Rjay Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: It was 3am-7pm or so....I think in Nassau we only saw snow from like 2-6pm briefly 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 9 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: That's what I remember. here's a sat pic: A ship got a pressure of 948mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, Rjay said: How the hell did both of them age so well? He still does not look bad for 78 though his voice has notably weakened from what it is here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 18Z ICON huge L....it was obviously all over the place last storm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I thought the GEFS looked better than 12z a bit more precip. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 13 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I thought the GEFS looked better than 12z a bit more precip. Members look better 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 29 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I thought the GEFS looked better than 12z a bit more precip. And the 18Z GFS Op is juicy (3-6" generally), but the 12Z was only 1-2" so we're seeing the high uncertainty express itself. Might be pretty late in the game that we get a good handle on this one (think the main energy comes ashore from the Pacific Weds night). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 The NAM/RGEM both seem close to the coast and juicy for Friday. I know both models are not good at this range but they were also amped with the current storm before the others. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 It’s coming. This our big storm for the winter. I’m all in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, psv88 said: It’s coming. This our big storm for the winter. I’m all in And February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Lol the cmc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, Rjay said: Lol the Canadian And Nam It's coming. Pattern changing storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 GFS is now more a miss than the 18Z was....are the mesos gonna score another win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: GFS is now more a miss than the 18Z was....are the mesos gonna score another win? Canadian gives us a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Im not the CMC biggest fan, but it never let go of this system tonight although it was too strong and too far inland. It never ceases to amaze me how wonky the GFS is when there a potential coastal event here thats not rain. I am still not completely sold on this one though. I know the "indices" are changing, but that PV could easily squash this thing and push it offshore like the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 minutes ago, psv88 said: Canadian gives us a foot Yeah I had not seen it...evidently JI did not either, he just threatened to punch the GFS in the MA thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 As per Walt go with Canadian? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 7 hours ago, Rjay said: Why you postin videos from like 5 years ago? cmon 1999 was so yesterday, its 2004 now...i just got high speed internet for cripes sake, AOL days are ova. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 It's looking very cold for Saturday mid-day there, temps in low 20s or even high teens. Could be 5-10 F by Sunday morning, below zero in outlying n/w forum areas. As to snowfall, I wouldn't want to guess with the spread in guidance now, looks like about 40% chance of a 0.5 - 2" event, 40% 3-5" and 20% 5+ ... if low just races east from 35N only trough to wNY can produce any snow, if low takes a bit longer to head east, 3-5" and if models just decide to correct north, 10" potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Euro says no for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 6 hours ago, Rjay said: Maybe a eastend special ? It's been awhile since we had one of those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: It was 3am-7pm or so....I think in Nassau we only saw snow from like 2-6pm briefly Nice 1-2 inch regular snowfall here lol. We had these kinds of storms a lot in the 04-05 winter too, but with more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 hours ago, tim said: Maybe a eastend special ? It's been awhile since we had one of those. looks like south shore and east end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Need to see a few more of these on other guidance as well. Yes, I have seen the ensembles and see some are closer but the large majority keeps the main low well east. Will we see a trend closer? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, SBUWX23 said: Need to see a few more of these on other guidance as well. Yes, I have seen the ensembles and see some are closer but the large majority keeps the main low well east. Will we see a trend closer? Look at the SREF LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 The late amped trends may be helpful this time. Need to see the trough deepen and S/W amplify but thankfully that’s a trend we almost always see. Question is if it’ll be enough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Look at the SREF LOL Yes I saw. Another problem is there is low placement issues along the potential Inverted trough. You can see that on the 84 hr nam. There is a lot of energy coming in around the PV so could be a reflection of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Oh hi rgem. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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