winter_warlock Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, jacindc said: I'm so old I remember when this thread had people wondering why LWX was suddenly so bullish. I been in americanwx forum since 2010 and i remember a time when people would wonder why the LWX keeps getting burned because they were so bullish back then lol... i guess they learned their lesson at sterling lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: DCA flirts with sleet for a couple hours early Tuesday morning. There's a very slight warm nose at 925 mb. It's nothing to worry about...storm could even be over by then Correct on both the warm nose and precip exiting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Screw the NAM, I've got a new daddy now. HRW FTW! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 0z ICON has the same general stipe and coverage for 2-4 for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 ICON is slightly improved again, too. If I keep posting these, maybe it'll help me forget about the 0Z HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, jacindc said: I'm so old I remember when this thread had people wondering why LWX was suddenly so bullish. Pepperidge Farms Remembers 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Screw the NAM, I've got a new daddy now. HRW FTW! Yeah i like that model!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 02z RAP is shifting NW/stronger as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, winter_warlock said: Yeah i like that model!!! Interesting how the wrf and hrrr shifted north 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 15 minutes ago, J.Mike said: THE GEESE HAVE THE FINAL SAY! They know! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, Terpeast said: Interesting how the wrf and hrrr shifted north Agreed! Will be curious to see how the gfs does if it follows the rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 They know!I think the picture should be snow geese… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 21 minutes ago, diatae said: Does NAM'd + why haven't they hoisted WWAs + MBY pettyness + free space = BINGO? This is great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Agreed! Will be curious to see how the gfs does if it follows the rest It will be in PA before we know it 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 28 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 12K I feel does better in the 36-48 period...3K I like o 24-30, not much beyond really It really has helped since I stopped paying any attention to them. They are just as likely to go off on a tangent even at 12 hours as get anything right. They just add confusion. We will all be better off when ncep stops running them soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, psuhoffman said: It really has helped since I stopped paying any attention to them. They are just as likely to go off on a tangent even at 12 hours as get anything right. They just add confusion. We will all be better off when ncep stops running them soon! Oh yeah? When are they gonna stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Oh yeah? When are they gonna stop? Should of been already but it keeps getting pushed back due to delays in developing its replacement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 why did the blend of models map tick down so much? What models is too blame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, Ji said: why did the blend of models map tick down so much? What models is too blame? Hmm makes no sense to me, given the modeling weve all seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 6 minutes ago, Ji said: why did the blend of models map tick down so much? What models is too blame? What did the previous run look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 LWX updated: 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Hmm makes no sense to me, given the modeling weve all seen Seems like noise to me more than anything. Maybe responding to the HRRR? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: LWX updated: Looks reasonable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 RGEM shifted a bit nw this run. 2-3 for just about everyone. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 LP at the mouth of the bay on the RGEM. Likely to deform well see. Edit Deforms north and snows hard in the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 So far, no remarkable changes on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 12 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Seems like noise to me more than anything. Maybe responding to the HRRR? Could be. But it seems like alot of models are increasing in their precipitation in last 12 to 24 hours so idk why the blend model was lower hmm weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Going to tick NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 Snow starts at 1pm tomm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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