Franklin0529 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Winter storm warning in central an southern jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Low farther north (35 mi) and stronger. Looks wetter too. It has very little North of I-78 in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Looks like this is the peak panel for Northern areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: It has very little North of I-78 in NJ. IT's terrible north of there almost nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It has very little North of I-78 in NJ. It's more amped but less precip on the northern side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Looks if anything like snow is trending south even more. North of Sandy Hook be happy if it’s more than 1”. Just isn’t able to do it against the confluence. Of course we finally have a south trend/ more confluence leading into an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I guess it's just wait and see what tomorrow brings by looking out the window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Nams increased totals in central and southern nj but decreased north of 80 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Nams increased totals in central and southern nj but decreased north of 80 Kinda like where I'm at for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Nams increased totals in central and southern nj but decreased north of 80 Makes sense-dry air and confluence. Expecting nothing here outside of some flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Dusting to 1” is looking like a good call for most of us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Snow hole 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Rmine1 said: Dusting to 1” is looking like a good call for most of us 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Winter Weather Advisory for NYC 2-3 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 This guy is pretty good been spot on all year 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said: This guy is pretty good been spot on all year I follow this guy also. He's pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, mannynyc said: Snow hole Precip came northward on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Winter Weather Advisory for NYC 2-3 inches That seems generous given the modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Precip came northward on the nam It cut totals North of I-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, NJwx85 said: It cut totals North of I-78. Yea confluence is eating the northern fridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I'm doing a story tonight on the difficult decision making process behind the scenes which superintendents face. Looks like we picked the right district, focusing on Jackson Township. Kinda surprised to see a warning here actually. I don't see how with this current forecast schools would even attempt to open as the super told me they are moving away from early dismissals. That never made sense to me, let's send the kids home in the worst conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yea confluence is eating the northern fridge I think this one is about done, especially for anyone North of Rt 80. Areas near I-78 and points South look good. Maybe Southern Brooklyn, SI, and parts of Queens will do decently. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I think this one is about done, especially for anyone North of Rt 80. Areas near I-78 and points South look good. Maybe Southern Brooklyn, SI, and parts of Queens will do decently. I dunno about that NJw but I guess we will know soon enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: I'm doing a story tonight on the difficult decision making process behind the scenes which superintendents face. Looks like we picked the right district, focusing on Jackson Township. Kinda surprised to see a warning here actually. I don't see how with this current forecast schools would even attempt to open as the super told me they are moving away from early dismissals. That never made sense to me, let's send the kids home in the worst conditions. Give the kids a day off to play in the snow. Some haven't been able to in over two years. They could probably do a virtual learning day if they wanted to as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Per Mt. Holly's latest AFD: Maybe ratios this high for northern areas, but I don't think so down here. Probably would chop off 20-25% off their forecast What to watch out for: Bands of heavier snow may enhance the wet bulb effect, resulting in colder surface temperatures and higher liquid to snow ratios. This will result in locally higher snow amounts. Overall, liquid to snow ratios will be on the order of 14:1 to 17:1, but could get as high as 20:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: 1-2 Strongly agree. I am expecting those amounts here as well. Depending on future model runs Mt. Holly may have to revisit expected snow totals north of I78 in NJ and PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Nams increased totals in central and southern nj but decreased north of 80 Not according to thst map above..i have less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The NAM is the weirdest model out there. I dont know how a LP can get 10mb stronger and be 30-40 miles north of its 12Z location and show less precip at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, mikem81 said: The NAM is the weirdest model out there. I dont know how a LP can get 10mb stronger and be 30-40 miles north of its 12Z location and show less precip at the surface All of the confluence and dry air pressing down from the North. It's actually helping to squeeze out more precip South of where that sets up. There will be a very sharp cutoff somewhere, my guess right now is around 195 in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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