clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 ICON juiced up slightly. Should be a better run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Thank you sir. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 4 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: I could be way off but I see snow starting around 5 pm tomorrow ending around 5 pm Tuesday around DC. Is this way off I don't see any snow tonight. Maybe some flurry's mid day tomorrow. What am I missing? Around 6am tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 18z HRRR is cold smoke for everyone west of the bay it seems. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: 12z HRRR is cold smoke for everyone west of the bay it seems. 12z run? Typo, you mean newest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z HRRR is cold smoke for everyone west of the bay it seems. Did you mean 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: 12z run? Typo, you mean newest? 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Did you mean 18z? Sigh, yes. My phone stinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 29 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nah. WWA at best friend When's the last time we even had a WWA for the DC Metro-Balt, or at least a "legit" one? Seriously, would that have been March 2022, with that short cold blast and a couple of inches of snow (some areas got more)? I know there was the pre-dawn half inch in early February last year but don't know if they even issued anything for that (and the only measurable snow all last season!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 18Z RGEM looks like a weenie run based off the early maps, FWIW. Also supports the WWA tonight, I believe. Better maps hopefully in a few. admittedly not as epic as I'd thought it might be (early maps might show some virga) it still juiced up slightly. tries a bit w/ the coastal as well 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: admittedly not as epic as I'd thought it might be (early maps might show some virga) it still juiced up slightly. tries a bit w/ the coastal as well Very nice, uniform swath. I like it, tries with coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: admittedly not as epic as I'd thought it might be (early maps might show some virga) it still juiced up slightly. tries a bit w/ the coastal as well 3" is the number. Anything more is bonus. I know we all would take this. No one loses and no one is a big winner either. Equality guys, equality 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 36 minutes ago, stormy said: Nam raises my Kuchera to 4.7 from 4.0. Mt. psu gets 6.2. He said he needed at least 4 so this should make him happy. I meant real snow. That’s like 50” of NAM snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deguy50 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 23 minutes ago, Benjamn3 said: I agree, I have anxiety, depression and back pain (USMC vet lmao) and it helps me immensely. Good Luck! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, Deck Pic said: What does the SUNY MM5 show? Omg, what a throwback 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: This event reminds me a little of 2/1-2/13. Though, this should be better. Snow showers fell periodically over a 2 day period with temps below freezing. Sometimes moderate. Only ended up with 1", but it was nice to have snow in the air for a lot of the time. Remember that one, wintry scene. This should be accompanied (hopefully by periods of moderate rates, maybe we get some 1/2mi vis SN going to help tack on some totals. I do think there will be some localized heavier stuff, especially if coastal enhancement pants out overnight tomorrow. If I still lived near Baltimore, my bar would be about 2.5” right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2024 Author Share Posted January 14, 2024 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: What does the SUNY MM5 show? Amwx had an MM5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, DDweatherman said: Remember that one, wintry scene. This should be accompanied (hopefully by periods of moderate rates, maybe we get some 1/2mi vis SN going to help tack on some totals. I do think there will be some localized heavier stuff, especially if coastal enhancement pants out overnight tomorrow. If I still lived near Baltimore, my bar would be about 2.5” right now The National Weather Service promised me 3-4"+ so that's my bar 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I meant real snow. That’s like 50” of NAM snow Just smile and be happy, that's headed in the right direction. The NAM Nest has raised you from 3.5" to 6.3". Wow!!! If this keeps up You may need to get your blower out!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2024 Author Share Posted January 14, 2024 hurry up gfs, I wanna nap so bad 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Anyone ready to keep the fire burning with the GFS? Or are we due for a shit run with 2” totals only DC and south? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: hurry up gfs, I wanna nap so bad Is this going to be a drunken PBP (sort of like Drunken Boxing)??? Hopefully we'll get a very slurred "FOLKS!", and then you can return to your martini(s)! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Anyone know what that RRFS experimental thing is? Hopefully is sucks because it’s the only thing that has looked consistently awful for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Anyone ready to keep the fire burning with the GFS? Or are we due for a shit run with 2” totals only DC and south? As one who's suffered in the SE FfxCo lowlands with mere "fattie" snow flurries for about 15 min earlier this afternoon...I'll take a shit run of 2" over the next 48 hours. Although the warnings issued forth from LWX are definitely encouraging for tonight and the next day or two, as well as the end of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Anyone know what that RRFS experimental thing is? Hopefully is sucks because it’s the only thing that has looked consistently awful for our area. I tried to use it for our last event and it crapped out before we got 24 hours in, but it showed a lot of sleet and I got a lot of rain, so it's not a magic bullet. I do think it is "supposed" to be the latest and greatest short/hi-res model, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 How concerned are yall with the dry air eating up the snow? Do the models take that into consideration? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I tried to use it for our last event and it crapped out before we got 24 hours in, but it showed a lot of sleet and I got a lot of rain, so it's not a magic bullet. I do think it is "supposed" to be the latest and greatest short/hi-res model, though. It’s not. It has a lot of work to do imo. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 8 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Is this going to be a drunken PBP (sort of like Drunken Boxing)??? Hopefully we'll get a very slurred "FOLKS!", and then you can return to your martini(s)! It would be more fun if he said “FUCKS!” Am I wrong? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 52 minutes ago, Jeff R. said: Stormy, I would be interested in receiving your newsletter- can I send you a PM with my e-mail address? sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 7 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Have they run the 1.33 km NAM over the mid atlantic. Often they'll do it if there is a storm. That’s for real??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 14 minutes ago, stormy said: Just smile and be happy, that's headed in the right direction. The NAM Nest has raised you from 3.5" to 6.3". Wow!!! If this keeps up You may need to get your blower out!!! It’s best to ignore the NAM. Actually the totals further south seem safer. It’s all from the initial band. Further north it’s a combo of getting fringed by wave 1 and 2. That’s the kinda stuff that’s risky. NW of 95 has more upside but also more bust potential is the initial band sets up south like non NAM guidance and then the coastal doesn’t get going in time. Would leave places NW dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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