adamrivers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NAM has hours of sustained 30mph winds even back to BDL. That's VERY impressive. Looks like to me the bigger story...unless it shifts west QPF-wise...may be the wind in Western MA/CT since we don't get the wind as often... and 5-10" of snow is just a common winter Nor'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 John, are you sure about the 7" total from 2005? I have the PNS right here and Acton MA is in Middlesex County and they got 20 to 30+ with the highest total being 36" in Melrose.. I have a friend who lives in Marlborough MA and he told me got around 28 inches. He may be talking Dec 9th 2005 (or wtvr exact date was) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hopefully this band verifies That's one sorry looking Bay State! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas and all of you folks in New England truly deserve a historic snowstorm given last winter! Here's hoping this is one of the greats like 2005 and 2003! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hopefully this band verifies That'd be like what came through here last week, only longer duration. Somebody slap me, this all can't be happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For those looking for the NWS snow map online: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Looks like to me the bigger story...unless it shifts west QPF-wise...may be the wind in Western MA/CT since we don't get the wind as often... and 5-10" of snow is just a common winter Nor'easter. Where are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hopefully this band verifies If that verifies, someone in Maine might see 36" with the high ratios.....Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Depends where. Even on the GFS, I think I'm ok. Maybe flirt with dryslot, but not bad at all. Dryslot may be just se, as this low bombs and mid level lows reform. Based on performance with the previous storm, the trough and then this one I'd say that the chances of the models being within 50 miles at this range (NAM/GFS) are less than 30%. Which way it goes who knows, but look at what it just did down in the M/A in one 6h shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yea, the storm's a complete bust because there is no high wind warning... lol Actually, in all seriousness I see no issue with going to a blizzard watch for all areas (save the Cape where mixing issues would change the complexion of the event), SE of about ASH -HFD (with a small exceptional hole punched out of the painting that will exclude the general Tollan CT area from any impact at all (80F and sunny)). In that region 15-20+" of snow and winds gusting to 40mph inland and near 60 at times inside of I-95 to the coast will slam dunk the 3-hour's of 1/4 mile vis requirement. That is a blend of the 00z Euro and the NAM's last 3 cycles. Special acknowledgement should go to the NAM for being the first model inside of 72 hours to show any consistency, and locking this threat. Can a sleetzard watch be extended? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Based on performance with the previous storm, the trough and then this one I'd say that the chances of the models being within 50 miles at this range (NAM/GFS) are less than 30%. Which way it goes who knows, but look at what it just did down in the M/A in one 6h shift. I don't think the MA would be that dry based on H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If that verifies, someone in Maine might see 36" with the high ratios.....Wow. I need to make the decision tonight as to whether we head to Sunday River and put the inlaws here Sunday night. That's just east of them...but damn is it close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Where are you? Western MA (live), Eastern CT (work) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For those looking for the NWS snow map online: http://www.erh.noaa....StormTotalSnow/ That map def. seems a bit underdone, especially for up here... the NAM and GFS both show a foot for up here and they're only calling for 8. Seems underdone in W MA and CT as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Where can I see that? Will you be getting the EC rundown on here? If so, can you text me anything on track/qpf? I'm already in big trouble for posting on the phone from the x-mas morning party here at the in-laws. The droid may soon end up in the fireplace. Hope it produces some pretty colors. Check out the cips page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Enjoy the day gang. I'll be back for 00z tonight. My 10-12" call for mby looks low at this time. I may up it to 18-24"+ pending rest of 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hopefully this band verifies That would be sick!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Hopefully this band verifies I saw that, very much hoping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 For those looking for the NWS snow map online: http://www.erh.noaa....StormTotalSnow/ still wish they had these for ALB... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Airlines freaking out already. My day will suck tomorrow..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 That map def. seems a bit underdone, especially for up here... the NAM and GFS both show a foot for up here and they're only calling for 8. Seems underdone in W MA and CT as well 10'' from BOX 36 hours out sounds good to me...that'll def. be upped if the models hold serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I need to make the decision tonight as to whether we head to Sunday River and put the inlaws here Sunday night. That's just east of them...but damn is it close. I think you better leave early.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Airlines freaking out already. My day will suck tomorrow..lol. Yea.. this is going to surprise a lot of people in New England I feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 That map def. seems a bit underdone, especially for up here... the NAM and GFS both show a foot for up here and they're only calling for 8. Seems underdone in W MA and CT as well The 12Z NAM and GFS are both showing about 1" QPF at KCEF (which is about 3 miles as the crow flies from my house) ... pretty consistent with 1" down to BDL and HFD areas... IJD is at 1.25" QPF - it is definitely underdone there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The 12Z NAM and GFS are both showing about 1" QPF at KCEF (which is about 3 miles as the crow flies from my house) ... pretty consistent with 1" down to BDL and HFD areas... IJD is at 1.25" QPF - it is definitely underdone there. Yea.. see the post above... I guess they kinda have to be in case the models move... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Western MA (live), Eastern CT (work) where in w, mass? Sucky commute. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I don't think the MA would be that dry based on H5. Maybe but it's the 5h that changed in the 6hrs. The southern/gulf s/w is a touch faster, the digging energy a touch slower which gives them a little separation to start with the resident moisture. Not saying it's right. Flatter flow through the first 24 hours for them, by tthe time it digs in it's too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 still wish they had these for ALB... They used to... I can't find them on their website now. Kinda weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Depends where. Even on the GFS, I think I'm ok. Maybe flirt with dryslot, but not bad at all. Dryslot may be just se, as this low bombs and mid level lows reform. Oh I thought you were farther inland than that..yeah you're good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Airlines freaking out already. My day will suck tomorrow..lol. Tell them "no flying today" and go home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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