Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 No Sweat cweat. I'm completely confident MBY is going to see a mix... pingers or rain? Don't care really and possibly could be jackpotted The nowcast overnight tomorow is going to be fun watching unfold. Saving grace will be duration will be shortlived! I know will be a blast tonight! It's just frustrating you know? I feel bad for NOAA/BOX etc. I have to say and will probably eat this have to discount the 18z NAM entirely. Ride the RGEM with a shift west a little. And I might add based on the maps that is what BOX did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 RGEM says suicide watch cancelled. good... still nervous, CMC was always east of NAM/GFS in the past 12 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm in Brockton Ma. Little worried about the rain/snow line. But will the storm be strong enough to pull down cold air to save me? Or will the high to the north help me and send some cold air? Brockton usually does quite well in these setups...I go to school at Stonehill and being in interior SEMA allows you to get in on the OES enhancement, while remaining removed from the warming influence of the ocean...If this stays a little SE of where the NAM shows, you could jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishn Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Blizzard warnings out for RI and E MA Don't see them up yet but I assume you are "in the know". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Radical change coming to this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 BOX going with a blend. Brings taint to Hingham and that's it. Actually, the signal for less taint is pretty strong with excellent wind profiles in the lower levels and occlusion as the storm gets close pinching off the warming. So those that are worried about lack of HP...completely and respectfully disagree...couldn't be more perfect. As long as BOS and other east coastal areas stays at or left of 040 we're golden and that's going to happen. And even if taint occurs, NAM dumps 1.31 as snow ahead of questionable and about 0.5 behind. So frankly...I'm always nervous but I expect to be digging out of lots of snow. I have a flight to ORD Monday morning that is likely to be canceled. I just dropped off my wife and daughter for their flights. The last thing my wife said as she kissed me good bye....."enjoy the storm!". Marry the right partner folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Updated point forecast for Keene: Sunday: A chance of snow, mainly after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 27. Calm wind becoming north between 4 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Sunday Night: Snow. Low around 18. Blustery, with a north wind between 15 and 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. Monday: Snow, mainly before 2pm. High near 25. Wind chill values as low as zero. Blustery, with a north wind between 21 and 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 0. Northwest wind between 13 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Don't see them up yet but I assume you are "in the know". You'll see them here... http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=MA&prodtype=zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Updated point forecast for Keene: Sunday: A chance of snow, mainly after 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 27. Calm wind becoming north between 4 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Sunday Night: Snow. Low around 18. Blustery, with a north wind between 15 and 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. Monday: Snow, mainly before 2pm. High near 25. Wind chill values as low as zero. Blustery, with a north wind between 21 and 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 0. Northwest wind between 13 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Probably figure another what, 6" for Monday? Maybe more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hey sniss(whoever responded as Dorchester) It all depends on track. Dec '03 could have argued for dryslot, but enough low level frontogenesis and ccb helped out. It all depends on track. I'll take rgem please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This 18z run of the NAM should not be considered any other way then a massive impact winter storm for the region. That BL problem at BOS of +2C in the lowest level is to be expected with the wind trajectory of 40 degrees at this time of year, but that does not mean there is actually rain failing in that temperature profile; considering that it is well below freezing at all other levels and there will be deep UVM and fall rates taking place, dynamics would ensure that is big aggregates accumulating.. I'd be worried about power outages, too Out by I-95 you got a bona fide blizzard raging with much higher ratios easily lifted in gusts, and added in with heavy falls to lower vis to near 0 for a number of intervals spanning enough hours to easily verify the blizz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Blizzard warnings out for RI and E MA Nevermind...I read the map colors wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wiz, I believe the Blizzard warnings/watches are coming for RI/MA, but where do you see them hoisted? BOX doesn't have them up? Anyone want to ski Wachusett Monday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nevermind...I read the map colors wrong. Ignore my question... Colors red = Blizzard... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Pinks for Sam!!! That map is graphically identical to the 12Z NAM thermals I described earlier. Scary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Radical change coming to this map. Don't know where my 2+ is depicted on that map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 18Z GFS is going to be a corridor closer.......IMO....the best ones always get better closer in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This 18z run of the NAM should not be considered any other way then a massive impact winter storm for the region. That BL problem at BOS of +2C in the lowest level is to be expected with the wind trajectory of 40 degrees at this time of years, but that does not mean there is actually rain failing in that temperature profile; considering that it is well below freezing at all other levels and there will be deep UVM and fall rates taking place, dynamics would ensure that is big aggregate accumulating.. I'd be worried about power outages, too Out by I-95 you got a bona fide blizzard raging with much high ratios easily lifted and added in with heavy falls to lower vis to near 0 for a number of intervals spanning enough hours to easily verify the blizz. John, I was kind of puzzled because that FOUS product actually had the wind vector 020 with that BL. Does not compute to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Here we are! http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fpus51.KBOX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Radical change coming to this map. Lol. I'm in that grey "hole" up in Westford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wait, was the snowfall graphic updated? I'm still seeing the old one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Brockton usually does quite well in these setups...I go to school at Stonehill and being in interior SEMA allows you to get in on the OES enhancement, while remaining removed from the warming influence of the ocean...If this stays a little SE of where the NAM shows, you could jackpot. Ya i know. I'm think I could be sitting pretty if I can stay all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 HELLO AS WE THOUGHT Thanks, guys for all of the analysis, insight, and camraderie on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 all of ct i am a fire fighter in ct just came over my pager nat weather ser N. CT is in a Winter Storm warning, blizzard warning for parts of S. CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wait, was the snowfall graphic updated? I'm still seeing the old one It's up and it's beautiful. Heavy chucking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Wait, was the snowfall graphic updated? I'm still seeing the old one I just re-clicked it and it updated. Gawd it is beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jt5019 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Lol. I'm in that grey "hole" up in Westford. well thats wron i am in cromwell and we have not a trace of snow anywere around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GFS appears to be heading to similar track to RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GFS appears to be heading to similar track to RGEM. Sorry for your loss Jerry. I hope your wife travels go ok with this. Don't get hurt shoveling this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yeah so the blizzard warnings are up for the areas mentioned...it's in the zone forecast...wasn't updated on the maps http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fpus51.KBOX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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