Deer Whisperer Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 7 hours ago, psuhoffman said: This has @BristowWx getting less than me. Guaranteed to not verify haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 57 minutes ago, Benjamn3 said: I’ve noticed this as well, it seems like this MET is new to the office. I don’t think this person likes commenting on snow, I noticed this on the last disturbance last week. Still probably a little too early for the HRRR but damn does it look great. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Nam time, can’t believe I said that 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Nam time, can’t believe I said that I can 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Seeing some slight positive changes at H5. Flow in front is a hair sharper/higher heights. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Code orange aleet 13 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Snow on the doorstep at 10am (is that later than before?). plenty cold...0 and sfc fz is VA/NC border 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Still probably a little too early for the HRRR but damn does it look great. Show us! (I’m at a work meeting so I can’t deep dive) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Snow starts at 1pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Are we gonna have to deal with some virga to start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Are we gonna have to deal with some virga to start?Looking at the composite reflectivity map of several model runs this morning… yes. Good news is that should be accounted for in all the snow maps. Bad news is it’s annoying 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Light to uh...heavy light at 7pm tomm...temps no issue 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Show us! (I’m at a work meeting so I can’t deep dive) Extended HRRR 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 The H5 changes in the NAM are definitely there in the east. Noticeable sharper/higher heights ahead. Not sure it'll translate into something better at the surface...still waiting 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Nam says light snow and temps in the 20s all day tomorrow, an inch by sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Extended HRRR Thanks for posting for us and @jayyy on my phone. Yea that’s freakin solid. 12k Nam looks good as well. @stormtracker Randy coming through on new thread to save us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Nicely snowing at 10pm. Coastal seems to be gathering a bit sooner down south 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 A lot more precip in the TN valley at 42, coastal more organized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Still going at 45, but looks like a bit of a dry slot literally just south of DC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: The H5 changes in the NAM are definitely there in the east. Noticeable sharper/higher heights ahead. Not sure it'll translate into something better at the surface...still waiting My only fear for DC not breaking the 1” streak would be if this continues to amp a little and it pushed the arctic boundary (which is the focus of that band) NW of the city to quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 ok, fills in and still going at 48..looks like some coastal enhancement..nothing super heavy tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 This is about as much as to what we could’ve hoped and asked for. Keep the trending rocking! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: ok, fills in and still going at 48..looks like some coastal enhancement..nothing super heavy tho Thanks for the pop Randy - anything is something, which is more than most of us have gotten for 2 years. Bring er home! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Ok, going at 51, but 850s getting a touch dicey. Swings just NW of DC...freezing line still just south EDIT...I switched them around..850s are fine...freezing line gets a little NW of DC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 ok, fills in and still going at 48..looks like some coastal enhancement..nothing super heavy thoWxBell has that band as light ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: WxBell has that band as light ice interesting since it seems cold enough at that time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: ok, fills in and still going at 48..looks like some coastal enhancement..nothing super heavy tho Yes front is slightly less positive tilt and this allows the second wave to amplify a bit more and pull the boundary back southeast a bit just in time to save DC. This is a nice little bonus surprise trending. The big storm 3rd wave idea is dead dead. But guidance is bringing back the idea of wave 2 enhancement and along with the lead frontal wave the 1-2 combo could end up a nice event. A HECS by 2020s standards! 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Artic front appears to have crossed Frostburg. Mesonet site shows a drop in temperatures. Already flirting with the teens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Outcome would seem to favor NW in terms of heaviest snow. We'll see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 interesting since it seems cold enough at that time frameWarm layer at 925 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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