weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The models have all hinted at a mesoscale band Jerry. This may be the difference between 12 and 22". LOL, where will it be? 1015am flight out of Logan Monday....I put the chances of that going within 6 hours of departure time at 10%. 48 hour snow tool shows 18-24 for me. I can live with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Decent hit up here through 36hr even though everything shifted a bit east. looking very good.. looks like 1"+ for the whole state except the far north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 LOL. will someone pull a Everett in Dec '03?? That Everett '03 is now in Arlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Any indicators that this could last longer into Monday? NAM has us snowing decently most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Call for MBY: 15-22" I hope so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 LOL. will someone pull a Everett in Dec '03?? What happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 you have the 36 hour precip map instead? Why, the 42h is the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 NAM has greatly reduced QPF in western VT. Those watches on the western fringe likely to become advisories. Glad I'm visiting my folks in CT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 NAM has us snowing decently most of the day. What are the chances the city actually closes down? I have month-end close this week and missing a day would be awful from a work perspective. Don't get me wrong..I am pumped about the storm, but also have work concerns... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 What happened? Mesoband dumped 36" in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Brian, NCEP's is a bit different. No...I just missed a bit of the early stuff in my 24hr QPF at 42hr. Looks like almost everyone gets a little less QPF this run vs 00z, but the little shift east definitely helps you E MA guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Why, the 42h is the same. 48 hours out the 24 hour precip map is going to miss a little bit of the precip that fell in more SW areas, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 This is about as impressive 48 hour map as we ever see during a snowtorm....wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 1015am flight out of Logan Monday....I put the chances of that going within 6 hours of departure time at 10%. 48 hour snow tool shows 18-24 for me. I can live with that. 10% seems awfully optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Euro Op forecast 12/24/10 12z for Boston 0" Reality 1-2 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 That Everett '03 is now in Arlington Woburn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 What are the chances the city actually closes down? I have month-end close this week and missing a day would be awful from a work perspective. Don't get me wrong..I am pumped about the storm, but also have work concerns... I would say there's a good chance you work from home. You're in Danvers right? Danvers imho should get absolutely pummeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 looking very good.. looks like 1"+ for the whole state except the far north NCEP map showed about 1.5-1.75 for us around concord. A foot would be nice more would be better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 No...I just missed a bit of the early stuff in my 24hr QPF at 42hr. Looks like almost everyone gets a little less QPF this run vs 00z, but the little shift east definitely helps you E MA guys. Gotcha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Euro Op forecast 12/24/10 12z for Boston 0" Reality 1-2 feet The King has been dethroned.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 NAM looks amazing this run! AS WE THOuGHT, man this is going to rock your cauk off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 10% seems awfully optimistic. Probably the next day. When my daughter asked my wife "why can't I go with Daddy?". Her reply: "You'd miss the funeral and who knows when you'd make it in to see your cousins...." All with a wink. And THANK GOODNESS for the dog ....can't leave the dog on her own and who is around Xmas day? I love this animal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 So the NAM drops 24" plus for the suburbs SW of BOS down to like Raynham over to Wrentham. Looks like it's right along Rt 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 you always have to allow for areas where deformation bands set up to receive amounts a little higher. It's just hard to predict where they'll be. Honestly, I'd call for 7-14" here with "higher amounts possible" if I had to broadcast to the public. what's this business about worse western QPF shield for the NAM? I really don;t have the capacity to look at the moment It ended up being identical to 18z for you and I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 So the NAM drops 24" plus for the suburbs SW of BOS down to like Raynham over to Wrentham. Looks like it's right along Rt 24 Doesn't that tend to happen in all the big ones? Those areas with big numbers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Call for MBY: 15-22" I think ratios should be in the 15:1 range for my area and NAM showing 1.75"QPF... maybe a little high, but I'm thinking 16-24. I'd say the same for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 not sure if this has been posted, but here's BOX's latest thinking: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Doesn't that tend to happen in all the big ones? Those areas with big numbers? That they do. I think part of it has to do with the nice ocean fetch you get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Ekster needs to go back to Attleboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I still think during its bombing phas a pull NW is still quite likely along with some slowing and/or a loop SE of MTP (Montauk followed by a track just NW of the BM Don't know if this is what you're looking for but anyway this is our first call: Thanks Wx4cast. I live a little farther south than this map since I am in extreme southern Litchfield county but I am guessing I'd still be in the 10-15" range. Not bad for a first call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.