Eskimo Joe Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, baltosquid said: Using the HRRR 1hr frame and flipping back, seems like we're verifying colder each hour! Maybe this light consistent snow is helping bring things down. I'm optimistic roads and sidewalks will cave fast and with better temps for ratios and a surprise head start, I think we can surprise to the upside! Yup! Even if it's lightly precipitating, that's a good thing. The evaporational cooling keeps temps down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 @psuhoffman We're getting a snowstorm now and you'll get 5"+. Stop writing theses in the long range thread 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: Culpeper and Fauquier Schools Closed if you had them in the 9 leg parlay. Fauquier was first….. Fauquier was +110. The house knows… 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: @psuhoffman We're getting a snowstorm now and you'll get 5"+. Stop writing theses in the long range thread 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherQ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Heavy clouds with Full on Snizzle … just E of the very NE tip of NE MD by the Tri State Marker (MD/PA/DE) convergence .. for those that know .. White Clay Creek State Park .. New London Road 27F/64%RH BP 1012 mb 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 With 1-2" for most already on the ground a lot of us essentially got purpled 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Sidewalks and driveway started caving the moment the sun began to set. Funny how that works even in mid January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: With 1-2" for most already on the ground a lot of us essentially got purpled This would give me close to 7” if this came true. Hook me up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 18z GFS is a good 3-4" here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Had a bit of a lull out here the past couple of hours. Just pixie dust. Radar is starting to fill back in out west. Round 2 incoming. I have to say the models did a really good job with this one. The jack area changed. But the general idea has been on most of them for a week. Light snow 28 degrees. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 This would give me close to 7” if this came true. Hook me up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 18z GFS is a good 3-4" here.Good to know that even Debville, USA can see snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 22 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: Culpeper and Fauquier Schools Closed if you had them in the 9 leg parlay. Fauquier was first….. Falls church also closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdood Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Feels like deep winter out there. Pretty damn awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Took the kid out sledding and made a snowman with her. Really nice to get off the radar and the models for at least an hour. This is what we live for, don’t we? 26 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 It was a tough decision but I went with dosidos #22. May add in some fuel biscuits if things get really dicey Prime choice. Love me some Dosidos #22. I had some blue dream delivered by the dispo yesterday in anticipation of having a white dream today. Can’t wait to dive in later on tonight while I take a J…eb walk. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 24/19 living on the edge of precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The trends across guidance today have not been good for here overnight. Less and less precip. Hope I can break an inch lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Maybe they'll think twice about burying the NAM. I haven't looked at the models today. Between working (if you can call it that) and watching the snowfall outside with a hot chocolate... it's nice to take winter all in at my new house. It's been a minute. Bigger flakes, legit light snow, despite what the radar says. Moisture feed from Alabama/TN looks juicy The NAM when it actually has the synoptic level stuff right and isn’t off on a tangent resolves the meso details best of any guidance. The program is it’s off on a tangent every other run and it’s hard to tell when breasted it isn’t consistent in how it goes crazy. It can have feedback issues and suppress a storm. Or be way over amplified. It adds confusion imo. Frankly all the meso models do imo. I used to try to use them and it burned me so often I stopped. Now I basically use a blend of the globals and my gut instinct then at short range apply common sense to get the meso details. I’ll look at the high res models to get an idea what the details might look like but then I apply that to the Synoptics of the globals. It’s been working for me. Maybe someday they will develop a meso model that isn’t prone to wild tangents. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I’m up to about an inch. 27 with snizzle falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Couple of legit darker echoes showing up over SE Carroll and NW Baltimore County in the last few radar frames. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 5pm Obs Light snow 29F. 1.5 on the board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gunny23 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 9 minutes ago, gunny23 said: Falls church also closed. And down goes Loudoun. Woot! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 3 hours ago, baltosquid said: This was at about 1:30pm. Snow has been a consistent, light rate pretty much since then. Nothing super heavy and only the usual first-caving surfaces are covered, but real pretty. I haven't done measurements, probably still under an inch on the deck. Using the HRRR 1hr frame and flipping back, seems like we're verifying colder each hour! Maybe this light consistent snow is helping bring things down. I'm optimistic roads and sidewalks will cave fast and with better temps for ratios and a surprise head start, I think we can surprise to the upside! Patterson Park? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Darker blues coming in to DC shortly. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 A terrific jebwalk, only slipped once on the hills. So many kids out playing in the snow which was nice to see - they weren’t concerned about the 18z Hrrrrrrrr, back edge, rates, or ratios. Just out enjoying it. Just like this forum does…. 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, konksw said: Darker blues coming in to DC shortly. Just noticed them pushing north, hopefully they fill in quickly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, gopper said: Patterson Park? Yup! His favorite place 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 25 out. Light fairy dust falling. Dusting on the grassy surfaces but roads still pretty clear. You all won’t see Frederick Co MD school closings announced for tomorrow as we already have tomorrow and Wednesday off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Barely anything out this way. Maybe 0.2 on some surface. Been pixies and super light stuff most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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