Bryan Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 THEREFOR COMBINATION OF STORM FORCE TO HURRICANE WINDS AND BUILDING 1500+ FOOT SEAS OFFSHORE WILL PRODUCE A STORM SURGE THAT COULD REMOVE CAPE COD AND MOST COASTAL COMMUNITIES OFF THE FACE OF THE PLANET. IN ADDITION...SOME BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE BAHAHAHA!! Saving that and printing it out. By far greatest weather related article i have ever read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 euro profiles looks good for most everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 greatest to least...and mery christmas to you guys... orange 1.5-1.75 red 1.25-1.5 pink 1-1.25 dark green .75-1 lgt green .5-.75 green .25-.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Euro looks like it would have intense banding signal for central/eastern MA down to RI and NE CT at 42-48 hours. Will, "Someguy" who's not too be mentioned was just agreeing that the Euro qpf is likely underdone owing to this being so close in time to the event. Do you agree? What mechanism is responsible for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Thank you Will and Tombo. Good times. Looks like I'll have a 4-day weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I will take a pic, and you know the obs will be flying as far as the weenies get chucked, one beer per inch! Barely cover but cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Thanks Tombo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Tombo wrong? Bad tombo. So are you thinking 1-2 feet all of CT? Isolated 25"? The map he posted had all of CT except far NW CT between 1-1.25 Edit..even before he posted the one in this thread..Even higher amts on SE CT..though maybe some mixing down near GON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 At storms height 12Z NAM: When I ran the grib data in Wingridds the 0C the furthest inroads ran from a line immediately along the coast 5-10 miles from approx Cape Ann down to CT/RI border on the coast. The 2C was from Hull to MA/RI border on the coast. It had the typical rounded 0C to the E of Taunton. A real tight gradiant Everyone N&W GOLDEN The latest hot of the presses- and still pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Barely cover but cover I have more snow than you now meat....lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 000 SYNOPSIS...KEVIN NEAR TERM...KEVIN SHORT TERM...KEVIN LONG TERM...KEVIN AVIATION...KEVIN MARINE...KEVIN TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... YUP LOL John.. :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 THEREFOR COMBINATION OF STORM FORCE TO HURRICANE WINDS AND BUILDING 1500+ FOOT SEAS OFFSHORE WILL PRODUCE A STORM SURGE THAT COULD REMOVE CAPE COD AND MOST COASTAL COMMUNITIES OFF THE FACE OF THE PLANET. IN ADDITION...SOME BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE BAHAHAHA!! Saving that and printing it out. By far greatest weather related article i have ever read. Yeah and he also mentioned snownados (probably got Paul all riled up lol) the only thing he missed was the megatsunami thats going to hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 new from NCEP: THE 12Z EUROPEAN IS VERY SIMILAR IN TRACK AND INTENSITY TO THE 00Z RUN AND BY ITSELF COULD BE CONSIDERED A GOOD FORECAST CHOICE. SINCE IT IS NOW RELATIVELY CLOSE TO ALL THE OTHER MODELS ANY COMBINATION WOULD LIKELY GET A PRETTY REASONABLE FORECAST FOR THE STORM. AS THE STORM PASSES OFF SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...THE 12Z RUN IS SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS VERSION AND SOMEWHAT RESEMBLES THE 12Z UKMET STALLING THE LOW FOR A FULL DAY...IMPLYING SLOWER ENDING TIMES FOR SNOW ACROSS EASTERN CT. WITH THE CONVERGENCE OF ALL 12Z MODELS...MOST COMBINATION OF ANY AND EACH WOULD PROBABLY MAKE FOR A GOOD BLEND ESP THE SNOWIER MODELS FOR ANY GIVEN LOCATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Quick rough first draft: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Euro looks like it would have intense banding signal for central/eastern MA down to RI and NE CT at 42-48 hours. Thanks, this will be the most fun tomorrow Monday watching those bands and deform zone. No Garth no mixing up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The map he posted had all of CT except far NW CT between 1-1.25 Edit..even before he posted the one in this thread..Even higher amts on SE CT..though maybe some mixing down near GON I think looking at his NYC map it was just an oversight. He put a good one up here, we should all thank him as nobody else takes that time to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Will, "Someguy" who's not too be mentioned was just agreeing that the Euro qpf is likely underdone owing to this being so close in time to the event. Do you agree? What mechanism is responsible for this? The qpf could definitely be a bit underdone due to the bombing nature of the low...the way the mid-level field basically rips a hole in the atmosphere could argue from really intense banding in the CCB....this would give some areas well over the qpf forecast. There will probably be some 20"+ loolis where banding sets up....the exact locations is impossible to tell right now. A safe forecast is probably something like 9-18" and then understand there could be higher amounts where banding is located. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The qpf could definitely be a bit underdone due to the bombing nature of the low...the way the mid-level field basically rips a hole in the atmosphere could argue from really intense banding in the CCB....this would give some areas well over the qpf forecast. There will probably be some 20"+ loolis where banding sets up....the exact locations is impossible to tell right now. A safe forecast is probably something like 9-18" and then understand there could be higher amounts where banding is located. . I said 10-18 before and got slapped silly across the face with weenies. Nice to see we agree. I'm psyched Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Quick rough first draft: Heavy amounts of win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The qpf could definitely be a bit underdone due to the bombing nature of the low...the way the mid-level field basically rips a hole in the atmosphere could argue from really intense banding in the CCB....this would give some areas well over the qpf forecast. There will probably be some 20"+ loolis where banding sets up....the exact locations is impossible to tell right now. A safe forecast is probably something like 9-18" and then understand there could be higher amounts where banding is located. So....what will I be shoveling before heading to ORD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Quick rough first draft: Sam, I think your map is quite reasonable and spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Sam, I think your map is quite reasonable and spot on. Is it because the tip of the weenie straddles right over Chesterfield? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I have more snow than you now meat....lol... See ya Tuesday AM meat LOL, been waiting for this one Jer, winds have me intrigued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 See ya Tuesday AM meat LOL, been waiting for this one Jer, winds have me intrigued. Every roof blown off homes in all of CT , RI, SE MAss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 BDL has .3 of snowfall so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Heavy amounts of win. looks good for us, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I've locked in 8-15" for basically all of SNE. Haven't decided who goes into a 12-20 kinda band yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 BDL has .3 of snowfall so far this winter. ORH is at 0.5" right now...but the airport is missing data for Dec 23rd when they got like an inch...so they are probably more like 1.5" If someone from BOX sees this, maybe they can enter it in...at the very min they had another half inch that morning. I think I had 1.3" total for the event between 22-23rd. Hopefully it will be near or over 20" by the time we get to the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 wow.. is finally going to come.. I'm almost in tears!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The qpf could definitely be a bit underdone due to the bombing nature of the low...the way the mid-level field basically rips a hole in the atmosphere could argue from really intense banding in the CCB....this would give some areas well over the qpf forecast. There will probably be some 20"+ loolis where banding sets up....the exact locations is impossible to tell right now. A safe forecast is probably something like 9-18" and then understand there could be higher amounts where banding is located. I've really worked hard over the years to not get overly amped as it often ends in disaster. Expectations held to high so even when a decent snowfall was the outcome a sense of disatisfaction tainted the experience. That said, this one looks like a solid hit and even though the snow is not flying yet I am.lol Also, kudos to you and the American Team for keeping the board operating smoothly during the first real test. Nice work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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