psv88 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Been a while since we’ve had a snow on snow storm. From 2002-2019 they were common 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, psv88 said: Been a while since we’ve had a snow on snow storm. From 2002-2019 they were common I thought we might lose some today but stuck in the 20s with no sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Been a while since we’ve had a snow on snow storm. From 2002-2019 they were common I have a layer left lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 22 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hrrr brings snow in between 3 and 4 am 3 am Saturday morning or 13 hours from now ? Thanks I’m driving can’t look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: 3 am Saturday morning or 13 hours from now ? Thanks I’m driving can’t look Early tomorrow morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 Don, don’t these PMM’s look too high for the HREF? Something seems in error Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I thought we might lose some today but stuck in the 20s with no sun Looks like barely anything of the 2 inches that fell has melted, even here in the City. Honestly I'd take this over 5 inches which is gone by the next day - a "wintry" appearance / feeling is what many of us enjoy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Ukie doesn’t even give nyc area an inch euro is barley over an inch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Ukie doesn’t even give nyc area an inch euro is barley over an inch The mesos will pick up on the banding better than the globals, an these norlun storms tend to move all over the place. Probably better to wait till later tonight to see where it's going 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: The mesos will pick up on the banding better than the globals, a these norlun storms tend to move all over the place. Probably better to wait till later tonight to see where it's going Hi res aren’t much better but we’ll see tonight as well as radar trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pstar3182 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Some y'all need to take some time away from your meltdowns and relax. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Very rare to see norluns trend south It’s not a true Norlun, those occur over New England. A Norlun is a special type of inverted trough: https://norcast.tv/ghost-of-ophelia-coming-back-friday/https://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2011/01/exactly-what-is-a-norlun-trough-and-how-do-you-forecast-weather-associated-with-it.html#:~:text=It%20was%20noted%20by%20operational,strong%2C%20localized%20bands%20of%20precipitation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 euro is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The GFS has trended more amplified over the past four runs while the NAM has trended flatter and is actually much flatter at 12z Friday as compared to the 12z GFS. Cannot remember the last time the NAM was flatter than the GFS 24 hours before a storm. Probably a red flag that the GFS is too wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 25 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Ukie doesn’t even give nyc area an inch euro is barley over an inch That much barley is bad for the digestive system. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: euro is meh Its always too dry...its probably realistic outside of C-SNJ but I expect there's plenty of 4-6 inch amounts there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: when it shows a warm nose and sleet For sure but it usually doesn't sniff out the warm layer until we get really close to the event. Regardless, this is a light snow event. We should enjoy it before the inevitable warmup fires up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: I thought we might lose some today but stuck in the 20s with no sun It's a pile of cement around my way so with the 1-2 inches of fluff tomorrow and cold this weekend, it'll stick around for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, wdrag said: Don, don’t these PMM’s look too high for the HREF? Something seems in error I agree with you, Walt. One of the underlying models must be skewing things. Let's see what the 0z HREF shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I'd be ecstatic with 18z HRRR. Still have a ways to go but looks like we're starting to zero in on somewhere between US-40 and Route 33. Going to be a Nowcast event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Mt Holly just upgraded Ocean, Monmouth, and Burlington counties to a Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 248 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 NJZ020-027-191100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0003.240119T0900Z-240120T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.240119T0900Z-240120T0300Z/ Ocean-Southeastern Burlington- Including the cities of Jackson and Wharton State Forest 248 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Rain will mix with snow during the day Friday near the coasts. * WHERE...Ocean and Southeastern Burlington. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will rapidly drop into the teens late Friday night. Any untreated roads will become icy and dangerous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Most of us in the education world are wondering about schools tomorrow. Tough call. Sometimes these small events can be as bad for driving as the big boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, TJW014 said: I'd be ecstatic with 18z HRRR. Still have a ways to go but looks like we're starting to zero in on somewhere between US-40 and Route 33. Going to be a Nowcast event. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 8 minutes ago, TJW014 said: I'd be ecstatic with 18z HRRR. Still have a ways to go but looks like we're starting to zero in on somewhere between US-40 and Route 33. Going to be a Nowcast event. Big trend South from the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Definite snow-sky vibe. Enjoy guys Home sick with a touch of a stomach bug, so I don’t have anything to do but enjoy the snow tomorrow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Big trend South from the 12z run. He lives south so great news for him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Nam might be coming more north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Nam might be coming more north Low farther north (35 mi) and stronger. Looks wetter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, TJW014 said: Low farther north (35 mi) and stronger. Looks wetter too. Not for us up here unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: He lives south so great news for him Yes I'm aware of where Toms River, NJ is. Models might not be done trending South. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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