Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??

[MillvilleWx]

51 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

I know it’s just a tiny little artifact in it all, but the WSSI has a tiny dot just north of FDK and that is basically where I live. I’ve never seen anything like that before. Hilarious 

[Ravens94]

Multiple GEFS members are hinting at higher snowfall.

Lots of members show more coastal moisture flowing in kinda deform ish

[Scraff]

1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

Multiple GEFS members are hinting at higher snowfall 

Are they hinting at any more TDs for the Cowboys in the second half as well? Asking for myself. All my friends hate Dallas.  Anyway—hope we can get a little last minute juicy QPF. 

[Ravens94]

Mean also increased area wide. 

[paulythegun]

This is my favorite storm of all time. I saw the radar the night before. I was in sixth grade and remember thinking, “That looks like it’s headed right for us.” And yet Bob on NBC was saying we were just gonna get grazed for an inch or two. 

For me, the Jan 2000 surprise storm led to over 2 decades of radar hallucinations. Still, no regrets.

[clskinsfan]

Radar looks pretty good down in TN. Shield seems more expansive than the models are initializing with?

[dailylurker]

1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

Storm thread is always kind of a banter thread. Plus now Dallas' ass whipping will be remembered forever with this storm. 

I agree. I feel like it's a party for snow weirdos with mets scattered around giving out info lol. 

Let's do this. 

[Wonderdog]

1 hour ago, Solution Man said:

Glad to see you back 

Thanks

[jayyy]

I agree. I feel like it's a party for snow weirdos with mets scattered around giving out info lol. 
Let's do this. 

[mappy]

Y’all there is a banter thread to talk football. Thanks.

[Maestrobjwa]

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

It was a slight improvement I think 

Dang I can't believe we're having something trend BETTER as we get closer...been a long time!

[Paleocene]

42 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

I know it’s just a tiny little artifact in it all, but the WSSI has a tiny dot just north of FDK and that is basically where I live. I’ve never seen anything like that before. Hilarious 

Is that map based on population density? Or road density?

[Warm Nose]

3 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Is that map based on population density? Or road density?

Hopium density.

[StormyClearweather]

Euro with a healthier "finger" of very light precip late tonight, which is new from 12Z.

[wasnow215]

1 hour ago, DDweatherman said:

Can’t help but think a compromise of the euro and the gfs gives the NW crew 4-5”  and our DC brethren win too 

I don’t have to ask how much for Short Pump! A lot! Lol

[Buddy1987]

22z hrrr looks very very healthy with the shield of precip pointing directly at the Mid Atlantic. Can’t ask for much more!

[wtkidz]

You all might want to look at this…. It appears to be coming…

[NorthArlington101]

18z EURO

[StormyClearweather]

18Z runs of all the models because I have nothing better to do.

 

[aldie 22]

7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

18z EURO

Euro giving the southern crew some love

[WEATHER53]

1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

These types of events used to be a staple here. 70s-80s had plenty. Looking forward to it. Felt pretty good last week about a couple cold inches. Seems like a lock at this point. 

Bob I’d say the 60’s also , Arctic front blows through like todays and kicked off a week or longer of cold and snow. Very few winters it didn’t happen, I think just two in the 60’s 

[osfan24]

11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

18z EURO

Euro is one stingy mofo

[Terpeast]

Just now, osfan24 said:

Euro is one stingy mofo

Judging from that loop a few posts above, the euro is the furthest south of any model with that frozen precip field. The gfs does amp up amounts everywhere including down south, though 

[WxUSAF]

2-4” for most seems like the best forecast, but I think someone gets over 5”. Hopefully me.

[Ji]

Euro giving the southern crew some love

Euro hates me…like you!

[aldie 22]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Euro hates me…like you!

I don't hate you man...it's just ball busting...you're good at it as well  the euro on the other hand...probably so lol

[CAPE]

6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

2-4” for most seems like the best forecast, but I think someone gets over 5”. Hopefully me.

3-5 here between the Euro and GFS. Way good. Reality will be 2-3. Still way good.

[wawarriors4]

11 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Euro giving the southern crew some love

We usually know how that ends up. Bar is 2”, feel good about that.

[clskinsfan]

Memphis is light snow and 14 degrees right now. Cold smoke down there.

[Kevin Reilly]

13 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Judging from that loop a few posts above, the euro is the furthest south of any model with that frozen precip field. The gfs does amp up amounts everywhere including down south, though 

Now the next think to wonder about which model does the best with overrunning precipitation and how much of a jet overhead can we get to force the moisture up and over the top most efficiently.