wind isn't too disturbing, there is always the ratio factor. 2. I don't think we will see a monster gravity wave that cuts off snow like we did a couple years ago but we will see internal gravity waves with gusty winds and heavy snow, should this thing behave like the 00z GFS. 3. Snowfall rates will likely exceed 2"/hr in some of the CSI bands at the core of the max WAA/PVA. Merry Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Outside of the jackpot areas of interior eastern MA, BOX's AFD shows some tough love: GENERALLY FORECAST QPF AMOUNTS RANGING 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH NORTHWEST TO 1 TO 1.5 INCHES SOUTHEAST IN LINE WITH THE 21Z SREF. Plus mixing at the Cape. How often do you see a storm that has the Cape excluded from the watch yet QPF that (on it's face) falls short of warning criteria in the NW zones. lol I would say that this will bust one way or the other. I find it hard to believe both would happen. But, I'm not a meteorologist. I just play one on tv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For Moneypit.. See point 1..Love HM THanks, Kevin. I will take that to heart. BOX only has western franklin with POP of 50/60/50 (Sunday/Night/Monday). They are really hedgin their bets on the NAM. I may need to go visit Chris! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 THanks, Kevin. I will take that to heart. BOX only has western franklin with POP of 50/60/50 (Sunday/Night/Monday). They are really hedgin their bets on the NAM. I may need to go visit Chris! Just remember the nam has been remarkably bad all season. IT might be the one with issues lol. Everything else is going the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Well it looks like me might finally be able to put to bed the tired truism the downers kept bringing up after bad trends... No KU in a strong la nina my ass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 All I can say is .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE!! Woke up early to check things out. That was the most anxious Christmas Eve ever!! Ahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Mike you'll do fine..in fact your area very often is the 2ndary maxima in the big ones. 1-2 feet for you. No focusing on qpf..remember? OMG, I know it's X-mas but I can't even address MPM, Only he could wake up to this and grouse. He hasn't lived here long enough to know what happpens when a bomb like this goes off. I wish he'd stop with the bad JUJU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 look at this sat pic and that energy diving south http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/DATA/RT/na-wv-loop.html good luck up there and Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 FIIIIIIIIIYAAAAAHHHH Merry Christmas!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 All I can say is .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nearly 1500 people online at 1am Xmas morning...insane. LOL jesus, wtf!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Idont think I will be able to spend alot of today on this forum . With this setup I am a little worried about mixing right at the coast. This thing is real close is the west trend over with or will it likely stay where it is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Well I just put the rope and chair away, brought the extra snowboards up from the basement, I'm ready to go!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 OMG, I know it's X-mas but I can't even address MPM, Only he could wake up to this and grouse. He hasn't lived here long enough to know what happpens when a bomb like this goes off. I wish he'd stop with the bad JUJU. I'm not grousing.. lol I'm excited (though it may keep my in-lalws here longer, ftl. Now, I'm enjoying my new amp. Hope to see some continued amping of the storm solution, too!!! Merry Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas to all my fellow weenie friends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wow. Congrats and Merry Christmas! Of to FL now. Hope this busts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I guess its a bit to early to tell exactly where mixing may occurr. I should get off the computer now. Have a great Christmass everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This was incredible to watch all of this unfold, and like many have said, the worst model flops in almost 10 years. Well done GFS, and NAM. I am pretty confident that blizzard watches will be issued later for at least the Plymouth, MA area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 My only words for the am: Live by the gfs die by the gfs. I hope it snows in nw Maine but to think the models are right now is foolish after the worst model Performance since 1/25/00. Changes prob aren't done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 My only words for the am: Live by the gfs die by the gfs. I hope it snows in nw Maine but to think the models are right now is foolish after the worst model Performance since 1/25/00. Changes prob aren't done yet 06z NOGAPS looks very reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 My only words for the am: Live by the gfs die by the gfs. I hope it snows in nw Maine but to think the models are right now is foolish after the worst model Performance since 1/25/00. Changes prob aren't done yet No kidding How wild this had been. To think, in <36 hours the GFS has over a foot of snow at DCA, the NAM has flurries. Most incredible model fluctuations we've seen in a decade. Anyway, for MBY, NAM would be a thing of beauty, GFS eh not so much. SE NE would dryslot with an H5 that far west and max would probably be NW of where the QPF max lies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 3z SREFs have 8"+ probs top 70% for RI/E MA and have a 30% 12"+ blob too. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whitemountainhiker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Right now, hoping for some small miracles that the heavier snow line make it up into Lebanon/upper valley region of NH. They are def in a snow drought (only about 50 inches last year...some 25-30 inches below normal) and have only about 5 inches thus far this year. With a SW-NE precip shield, it may be tough, but maybe we can fluff up several inches anyways. Merry Christmas everyone! This is going to be a fun one to watch!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nice cold air mass ahead of the storm, down to 8 degrees currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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