jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, BristowWx said: Yep. That’s 3.1 I did not have before. 3-3.5” to get me to 6-6.5” for the season heading into prime climo and a solid looking longwave pattern? Why not. Sign me up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 QPF is just a bit better pretty much everywhere. trend = friend 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: What’s the bar for folks on this? 2.5" imby, over 2.5" would be awesome. 1.25"-2.5" would be a bit of a bummer but still fun. Anything under an inch is unacceptable 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Deck Pic said: 2.5" imby, over 2.5" would be awesome. 1.25"-2.5" would be a bit of a bummer but still fun. Anything under an inch is unacceptable yep we need to break the streak. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Gfs?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, DCAlexandria said: Gfs? . Widespread 2-4" of cold smoke. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: QPF is just a bit better pretty much everywhere. trend = friend My yard went from 0.00” to 0.25”. Nice to see that Shenandoah Valley snow hole go away. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, DCAlexandria said: Gfs? . There's a button at the bottom of the posts where you can go to the previous page. 2 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Did we just get NAM’d for an event 90% of us gave up on? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1-3 on 00z CMC FWIW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 17 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: What’s the bar for folks on this? U/O 3" Expecting Trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 If we keep trending up to storm time, we can get back to how it was 3 days ago 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, Fozz said: Did we just get NAM’d for an event 90% of us gave up on? well less than 90%. Why would someone give up on something like 4-5 days out? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 maybe there is some merit in starting a 2nd thread if things aren't looking great 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 9 minutes ago, Fozz said: Did we just get NAM’d for an event 90% of us gave up on? I live to get NAM’d. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: If we keep trending up to storm time, we can get back to how it was 3 days ago It would be pretty epic to see models 48 hour us back into a legit coastal but honestly, I’d take this current solution of a prolonged light to occasionally moderate snow event. It’s going to look and feel wintry out there and the metros should hopefully finally break their streaks. Let’s get everyone on the board at this point. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: maybe there is some merit in starting a 2nd thread if things aren't looking great yup..Best thing Randy could have done. Manifesting this event was our only real option left. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: well less than 90%. Why would someone give up on something like 4-5 days out? Emotions and the ridiculous theory that it can’t snow here anymore lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 While y'all are getting NAMed, I'm geting... uh... RAPPED. (Had to be careful there.) Snow ongoing at this point. 4 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 0z GFS snow depth has it hitting up to 2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 21 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: 2.5" imby, over 2.5" would be awesome. 1.25"-2.5" would be a bit of a bummer but still fun. Anything under an inch is unacceptable my most important thing is 1 inch at DCA so i can stop hearing CWG brag about the DC 1 inch record 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: While y'all are getting NAMed, I'm geting... uh... RAPPED. (Had to be careful there.) Snow ongoing at this point. 03z RAP vs 21z.. a little flatter. looks like more precip though https://ibb.co/PYKyM5D 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: While y'all are getting NAMed, I'm geting... uh... RAPPED. (Had to be careful there.) Snow ongoing at this point. Can we extRAPPolate this for us or what? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 minutes ago, jayyy said: Can we extRAPPolate this for us or what? Yeah, that's all positive snow depth.. best looking totals if you run it out Here's the 700mb rh at 51hrfwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, Ji said: my most important thing is 1 inch at DCA so i can stop hearing CWG brag about the DC 1 inch record the record was actually set in the 2010s and I doubt we were gonna break it. We'd have to go basically snowless until sometime in March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 basically guaranteed inch on GEFS, probs around 4-5" mean w/ 0.3" qpf and adjusting w 15:1 ratios 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 .I was mourning the loss of the squall line tomorrow in my own bitter, bitter way. carry on all! I’ll keep my whining to the panic room. Squall lines are fun though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: basically guaranteed inch on GEFS, probs around 4-5" mean w/ 0.3" qpf and adjusting w 15:1 ratios AKA the snap the BWI/DCA streak probability map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 18 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Yeah, that's all positive snow depth.. best looking totals if you run it out Here's the 700mb rh at 51hrfwiw Welp… snow is streaming over from Tennessee, which is usually our winning path. Just not the usual way we get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 UKIE is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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