Metasequoia Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Gfs following suite not even 2 inches for nyc area Any mets want to weigh-in on what weather models should be used to forecast inverted troughs 24 hours before start time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Shocking. So all the models are now around .15-.2" liquid. 2 to 3 with ratios more south. Nam was off its rocker yesterday When has the Nam ever been ON its rocker? This was always a 1-3 inch deal for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, kat5hurricane said: When has the Nam ever been ON its rocker? when it shows a warm nose and sleet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Last winter we didn’t even get a day that felt like winter At least we're getting a hardcore winter week -- cold all week with 2 snow events. Light snow events, but it's much better than last January when we had nothing at all. Even if tomorrow is only 2 to 3 inches (looking most likely to me right now), I'll be happy with that. Of course we'd love to see a big storm, but getting 4-5 inches of snow in a week isn't bad. Especially since it isn't melting right away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: At least we're getting a hardcore winter week -- cold all week with 2 snow events. Light snow events, but it's much better than last January when we had nothing at all. Even if tomorrow is only 2 to 3 inches (looking most likely to me right now), I'll be happy with that. Of course we'd love to see a big storm, but getting 4-5 inches of snow in a week isn't bad. Especially since it isn't melting right away. Agreed. Snow is still on the roofs and trees here which is indicative of a cold week. I’ll take it and enjoy it because it’s not going to last 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: At least we're getting a hardcore winter week -- cold all week with 2 snow events. Light snow events, but it's much better than last January when we had nothing at all. Even if tomorrow is only 2 to 3 inches (looking most likely to me right now), I'll be happy with that. Of course we'd love to see a big storm, but getting 4-5 inches of snow in a week isn't bad. Especially since it isn't melting right away. Yeah this isn't going to plan for a strong el nino winter for sure. No big KUs but not getting shut out either. Granted the warm rainy December and first half of Jan was on par 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 In just enjoying the flurries today. Hope to get an inch or two tomorrow just to be able to play with my son. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Very light snow currently reaching the ground in Clifton, NJ 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Very light snow currently reaching the ground in Clifton, NJ Moving this way per radar.. atleast it snows today,tomm.and maybe even sat.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Its snowing lightly here in the bronx. Air is still bone dry,yet it reached the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Franklin0529 said: Mt Holly bullish I agree with that, maybe a tad too high in the 3-4 zone up north but the 4-6 is legit given the IVT setup....if that happens its likely areas in there see more than what many models are spitting out in C-SNJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 This winter already beat last winter..3 snow events in a week..albeit minor.. ill take it.!!. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 41 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Agreed. Snow is still on the roofs and trees here which is indicative of a cold week. I’ll take it and enjoy it because it’s not going to last Yes even in the UWS, still a very wintry scene. Edit: Especially now with light snow falling 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Yes even in the UWS, still a very wintry scene. Edit: Especially now with light snow falling Enjoy!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Flurries, 30 yippee 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The hrrr didnt show much precip for today but it is snowing,might be a few burst of snow for everyone later,once the cold front passes by with some waa ahead of it. the radar might start to bloom in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said: The hrrr didnt show much precip for today but it is snowing,might be a few burst of snow for everyone later,once the mini cold front passes by with some waa ahead of it. It should start to light up the radar soon. Yup not one model showed it. snowing lightly here. I think Walt Mentioned it in his write up that today's light snow could saturate the column which could help with tomorrow's event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Snowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, binbisso said: Yup not one model showed it. snowing lightly here. I think Walt Mentioned it in his right up that today's light snow could saturate the column which could help with tomorrow's event. I actually think where it snows today,is where the snow sets up for tomm. Everything is been trending dryer and south with recent runs and im not buying it. Everything goes north within 12 hours of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 snow midtown. very light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, binbisso said: Yup not one model showed it. snowing lightly here. I think Walt Mentioned it in his write up that today's light snow could saturate the column which could help with tomorrow's event. Dry air is not a huge concern tomorrow in my mind...flow is W-SW through most of the column til tomorrow AM...the problem simply is the trof/system tracking most likely too far south but it would not shock me at all if many stations in the metro have more snow from this than they did the last event, albeit not by a ton but certainly could exceed it by 0.5-1 across the board...2.7 at NYC would not exactly shock me at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bxstormwatcher360 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: Snowing Welcome to the club,i got confectioners sugar on everything up here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Very rare to see norluns trend south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Would rather be on the northern fringe for an event compared to the southern fringe we usually are. Things usually end up more north than modeled so I wouldn't be shocked if they city got 2-3 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Very rare to see norluns trend south I recall one instance where that happened...in last 10 years went from like over CNTRL-LI back to Westchester on all models at 24-36 hours out and ended up in like Long Beach NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1-3”. book it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Anyone have the ballpark timing for tomorrow’s festivities ? When do you think it begin and when does it end ? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Hrrr brings snow in between 3 and 4 am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I recall one instance where that happened...in last 10 years went from like over CNTRL-LI back to Westchester on all models at 24-36 hours out and ended up in like Long Beach NJ Yeah I think i did fairly well in that one. 2015 I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Anyone have the ballpark timing for tomorrow’s festivities ? When do you think it begin and when does it end ? Thanks Starts between 5-7 AM, wrapping up by 8-9 PM for most. Evening commute might be interesting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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