Swiscaster Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 35 minutes ago, CAPE said: Margarita in hand. u sure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said: Well, the trends at 5H are undeniable. Might actually have to break out a discussion for the forum tonight A general 2-4” is increasing in probability. Can see a 5-6” jackpot in this as well. Great trends so far. Let’s reel this one in This is the return of hope, maybe even outright jubilation. Break out the tracks that remind of snow during an epic jebwalk and blast them like it's January 1996! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 12z UKIE is i95 special 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 JI and I are fringed! Me more than him! LOL! I expected us all to get barely anything, so these are nice trends! KEEP them coming! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 12z UKIE is i95 special NAM GFS Euro and Ukie all aligned on this it seems. 2-3” with 4” lollipops on some models JUST outside the metros. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Are we forseeing daytime road stickage with this one or are we too marginal at the surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 14 minutes ago, Swiscaster said: u sure? No. Too early. I'm heading out for a bit so I will not be present for the pbp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 15z NBM blend is juicing back up. 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, AmericanWxFreak said: Are we forseeing daytime road stickage with this one or are we too marginal at the surface? Mesonet 2" soil temps are already tanking. We'll be good. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 If we get the coastal to come back from the grave this is going to be the craziest reverse coup seen by the gfs, like some Trojan horse type shit. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I wanna see the GFS purples get up to cover MD too. Looks like it knows where the state border is right now lol. Maybe we can get the backend to pop a bit for a parting gift or just keep improving the H5 look and get a stouter opening event before the spotty middle portion of the storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 11 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: If we get the coastal to come back from the grave this is going to be the craziest reverse coup seen by the gfs, like some Trojan horse type shit. ...Or a Trojan Rabbit! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Looks like two groups of models, one has more snow NW of the fall line, the other has more SE. Gonna be interesting, and I hope everyone wins. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Terpeast said: Looks like two groups of models, one has more snow NW of the fall line, the other has more SE. Gonna be interesting, and I hope everyone wins. When is snow supposed to start in DC metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Jersey Andrew said: When is snow supposed to start in DC metro? Some models say tomorrow midday, others delay it until tomorrow evening. Hard to say, depends on where that narrow band aims and when the column gets saturated enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Looks like two groups of models, one has more snow NW of the fall line, the other has more SE. Gonna be interesting, and I hope everyone wins. Right along 95 or JUST NW in places like Howard county, NW Baltimore county, E MoCo appears to be where many models are keying in for those possible 3-4” amounts. Love to see it . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, jayyy said: Right along 95 or JUST NW in places like Howard county, NW Baltimore county, E MoCo appears to be where many models are keying in for those possible 3-4” amounts. Love to see it . Yeah, I think those areas will be the winners, at least in agreement from the two groups of modeling. Personally, I’m not sure what to root for. The more amped NW group where I get more, but with potential ptype issues along and SE of 95… or the colder solutions with a central VA jack. Leaning towards the latter because I love cold smoke snows even if I get less. A compromise between the two would be perfect. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 It has begun...should be in range shortly 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Every so slightly amp'd out front. Slightly better ridging out west. But nothing to get too excited about...as of now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 A little splotch (Very technical term) of precip over us at 12z..probably virga. Nothing organized yet...back to clear over the area at at 15z 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GEFS gives us the one hundo percent chance for an inch. First time I’ve also seen the >4 inch 24 hr probability get into the greens (10-20%) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 21 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Approaching at 4pm, nothing yet tho. seems later than NAM/GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Just now, umdterps29 said: Yay! WWA worthy! On the map baby 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Approaching at 4pm, nothing yet tho. seems later than NAM/GFS Not a bad look, delayed but maybe not denied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Just knocking on the door at 0z tomorrow. Snow just up to Old town VA. my condolences, snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 damn. Bullish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 10pm, light snow over the area. H5 just shows a hair of a difference from 6z...pretty much stable between the runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 10am Tuesday, snow, freezing line dissecting DC., I-95..850s plenty cold 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: damn. Bullish Wow, bullish. I was thinking 1-2” locally 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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