Buddy1987 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GFS differs with placement of that nice stripe of heavier totals compared to hi res short term. Will be interesting to see who ends up winning that battle. GFS also more of a make everyone happy kind of setup in the other fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, WxUSAF said: Dang, nice run for central VA. Gimme dat. The Spotsylvania/Fredericksburg bullseye is usually congrats HoCo! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Remember to wipe your snowboard every 6 hours and mound up all the snow on it and measure in that pile! I’m kinda expecting this one to bullseye FDK to DC if the GFS adjusts north a bit to look like the others with the jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Slowly moving NW with the heavy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 9 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Well, the trends at 5H are undeniable. Might actually have to break out a discussion for the forum tonight A general 2-4” is increasing in probability. Can see a 5-6” jackpot in this as well. Great trends so far. Let’s reel this one in 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Slowly moving NW with the heavy Very nice to see the purples popping up in VA a lot more this run. Getting that heavier QPF east of the mtn’s is a nice sign for upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: The Spotsylvania/Fredericksburg bullseye is usually congrats HoCo! I like the way you think 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, WxUSAF said: I like the way you think If you blend em, I could see you doing very well on this one I’ll gladly take 2-3” and let you have a 4-5” jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: I like the way you think Yeah, except I live 10 miles NE of Fredericksburg, but 2” is my bar and that seems doable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Looks like a very solid event. Happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, konksw said: Looks like a very solid event. Happy. Like where this one is for the DC area. Euro has been getting progressively wetter too. Wondering what the ceiling is as h5 heights continue to improve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Looks good for area wide 2-4. Some could eke out a bit more depending on banding. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GFS is solid but boy oh boy still quite a bit of spread when compared to the high res guidance. I mean we go from 4-6+ south of the DMV area on the GFS to heavier snow north towards Balt north with warm ~925 mb layer issues along/east of 95 here, esp in So. MD, per the NAM and high res guidance. All within 36, maybe 24 hours from go time. Weird. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: GFS is solid but boy oh boy still quite a bit of spread when compared to the high res guidance. I mean we go from 4-6+ south of the DMV area on the GFS to heavier snow north towards Balt north with warm ~925 mb layer issues along/east of 95 here, esp in So. MD, per the NAM and high res guidance. All within 36, maybe 24 hours from go time. Weird. Wild isn't it? I'll defer to the Euro for some additional assistance since it is a global but higher res in comparison. Has been improving the h5 look out in front and juicing up qpf the last 2 suites. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Looks like the 50th percentile forecast for NBM is 3" from DC north. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 See yall at 12:45 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: See yall at 12:45 Margarita in hand. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Still pissed they rescheduled the Buffalo game. That was my excuse to drink early. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 why were we freaking out ab the NAM again? it's the only model that shows ice here. the only model out of dozens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, CAPE said: Still pissed they rescheduled the Buffalo game. That was my excuse to drink early. I know! Same here. The stadium is under a beautiful band too. Ugh 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, CAPE said: Still pissed they rescheduled the Buffalo game. That was my excuse to drink early. Who needs an excuse? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Still pissed they rescheduled the Buffalo game. That was my excuse to drink early. Now you can drink early because you’re pissed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Chris78 said: Who needs an excuse? Exactly lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 M0.5" Finksburg, Carroll County 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 7 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: why were we freaking out ab the NAM again? it's the only model that shows ice here. the only model out of dozens CMC has been more amped/warmer, but not as pronounced as the NAM. It's probably doing its typical over-amping thing. 12z Euro is an important run to me. It had my area warming more w less precip for the second half of the event, a tick towards the CMC. I doubt any of this impacts areas west of I-95. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 16 minutes ago, CAPE said: Exactly lol. Caps game at 1:00. Good enough to start the day with a 15% Barrel Aged Stout. Lol. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 19 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: I know! Same here. The stadium is under a beautiful band too. Ugh I chased this one and I’m literally a mile too far north from that epic band. I can see the dark clouds in the short distance. Extracting a healthy tooth would be less painful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Anyone have Canadian at 12z? Been frozen forever on TT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Anyone have Canadian at 12z? Been frozen forever on TT 2-4 for most of the region 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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