SnowGoose69 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Alright, I gotta ask, how is a person from Smithtown, NY a Carolina Hurricanes fan? Team ripped my heart out in 1997 when the Whalers announced they were moving to Carolina. Sorry for the off-topic but I keep seeing your icon and I gotta know. We take our Islanders, Rangers, and Devils seriously up here haha. Hopefully they can Brind'Amour if they fail again in May this year, its getting old already and I get that he's loved by the fans and the team but sometimes you gotta move on if a guy cannot get you to where you've been good enough to be for 3-4 years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Hopefully they can Brind'Amour if they fail again in May this year, its getting old already and I get that he's loved by the fans and the team but sometimes you gotta move on if a guy cannot get you to where you've been good enough to be for 3-4 years Some of it I don't think is his fault. They were missing their best offense guy last playoff. They need 1 more power forward who can score. He has completely changed their culture and don't think he's gone after this year if they don't win it all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 8 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said: Some of it I don't think is his fault. They were missing their best offense guy last playoff. They need 1 more power forward who can score. He has completely changed their culture and don't think he's gone after this year if they don't win it all we need a snowstorm around here that can score higher then 1-3 inches - ever consider that ? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 EPS mean up from last night. 2 inches for nyc 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: EPS mean up from last night. 2 inches for nyc As of right now Fridays event will be close too a repeat of todays event regarding accumulation - 1 -3 except will be all snow and will fall mainly during daylight hours 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: EPS mean up from last night. 2 inches for nyc All the idv give nyc a good snowfall. Majority are north of the op 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: All the idv give nyc a good snowfall. Majority are north of the op The ceiling is higher than the snowfall today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: As of right now Fridays event will be close too a repeat of todays event regarding accumulation - 1 -3 except will be all snow and will fall mainly during daylight hours And it won't rain or mix. It shouldn't at least based on the synoptic pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: The ceiling is higher than the snowfall today. Thats a tough one, we had a shot at 4-6 today, albiet small...we need some solid changes to get this one up there. I think 2-4 is a reasonable ceiling now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 4 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said: And it won't rain or mix. It shouldn't at least based on the synoptic pattern Having snow on snow for the first time since Feb 2021 will be a treat. And definitely some upside potential with a few NW ticks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Having snow on snow for the first time since Feb 2021 will be a treat. And definitely some upside potential with a few NW ticks. The one thing id consider is the sun will do some work on the sun tomorrow but there should be some snow left for sure 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 15 minutes ago, mannynyc said: Looks pretty good - better than the OP? I kind of extrapolated precip on the GEFS and it looked more robust than the op. I don't have the whole GFS suite to look at, so it's just what's on TTB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Nam is 1 to 3, more south of nyc 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam is 1 to 3, more south of nyc Always more hope when you need a north trend then a south one but verbatim would be a real nice winter week for DC/Baltimore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Clown map from the 18z rgem. Continues to trend towards more of the inverted trough compared to a larger coastal influence 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 18z ICON also sorta backed off from it's 12z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd WPC disco ...Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast... Day 3... A fast moving shortwave dropping southeast upstream of the broad trough across the eastern CONUS will amplify as it shifts towards the Ohio Valley Friday morning, and then maintain its amplitude during its trajectory eastward across the Mid-Atlantic. The flow is fast, and the shortwave is of modest intensity, but it will be efficiently topped by a potent 170+kt jet streak diving through the trough to enhance deep layer ascent. At the same time, a cold front will be making its way eastward from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic states, and it is possible the associated fgen along this front could be enhanced by the upper jet streak pivoting overhead. This will likely enhance ascent and will result in a surface low pressure developing near the Carolinas and then racing east-northeast into Saturday /D4/. PWs downstream of the best ascent are expected to be modest within the generally zonal and fast flow, although some enhancement towards +1 sigma may surge northward into VA as reflected by the NAEFS ensemble tables, but this will likely be dependent on the intensity of the surface low to drive more robust theta-e advection northward. The GFS/ECMWF and their associated ensemble clusters have trended weaker/farther southeast today, but the CMC and its ensemble remain more intense and closer to the coast. The threat for heavy snow appears to be a little lower than from previous model cycles, but uncertainty is still high, and regional soundings indicate support for high SLR snow due to a cold column and SREF DGZ depth probabilities for 100mb reaching 10-30%. WPC probabilities for more than 4 inches of snow on D3 are modest but expansive, reaching 10-30% in a west-to-east oriented swath from eastern Indiana through Long Island, although probabilities have decreased today. The exception is along the WV Appalachians where colder temperatures and some upslope flow should result in efficient snowfall accumulations, and WPC probabilities for 4+ inches are above 50% in this area. OPC 72hr prog 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Doorman! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 No significant change on the GFS. Been pretty consistent the last several cycles on a light but fluffy event for portions of the region mainly south of New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Nickels and dimes add up to dollars. Never forget that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 minutes ago, TriPol said: Nickels and dimes add up to dollars. Never forget that. Not adding up fast enough 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 inches here YTD seems like an ice age compared to last year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 5 inches here YTD seems like an ice age compared to last year I’m up to maybe 3.5”. Yep-pretty lame. Still have some hope this can amp up to a 3-5” deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 7 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I’m up to maybe 3.5”. Yep-pretty lame. Still have some hope this can amp up to a 3-5” deal. its very close. just need to move that bullseye from DC-Philly up to our area. Would've preferred to see the nam more amped since it usually is at this juncture 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 57 minutes ago, TriPol said: Nickels and dimes add up to dollars. Never forget that. lol true, but I'd rather win a million dollar lump sum lottery prize than a dollar a year for a million years, which is closer to our current rate. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 euro still meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: euro still meh Screw the euro, wasn't it off for this last storm too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Irish said: Screw the euro, wasn't it off for this last storm too? It was the driest for a long time but the nam ended up too wet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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