winter_warlock Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 FWIW. The JMA had the storm on the 16th lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: FWIW. The JMA had the storm on the 16th lol Look! Another 1007mb low. Models love that number 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Look! Another 1007mb low. Models love that number I wish theyd love a 985 mb of lower number more lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Look! Another 1007mb low. Models love that number Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: 2-3” in the HoCo bullseye. All in. All chips in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 hours ago, high risk said: This was discussed last night. It's not just the HRRR - every hi-res model has a line of snow squalls rolling through the area Sunday morning. Yeah, it might be rain drops for a few minutes, but it will quickly turn to a fun burst of snow. Dynamic for 15 minutes been here before but usually these little mesoscale events lead to a major snowstorm in a week or less. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Euro is 1-2” for metro areas. @CAPEbullseye with 2-3”. It’s actually close to bringing the coastal idea back and does for areas to our north. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, WxUSAF said: Euro is 1-2” for metro areas. @CAPEbullseye with 2-3”. It’s actually close to bringing the coastal idea back and does for areas to our north. At least every model gives us snow. Feeling confident that a complete miss is off the table ( famous last words lol. ) There's still time for minor improvements which would lead to a decent event to kick off the week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Anyone have euro snowmap for tues deal?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, Imgoinhungry said: Anyone have euro snowmap for tues deal? . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, HighStakes said: At least every model gives us snow. Feeling confident that a complete miss is off the table ( famous last words lol. ) There's still time for minor improvements which would lead to a decent event to kick off the week. Seems like we should be setting expectations at "we should see snow fall," which is perfectly ok. When was the last time anyone actually saw snow for more than an hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 8 minutes ago, HighStakes said: At least every model gives us snow. Feeling confident that a complete miss is off the table ( famous last words lol. ) There's still time for minor improvements which would lead to a decent event to kick off the week. 1-3” of fluff will certainly make it feel like a real wintry week ahead of our MECS next weekend 9 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 3 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: Seems like we should be setting expectations at "we should see snow fall," which is perfectly ok. When was the last time anyone actually saw snow for more than an hour? I can’t remember. Not sure who remembers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I can’t remember. Not sure who remembers. The western crew last weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I can’t remember. Not sure who remembers. Pepperidge Farms remembers. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 21 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Euro is 1-2” for metro areas. @CAPEbullseye with 2-3”. It’s actually close to bringing the coastal idea back and does for areas to our north. Here comes the 48-60 Hail Mary!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 16 minutes ago, nj2va said: Ji creating his own little ozone bubble 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 The first thread was a bad idea. The second is comical. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: The first thread was a bad idea. The second is comical. Let’s go back to first title in the initial thread and then rename that when and if we have success Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 15z SREF snow mean 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 40 minutes ago, nj2va said: Looks like a Chesapeake Bay jack. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 52 minutes ago, benjammin said: Pepperidge Farms remembers. That makes me laugh every time. Not even sure why. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 You guys really have lost your minds. Putting up a storm thread for maybe a inch best. LOL wow what has this forum gone too 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 7 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: You guys really have lost your minds. Putting up a storm thread for maybe an inch best. LOL wow what has this forum gone too I think we should go into storm mode at some point. A big FU to Mother Nature. You can’t keep us down. Do your worst. 8 shots can’t kill us we take them and smile just like Tupac. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Euro wasnt horrible still room to improve 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I would gladly take 1-2 inches. Thats all it takes for a jebwalk with a cup of hot chocolate. Heck maybe even a telework day! Cheery up. Lets make it happen please! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 45 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: You guys really have lost your minds. Putting up a storm thread for maybe a inch best. LOL wow what has this forum gone too snowman19? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 LWX afternoon AFD Monday will start out dry outside of the Alleghenies where upslope snow showers are expected. High temperatures will reach the low to mid 30s for most of the area with higher elevations staying in the 20s. Shortwave energy aloft will lead to a chance of light snow areawide Monday afternoon, with accumulations ranging from 0.5-1.5" outside the Alleghenies where higher accumulations are possible. We will continue to monitor as there is a good bit of model discrepancy with this system. Low temperatures Monday night will fall into the 20s for most with higher elevations dipping into the teens. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... A broad area of lower heights will persist across much of the CONUS over the next week. Over time, ridging builds near the West Coast, and downstream blocking may develop near the Canadian Maritimes. At the surface, Arctic high pressure will build over the central to eastern CONUS while multiple waves of low pressure pass from the Mid- South toward the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic. One wave of low pressure will likely pass to the south Monday night into Tuesday. Mid/upper-level forcing coupled with modest moisture should result in the development of some light snow across at least parts of the area. Guidance continues to gradually come into better agreement on a light, jet-induced snow event well northwest of a weak and progressive surface low offshore. This is not a traditional or classic setup for widespread significant snow, but the timing of any accumulating snow coupled with very cold temperatures with the Tuesday morning commute could prove treacherous. Additionally, it has been about two years since the DC Metro saw more than an inch of snow, which may also magnify any potential impacts. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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