Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 A little more neg tilt https://ibb.co/z4kSt3y 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Fwiw. Sref Has me getting up near 4 inches on the 16th lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Idk about those plumes but on WxBell the 21z SREF juiced up so maybe we’ll get NAM’d again at least 9 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Idk about those plumes but on WxBell the 21z SREF juiced up so maybe we’ll get NAM’d again at least Hopefully not scammed 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Idk about those plumes but on WxBell the 21z SREF juiced up so maybe we’ll get NAM’d again at least I can't remember if the SREF is technically the last of the previous runs...or the first of the next ones. From the number of times it does NOT predict what the other meso models are about to do, I kind of think its the last run of the previous data. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Idk about those plumes but on WxBell the 21z SREF juiced up so maybe we’ll get NAM’d again at least For sure. Gotta think there’s another NAMing inbound since it’s the Nams ensemble. Most models are actually in pretty solid agreement about the local max area that expands from eastern hoco’ish to points NE hugging the bay. BWI may end up actually being a pretty decent spot for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Idk about those plumes but on WxBell the 21z SREF juiced up so maybe we’ll get NAM’d again at least Plumes are SREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Hrrrrrrrrrrrr at 0z makes Monday a very wintry day with two rounds of snow. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Plumes are SREFPlumes just don’t match the maps unless I’m reading it wrong… but it’s also the SREF and just a nice appetizer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, LP08 said: Hrrrrrrrrrrrr at 0z makes Monday a very wintry day with two rounds of snow. 48hr Actually a pretty good difference vs the 18z NAM at 54hr.. vort max is in Omaha/N. Missouri vs western Nebraska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 So far, 0z NAM is a bit flatter out front. Sigh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Light snow in the region by 12z Mon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So far, 0z NAM is a bit flatter out front. Sigh Who gives a shit lol unless nam starts shitty trend vol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So far, 0z NAM is a bit flatter out front. Sigh I don’t mind the H5 at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 It's digging a tiny bit more this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Interstate said: I don’t mind the H5 at 36 It's not terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Trying to form a surface low should definitely be a better run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Light snow in the region by 12z Mon Interesting. SV has zip for that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Snow enters the area at 21z...heights are a tad higher out front...lets see if it's a positive or net hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Interesting. SV has zip for that time PV says so lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 PV says so lolMy WB agrees with SV and disagrees with PV. What does TT say? How about WM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: My WB agrees with SV and disagrees with PV. What does TT say? How about WM? Yup. I have nothing until 21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 hr 48 will be the make or break.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Yup. I have nothing until 21z Maybe because it's virga prior to? PV shows 0 QPF through 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Seems to be a little more organized this run https://ibb.co/Q6Fxvw4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Little heavier snow at 48...not heavy...just heavier. I just can't make out if it's gonna be better yet, so I'll wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: My WB agrees with SV and disagrees with PV. What does TT say? How about WM? 15z sounding at DCA has dry air at 900mb and below... so i guess its virga as @StormyClearweather said above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Trying to form a surface low should definitely be a better run A better run? Really? Didn’t it drop 7” on Baltimore at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 H5 appears to be slightly better than 18z so far. Not sure how that translates to the surface/precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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