wncsnow Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 Only .22 so far, dry air is winning. It's going to have to rain heavily tonight to get to the 2-3 inches thats forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 I've only seen a couple of sprinkles. Everything on radar dries up before making it up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 Only .22 so far, dry air is winning. It's going to have to rain heavily tonight to get to the 2-3 inches thats forecasted. .11 so far . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 17 Author Share Posted September 17 .98 heaviest rates of the day so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 1.95 still coming down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 2.41 and just drizzle now. Definitely a big help for the drought 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 18 Author Share Posted September 18 3.23”. It’s no Debby but this helps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: 3.23”. It’s no Debby but this helps. Yeah it's definitely a huge help but without the flooding. Dang near perfect to soak into the ground. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ernest T Bass Posted September 18 Share Posted September 18 only 1.8" here but it was the perfect soaker 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 It was hot and humid today. We had .26 yesterday evening leaving today's high of 86 feeling like 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 This would not be good for escarpment areas. 10-14 in favored areas 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 22 Share Posted September 22 Still looks foreboding. Multiple rounds of heavy rain along the Blue Ridge. The hurricane and upper low behind it. Could get dicey 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 This is going to be a high impact event for the upstate and western NC if the track holds. Not particularly concerned about wind in the foothills but we’ll be on the dirty side of the circulation and no doubt we’re going to ring out every drop of moisture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 56 minutes ago, BooneWX said: This is going to be a high impact event for the upstate and western NC if the track holds. Not particularly concerned about wind in the foothills but we’ll be on the dirty side of the circulation and no doubt we’re going to ring out every drop of moisture. I have a not so good feeling about this. Also, if we get some localized heavy rain beforehand with thunderstorms that will not help. Most models have an inch or more just from the front before the main show. The orientation of the flow between the possibly major hurricane and strong HP to the NE will really bring the goods to the upslose areas. If it tracks as currently depicted by most models, most places along the escarpment will have no problem reaching 10" rather quickly. River levels are still below average most places so that could be the saving grace. But then again this could turn out to be more of a flash flooding scenario where most of the heaviest rains falls in 24 hours or less. Fascinating week of weather coming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 Still looking scary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 There could also be a predecessor rain event somewhere near us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Euro Not liking this one bit. The GFS also brings it into the heart of WNC. I spoke too soon on winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 I think the Euro is way too weak on intensity so that track could be really devastating. Verbatim it shows 8-12 inches on the escarpment and that would likely be underdone. Also shows gusts up to 45. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 I’ll gladly take all rain that finds mby 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 38 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I think the Euro is way too weak on intensity so that track could be really devastating. Verbatim it shows 8-12 inches on the escarpment and that would likely be underdone. Also shows gusts up to 45. Unfortunately it always downplays tropical systems. There’s not much inhibiting the system from what I see. Great ventilation coming and jacuzzi water ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 48 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I think the Euro is way too weak on intensity so that track could be really devastating. Verbatim it shows 8-12 inches on the escarpment and that would likely be underdone. Also shows gusts up to 45. I think the Euro is under estimating the rainfall in my opinion with that track... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 Torrential rain on the drive home. It's not what you want to see with what's possibly coming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 23 Author Share Posted September 23 3 hours ago, Met1985 said: I think the Euro is under estimating the rainfall in my opinion with that track... agreed. Only speed can be a saving grace at this point. Something that’s not being paid attention to is the fact we’ll have a very good Atlantic moisture connection as well. With the storm to the west and the ridge to the east, we’re going to be perfectly lined up for the fire hose. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: agreed. Only speed can be a saving grace at this point. Something that’s not being paid attention to is the fact we’ll have a very good Atlantic moisture connection as well. With the storm to the west and the ridge to the east, we’re going to be perfectly lined up for the fire hose. I'm at .32 already today and along the Blue Ridge some places are closer to 1.5-2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted September 25 Share Posted September 25 We got a thunderstorm complex in Huntersville where I was playing an open mic around 10pm-12 am that was just wild. Torrential downpours, wind, and lots of lightning. 2 inches of rain in 2 hours. If there is a wind threat here with Helene, the ground will be very saturated come Thursday night into Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 Was 46 last night. Frost looks possible next week even for us foothills folks. Hope everyone is recovering from Helene. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 42 this morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 First 30s of the season-39 no frost yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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