BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Figured I'd start a thread here, as everyone left for our discord but some still post here. If anyone wants an invite to it, please PM me. I'll be at the game Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... ...Powerful Storm WIll Impact the Region This Weekend with VERY STRONG Winds and SIGNIFICANT Lake Effect Snows... An anomalously strong (around 974 mb) surface low will be in the midst of passing northwest of the area Saturday. It`s associated occluded front will lie across the Genesee Valley early Saturday morning and finish its eastward path into New England throughout the rest of the morning and into the afternoon. In the wake of the frontal passage, the coldest airmass of the season will begin to pour into the region Saturday morning, transitioning the rain to snow across the western Southern Tier. Additionally, winds will shift from southeasterly to southwesterly behind the front and support widespread wind gusts up to 65 mph through the corridor from Buffalo to Rochester and 50 to 60 mph gusts likely elsewhere across WNY. Temperatures will continue to drop throughout the day Saturday, first across WNY followed by the Genesee Valley and north central NY as the front and cold air advection makes its way eastward. By Saturday evening, most of western and north central NY will see temperatures near or just below freezing. As the synoptic moisture lifts off to the northeast Saturday afternoon, heavy lake effect snow will begin to intensify downwind of the lakes as the bitter cold air spills across the region. Heading into Saturday night through Sunday night, plenty of lingering synoptic moisture and a saturated DGZ will support lake effect snows to ramp up east of Lakes Erie and Ontario. While the exact location of the band set up still remains questionable, there a fair amount of confidence that the band will not have a long residency time across on area for a long period of time. This being said, the band will wander across the areas east of Lake Ontario supporting some time where the band will lie across both the Buffalo and Watertown metros at some point this weekend. Additionally, there remains good confidence that with the heavy lake effect snow combined with a continuation of strong winds will result in considerable blowing and drifting snow, creating considerable impacts for the areas east of both Lakes Erie and Ontario. Travel in lake effect bands will be extremely difficult, to impossible at times. Did not upgrade the Winter Storm Watch due to uncertainty in wind direction and the location of lake snow bands, but it remains in effect from Saturday afternoon through Monday morning. It will become much colder with lows in the mid teen to lower 20s Saturday night, highs Sunday in the upper teens across the higher terrain and low to mid 20s elsewhere and lows Sunday night in the upper single digits across the higher terrain and low to mid teens elsewhere. These colder temperatures combined with the winds will support wind chill values to primarily range in the single digits with a few low teens across the northern Finger Lakes. By Monday, a deep cut off low over southern Hudson Bay will slowly weaken and retrograde west back into northern Ontario. Overall this will support cold cyclonic flow to continue to filter across the region and support the lake effect snow to persist east of both lakes Monday. Similar to the weekend, temperatures will continue to be cold with highs ranging in the upper teens to low 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of more than a foot possible in the most persistent lake snows. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph Saturday and Saturday evening, with somewhat lower winds then expected through the bulk of the lake effect snow event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Point and click Saturday A chance of rain and snow showers before 9am, then snow showers. Areas of blowing snow after noon. Temperature falling to around 30 by 2pm. Windy, with a southwest wind 25 to 30 mph increasing to 32 to 37 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Saturday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow. Low around 22. Windy, with a southwest wind 28 to 36 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Sunday Snow before 7am, then a chance of snow showers between 7am and 10am, then snow after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow after 10am. High near 24. Breezy, with a southwest wind 26 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Sunday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow. Low around 14. Breezy, with a west wind 22 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. M.L.King Day Snow. High near 20. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Monday Night A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 13. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Heard rumors that they might be moving the game to Cleveland? Would be a bummer, though I also can't imagine the logistical nightmare of trying to get a sell out playoff crowd out of a stadium with roads impassable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 The temperature of Lake Erie is anomalously warm for this time of year. With very cold 850 temperatures that could produce extremely heavy snowfall rates that could be over the stadium at game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Newman said: Heard rumors that they might be moving the game to Cleveland? Would be a bummer, though I also can't imagine the logistical nightmare of trying to get a sell out playoff crowd out of a stadium with roads impassable Getting to be late in the game, no pun intended, to move the game now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 NY has a state of emergency out, I think they move it to Monday night. Power outages will be an issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Buffalo NWS went big. 1-3 feet of snow, wind gust 65 mph. Blizzard part 2 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow and strong winds expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 feet in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. The strongest winds will be Saturday into Sunday. Blizzard conditions will be possible at times, especially Saturday night and Sunday. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 4 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. Strong winds could cause tree damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 39 minutes ago, canderson said: NY has a state of emergency out, I think they move it to Monday night. Power outages will be an issue. I just got my power back. I was without it for 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 45 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: The temperature of Lake Erie is anomalously warm for this time of year. With very cold 850 temperatures that could produce extremely heavy snowfall rates that could be over the stadium at game time. Latest Lake Temperatures 937 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 The water temperature off Buffalo is 41 degrees. The record high lake erie temp for the date is 40, so we have record high lake temps for this date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 47 minutes ago, Newman said: Heard rumors that they might be moving the game to Cleveland? Would be a bummer, though I also can't imagine the logistical nightmare of trying to get a sell out playoff crowd out of a stadium with roads impassable Those rumors weren't true. I could see it being moved to Monday, but no chance they change cities. I can't wait to go, gonna be absolutely insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 Another event coming later this week with multiple feet of snow Arctic air pouring over the Lakes behind the mid level shortwave Wednesday and Thursday will generate again bands of lake effect snow, that could become heavy at times. Multiple feet of snow is possible with this second half of the week event, especially east of Lake Ontario. Oscillating bands of lake effect snow may just very well continue until the end of the forecast period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 What’s the most recent thinking as to where the heaviest bands will be at gametime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 2 hours ago, Burghblizz said: What’s the most recent thinking as to where the heaviest bands will be at gametime? They moved the game to Monday at 430. Driving ban goes into affect tonight for all of erie county at 9 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: They moved the game to Monday at 430. Driving ban goes into affect tonight for all of erie county at 9 pm Is the snow gonna be gone by Monday? The lakes are on fire right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: They moved the game to Monday at 430. Driving ban goes into affect tonight for all of erie county at 9 pm So dumb. Play the game the way it was meant to be played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 That is a joke. This deprives is of seeing a truly remarkable spectacle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, KPITSnow said: That is a joke. This deprives is of seeing a truly remarkable spectacle I just wanted to see snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 And you know what’s even more dangerous than the snow. Having 60k fans out in -30 degree wind chills. Not postponing that one thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: And you know what’s even more dangerous than the snow. Having 60k fans out in -30 degree wind chills. Not postponing that one thought Different situation. That one increases home field advantage rather than leveling the playing field for a heavy road underdog, so it’s all cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 It’s not, and has never been, about safety. It’s about gambling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Speedskater Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, KPITSnow said: And you know what’s even more dangerous than the snow. Having 60k fans out in -30 degree wind chills. Not postponing that one thought But there will be plenty of antifreeze available. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 It's about public safety. It takes a thousand workers to run an NFL game. I've seen behind the scenes It's crazy the amount of people they have. 1-2 ft of snow and 60-70 mph gusts is down right dangerous. It sucks but they made the right call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I think it’s the right call. But it could have been made a day ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 59 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: I think it’s the right call. But it could have been made a day ago. I agree, traffic after one of the events is a nightmare in good weather. Can you imagine how many people would get stuck? 3ft snow and 65mph winds, cars might be drifted over in the lot. You know there'd be some contingent of woefully unprepared fans too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 The super band has shifted a little bit from earlier in the day-- the buoy offshore has wind gusts to 46mph, and Buffalo airport to 58mph (severe level) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now