deer Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 14 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z 3K NAM, nice for all Freeze it right there. No more changes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, Deck Pic said: yeah...3k is in line with the others.... Love being in the middle of the stripe. Don’t have to sweat every 15 mile shift. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: You mean Tuesday? C’mon man He’s still drunk from brunch that ended like 2 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, Chris78 said: All the models have this cut out between Cumberland and Hagerstown. It's snowing west of us and East of us for hours. It COULD happen. Bet it doesn’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 7 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Why havent WWAs been hoisted yet? . Their discussion said they would likely wait until late this evening. Has to be coming soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 That is most definitely a NAMing. 5”? Let’s gooooooooo.NAMd with 6+. Even if I get half, I’m happy. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: Their discussion said they would likely wait until late this evening. Has to be coming soon. Probably deciding if they should pull trigger on Winter Storm Warning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Probably deciding if they should pull trigger on Winter Storm WarningWarning for 2-4” over 12 hours? Eh. Idk about that. Perhaps for some localized areas but that’s a tough call to make. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 The short-term discussion was updated (pulled out the important piece) - guessing this means they'll be hoisted with the early morning update. THE SECOND PERIOD OF SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM MID MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING, AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED DURING THE NEXT FORECAST CYCLE TONIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SECOND PERIOD OF SNOW. WHILE INCONSISTENT IN DEPICTION IN THE MODELS, A MORE PERSISTENT HEAVIER BAND CLOUD RESULT IN A STRIPE OF UP TO 6 INCHES, ESPECIALLY IN SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WARM AIR ALOFT DOES BEGIN TO INTRUDE LATER MONDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF I-95. THIS MAY RESULT IN MIXED PRECIPITATION, OR EVEN FREEZING DRIZZLE IF A DRY SLOT LESSENS PRECIPITATION RATES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You mean Tuesday? C’mon man I mean, it's a free service. ion know. And we've been talking about Mon/Tuesday for like 50 days. I'll be more specific next time 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 I mean, it's a free service. ion know. And we've been talking about Mon/Tuesday for like 50 days. I'll be more specific next time 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Probably deciding if they should pull trigger on Winter Storm Warning nah...it'll be WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 8 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Nice runs so far. I think the 12k is overdone, 3k more realistic. But growing more confident for an area wide 2-4"er with someone getting 5"+ Serious question, why do people use the 12k when the 3k exists? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 01z RAP is looking more impressive https://ibb.co/NK9x4N2 12" in TN 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: nah...it'll be WWA We never do well when NWS goes bullish. Best to see WWAs and over perform than WSWs and shit the blinds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said: Serious question, why do people use the 12k when the 3k exists? 12K I feel does better in the 36-48 period...3K I like o 24-30, not much beyond really 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 minute ago, mdhokie said: We never do well when NWS goes bullish. Best to see WWAs and over perform than WSWs and shit the blinds. Yeah I think a WWA for 2-4”, and maybe 3-5” in the favored spots should work. No need to jump the gun on a warning IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: Serious question, why do people use the 12k when the 3k exists? Easy. Shows more snow 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, mdhokie said: We never do well when NWS goes bullish. Best to see WWAs and over perform than WSWs and shit the blinds. That’s been my worry too. They used to go all conservative and then have to up their totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Does NAM'd + why haven't they hoisted WWAs + MBY pettyness + free space = BINGO? 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, diatae said: Does NAM'd + why haven't they hoisted WWAs + MBY pettyness + free space = BINGO? We have a winner! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 21 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: It actually shows 2-4".. ratios have it changing over to ice briefly along I-95. Man stop It with those Atari maps. If you’re going to post depth maps fine but at least find one with PS2 level graphics. 4 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 When will the soundings come out for DCA and IAD? Curious if they show the warm nose intruding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 19 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Nice runs so far. I think the 12k is overdone, 3k more realistic. But growing more confident for an area wide 2-4"er with someone getting 5"+ Agreed with this. I have a max of 6” somewhere in this one, but the concept is the same. A nice storm for much, if not everyone here. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 THE GEESE HAVE THE FINAL SAY! 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Man stop It with those Atari maps. If you’re going to post depth maps fine but at least find one with PS2 level graphics. Ahem.. Your snow forecast map kinda had an Atari vibe to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Man stop It with those Atari maps. If you’re going to post depth maps fine but at least find one with PS2 level graphics. I like the maps just fine.. you can't see everything? They animate nicely. You can show me better maps if you want, but I like snow depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3 hours ago, Paleocene said: Is that map based on population density? Or road density? There’s a lot of variables involved, but population is taken into consideration. Only one piece of the puzzle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Agreed with this. I have a max of 6” somewhere in this one, but the concept is the same. A nice storm for much, if not everyone here. Will be the best storm ive had here in baltimore county, md in 3 years!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 I'm so old I remember when this thread had people wondering why LWX was suddenly so bullish. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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