konksw Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Like that trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, yoda said: hr 48 will be the make or break.. Better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Nice solid area of precip over the area at 51 hours...light/mod 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 NAM trying to hook up southern portion of forum here. Liking how the trajectory is pointed directly toward ROA and CHO minimum 48 looks even better as that band pivots toward I-81/64/66 really hoping for most to get in on 2-4” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I think DGZ looks good to at hr 48 and 51? @WxUSAF is that right looking at the soundings in DC metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Precip extent is wider. going from SW to NE..still light/mod at 60 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Snow depth is 2"+ over a good portion of the area 54hr.. still snowing 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Precip extent is wider. going from SW to NE..still light/mod at 60 Hopefully we are able to get enhancement from the coastal like 18z showed in the next few frames Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I’ll say it. Nam’D. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 For this storm, that’s a NAMing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nice solid area of precip over the area at 51 hours...light/mod it comes in quite a bit earlier than the globals...we're snowing by like 4-5 pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 00z 3km NAM has 2" of snow at DCA by 03z TUES and still snowing nicely 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 At we're at 60 and will be for a while because the NAM is run on a Pentium II 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: At we're at 60 and will be for a while because the NAM is run on a Pentium II It’s soooo slow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 60hr.. it's still snowing back to KY https://ibb.co/pJdmv8V 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Nice to see the NAM but PV (the site) seems to be slow tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Looks like it's essentially a frontal boundary with a few pieces of energy riding the wave...with the strength of each vort determining the outcome. I'm expecting "periods of light snow" in the forecast for 24 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 ok, we're back...snowing still at 66 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
primetime Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Parr's Ridge has a local maximum just north of Manchester into southern York County, PA. Gotcha. I drive to Manchester quite a but and I just never really noticed the elevation change. Interesting to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Light stuff rocking on at...69hour 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 If this weird boundary setup comes to pass, a good 24 hours of snow to get 2-4 sounds pretty. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, baltosquid said: If this weird boundary setup comes to pass, a good 24 hours of snow to get 2-4 sounds pretty. i'll take that in a heartbeat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Light stuff rocking on at...69hour Wow longer duration event than i thought! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 wrapping it up around hour 75 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3k doesnt look that great, but it truncates at 60- tho it doesnt look like much after this panel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 00z NAM has QPF max of 0.5" in DC/BWI metro 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Somebody else can post the pretty maps, but snow depth map is 2to4. Other maps might be higher 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 46 minutes ago, jayyy said: For sure. Gotta think there’s another NAMing inbound since it’s the Nams ensemble. The main focus is on us getting NAM'ed, but I'll just make a quick point that this isn't really true. The SREF is a mix of 13 ARW and 13 NMMB runs using a mix of RAP, NAM, and GFS initial conditions (and multiple physics). Yes, half of the members have the same model core as the NAM, and roughly 1/3 use NAM initial conditions, but it's not a NAM ensemble. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 NAM’d 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Been talking about this 18 hour+ duration snd like others said cold up top so fluffy and dark and it could be .30/31 and we would do fine but it will be colder. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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