Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Winter Weather Advisory for Middlesex County Issued by National Weather Service Philadelphia, PA 3:16 PM EST Wed, Jan 17, 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey and east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From midnight Thursday night to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will rapidly drop into the teens late Friday night. Any untreated roads will become icy and dangerous. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Nam looks even better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 I’m riding both nams. 1. Gives me the most snow 2. might be the last of the winter 5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:27 PM, Allsnow said: I’m riding both nams. 1. Gives me the most snow 2. might be the last of the winter Expand It’s also an @Allsnow event… 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:27 PM, Allsnow said: I’m riding both nams. 1. Gives me the most snow 2. might be the last of the winter Expand The vort keeps ticking north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 3k nam 3-5 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:34 PM, Allsnow said: 3k nam 3-5 Expand If that band sets up over us I could see that. I actually like my location this time 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 East of the GSP, particularly the barrier islands might have some trouble with mixing with the easterly wind. Ocean temps are still in the mid-upper 40s (44091 is 46.5) Early call is 2" here. Could be more, could be less depending on where the Norlun trof sets up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Shall the kin and I cover the conestoga and homestead? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 You can see where there may be problems in CT, and any shift south that could reach LI too. It's a fine line. Never a fan of inverted troughs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 7:10 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The RAP/SREF are showing their usual NW bias at this range...its why I have said if you can pick a spot to be right now I'd go with a Long Branch-Cranbury-Marlboro-South Brunswick line....I think the IVT may set up somewhere between about EWR and TTN in the end based off just past tendency of where these go from 48-60 hours out Expand Not sure I agree with this. Inverted troughs usually end up trending further Northeast as the event comes closer. My guess is Eastern Long Island and Southeast New England for the win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:28 PM, MJO812 said: The vort keeps ticking north Expand If you follow the last four runs of the NAM it shows the snow trending North and East with each consecutive run. That's pretty typical of inverted troughs. You never want to be in the bullseye more than 24 hours out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Looks like I'm losing this one (too). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 I’ll be in Long Beach for this one. For once that might be a good thing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:54 PM, NJwx85 said: If you follow the last four runs of the NAM it shows the snow trending North and East with each consecutive run. That's pretty typical of inverted troughs. You never want to be in the bullseye more than 24 hours out. Expand Agree There is a limit though with the confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Rgem ticked north 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:24 PM, Allsnow said: Winter Weather Advisory for Middlesex County Issued by National Weather Service Philadelphia, PA 3:16 PM EST Wed, Jan 17, 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey and east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From midnight Thursday night to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will rapidly drop into the teens late Friday night. Any untreated roads will become icy and dangerous. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && Expand We probably have a better chance of getting to 3 with this one since it's all snow and better snow ratios. Not a big event obviously, but I'll gladly take it. Looking forward to Friday! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Biggest thing to remember with this storm is ratios will be high. So it doesn’t take much qpf to drop a couple inches of fluff. It’s been a while since we have had an event like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 9:12 PM, winterwx21 said: We probably have a better chance of getting to 3 with this one since it's all snow and better snow ratios. Not a big event obviously, but I'll gladly take it. Looking forward to Friday! Expand Agreed. I like 3-4 for our location. Rgem and icon both got better 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:47 PM, SBUWX23 said: You can see where there may be problems in CT, and any shift south that could reach LI too. It's a fine line. Never a fan of inverted troughs Expand Exactly. They have historically overproduced in spots and failed in others. Winners and losers incoming for sure. Someone gets a surprise 6” and others a dusting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 North trend ftw 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Gfs drier looks like euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 9:57 PM, Stormlover74 said: Gfs drier looks like euro Expand Do you like snow? Seems like you are rooting for the drier models. 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 9:57 PM, SBUWX23 said: Do you like snow? Seems like you are rooting for the drier models. Expand I post all the models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 I'm definitely going with Logan Giles on this one. Just one question, who is Logan Giles? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 9:57 PM, Stormlover74 said: Gfs drier looks like euro Expand They suck at norluns especially gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 On 1/17/2024 at 8:47 PM, SBUWX23 said: You can see where there may be problems in CT, and any shift south that could reach LI too. It's a fine line. Never a fan of inverted troughs Expand Dont inverted troughs usually shift north though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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