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Jan 15-16 Storm Thread 3: Obs and Disco


stormtracker
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39 minutes ago, stormy said:

The 12z NAM drops qp from D.C. sw the Staunton. Snowfall also drops accordingly an inch or two. Hopefully the 12z GFS does not follow .image.thumb.png.5cb2d44188c3c44e07d67d36ef89be07.png

image.thumb.png.818843ec8ea39884e23b6abce079a7ca.png

Probably just coming in line with the other competent models. I’ll take 0.5 any day. 

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

wait, you know something about this?

If they hadn’t changed the criteria from 4 to 5 inches we would have had one.  We were a snow town back then.  Now we get excited over 3 inches.  

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

wait, you know something about this?

No. I've just seen this before. Models juice up last minute and LWX has to play catch up for the northwest crew. We have a front, fresh air mass, and a low riding along it. Classic 4th quarter snow win.

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6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

I’ve got discernible flakes at my house - gonna send the column I dragged with me on up to parkton 

Thank you! It’s small itty bitty flakes here.

gfs gives us 1-2 by 10pm tonight. 

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