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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??


stormtracker
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13 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

Heading out to hang with my fellas and keep the Sunday wild card NFL tradition going.  It has been over a decade and even babies being born soon before and soon after and snow storms haven’t been able to stop it.  
 

Might need my 16 yr old son to pick me up tonight!  Beer and legal herbs and cold and football and snow squalls and a 2-4”+ event tomorrow night help the mood.  We are all teachers and could use a snow day for sure. 
 

Hope all in this sub-forum score a cold smoke even tomorrow night!

you all go into downtown Staunton or you have another spot?  Enjoy!!

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Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
235 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024

DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016>018-503-504-VAZ053>057-501-502-505-506-526-
527-150145-
District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-
St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-
Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
Including the cities of Washington, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill,
Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs,
Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold,
Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California,
Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby,
Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville,
Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Reston, Herndon, Annandale,
Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria,
Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton,
Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket,
Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair
235 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024

...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR THE WASHINGTON
METROPOLITAN INTO FREDERICKSBURG AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND MONDAY
MORNING...

There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for the
Monday morning morning commute. A period of snow is POSSIBLE (a
40 TO 60 percent chance) late tonight into Monday morning across
the Washington metro area into Fredericksburg and southern
Maryland with up to an inch of accumulation along with the
potential for snow covered roads.

If this threat does materialize during the late tonight through
the Monday morning commute, many roads could quickly turn snow
covered. This could lead to dangerous traveling conditions,
multiple accidents, and extensive delays.

If commuting late tonight through Monday morning, be aware of the
POSSIBILITY of significant travel disruptions. Plan ahead by
allowing for extra travel time, and consider using public
transportation and telework options.

Stay tuned for updates on this potential winter weather episode.


$$
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
235 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024

VAZ025>027-029-030-036>040-050-051-507-508-150345-
/O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.240115T0600Z-240115T1800Z/
Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-Warren-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-
Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
235 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations around 1 to 2
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of central and northern Virginia.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The combination of
  cold temperatures and accumulating snow will cause hazardous
  conditions for the Monday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on
steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery,
increasing your risk of a fall and injury.
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2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We truly are the best subforum. Gallows humor, herb remedies, bargaining stage champs. Excited for 2-4”.  I’m glad to be with y’all. 

If we get the snow tomorrow/Tuesday I want props for taking the bullet to get the bad thread out of the way to get a good one

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC235 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024VAZ025>027-029-030-036>040-050-051-507-508-150345-/O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.240115T0600Z-240115T1800Z/Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-Warren-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-235 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM ESTMONDAY...* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations around 1 to 2 inches.* WHERE...Portions of central and northern Virginia.* WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM EST Monday.* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The combination of cold temperatures and accumulating snow will cause hazardous conditions for the Monday morning commute.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...Slow down and use caution while traveling.When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken onsteps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery,increasing your risk of a fall and injury.


1-2” for Charlottesville tonight/tomorrow morning seems a little bold… but NWS is clearly bullish.
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3 minutes ago, konksw said:

Does this potential inch overnight tonight show up on any models?

Sort of.  3k NAM might give us a better idea.  Also HRRR this evening.  And maybe some other short range products.  
 

Hopefully RGEM gives us 6-8” (not happening) 

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We truly are the best subforum. Gallows humor, herb remedies, bargaining stage champs. Excited for 2-4”.  I’m glad to be with y’all. 

I have lived in the Hudson valley in NY, buffalo, central PA and now here since 2007. I’ve been active in all of those subforums over the years. This is hands down the best subforum on AmericanWX. We have the best analysis / discussions without a doubt and while we’re all snow weenies / psychopaths in our own right, there’s no community I’d rather be a part of.
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