DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: It was a slight improvement I think Can’t help but think a compromise of the euro and the gfs gives the NW crew 4-5” and our DC brethren win too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Sounds like they’re having a hard time coming up with a quality system. Oh well. Correct. It's really tough to generate meaningful spread from a single model core in the short range. And the struggles of the FV3 core aren't helping things. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I think there is still room for improvement…call me crazy I think ur right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 18z GFS vs 12z https://ibb.co/mvmTR4x Nice NW trend there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 10 minutes ago, nj2va said: Yeah looks like about 1” tonight/tomorrow morning for the metro areas. I don’t know what to think about this overnight piece. Seems like all guidance doesn’t have it. But gfs has been increasingly bullish. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, WxUSAF said: I don’t know what to think about this overnight piece. Seems like all guidance doesn’t have it. But gfs has been increasingly bullish. SW flow and these overrunning events as we know tend to have leading edge precip and it can over perform. That being said, DP’s dropped quite a bit and we’ll need to saturate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 The way its looking.. the snow events we got this coming week are gonna give us all more snow then weve probably gotten last few winters combined... as crazy as it sounds!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: If we get 5” I might literally sh*t myself lol 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t know what to think about this overnight piece. Seems like all guidance doesn’t have it. But gfs has been increasingly bullish. I don’t know what to think either but surprises that can complicate tomorrow night worry me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 GFS is MINT. No temp/mixing/dry slot issues at all. 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 I have my Margarita now. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I don’t know what to think about this overnight piece. Seems like all guidance doesn’t have it. But gfs has been increasingly bullish. The hi res Canadian HERPEDERPES has it too. A bit lighter than GFS but like 0.5”-0.9” for the metro areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, CAPE said: GFS is MINT. No temp/mixing/dry slot issues at all. I think this is the part of the storm I am most happy about. Column is fine. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Just now, CAPE said: I have my Margarita now. You had to wait until 5:02? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, CAPE said: GFS is MINT. No temp/mixing/dry slot issues at all. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 8 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Can’t help but think a compromise of the euro and the gfs gives the NW crew 4-5” and our DC brethren win too GFS is really cold for northern crew. Temps never get above mid 20's fwiw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 I missed the 18z GFS 6 inch line by about 5 miles. My GFS,ECM,GEM,NAM blend is 4.5 inches. I can handle that light fluffy amount with my blade without getting the blower out. Last winter I put the blade and chains on the tractor and took them off in early April without ever using. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Small changes in 21z RAPhttps://ibb.co/0DtM2r6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 3 minutes ago, H2O said: I think this is the part of the storm I am most happy about. Column is fine. Agree. GEM and NAM have been dry slotting here in addition to some temp issues for Tuesday. GEM backed off some at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 16 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I think there is still room for improvement…call me crazy You so crazy. Only because I agree. Trend is our friend this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 3 minutes ago, Scraff said: You had to wait until 5:02? I got sidetracked and had to run some errands. Just getting around to it. Probably for the best lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Small changes in 21z RAPhttps://ibb.co/0DtM2r6 Rap/Ruc isn't exactly the greatest model at this point, but it does "beat" the HRRR sometimes close in. I wouldn't rely on it, but I think it's worth looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 https://ibb.co/VCTCWHk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: https://ibb.co/VCTCWHk Drastic snow increases on that through 26h 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: I got sidetracked and had to run some errands. Just getting around to it. Probably for the best lol. Always room for you Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 Any snow totals out of Tennessee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 4 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 18 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Nice NW trend there Very nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 It was a slight improvement I think HoCo jackpot. Knewwww it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 14, 2024 Share Posted January 14, 2024 12 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Small changes in 21z RAPhttps://ibb.co/0DtM2r6 January 25, 2000 vibes....well, maybe not that insane, but the trends continue 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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