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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?


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17 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

You're reading my mind about this run so far :ph34r:

 

16 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

Randy's ready to say next on the 18z GFS already...

Getting better at this.  I kinda saw it at like 48...flatter out front, etc etc.  I say we don't give up yet, but it's looking bleak.  On to 0z!

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Well, looks like a light event or nothing which has been my fear overall. Was never into the amped idea. No storm or scraper. Ensembles trending SE was a hairbringer. NBM I imagine will follow suit, but 1-2” is very possible. Better coverage for NW of the fall line where temps should stay below 32° on Tuesday. 

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2 minutes ago, mappy said:

Y’all. It’s one model run outcome. Stop with the next shit and all that. 

I always thought “next” was partly in jest and meant to mean this run says next. No further analysis of this run needed. Never bothered me. The fact it meant the run sucks bothers me.  It not whatever adjectives we use. 

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6 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Well, looks like a light event or nothing which has been my fear overall. Was never into the amped idea. No storm or scraper. Ensembles trending SE was a hairbringer. NBM I imagine will follow suit, but 1-2” is very possible. Better coverage for NW of the fall line where temps should stay below 32° on Tuesday. 

Agree! Still think there's a much better shot and a light event than a complete miss. I posted last night my gut was a light to moderate event. There's still plenty time to get this to improve back to a moderate event but anything amped is fading fast. Nonetheless still looking forward to next which should be our first real wintry week in 2 years.

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1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Still holding out hope for an inch or two, but I won’t lie… I’m tired

maybe the tuesday event is an appetizer for a hECS a few days later. Before some HECS, we would get an appetizer event right before it. FEb 2010, FEb 2003 come to mind lol. Totallly grasping at straws here but i would take 1-2 Tuesday if i knew bigger and better was coming a few days later

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9 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Well, looks like a light event or nothing which has been my fear overall. Was never into the amped idea. No storm or scraper. Ensembles trending SE was a hairbringer. NBM I imagine will follow suit, but 1-2” is very possible. Better coverage for NW of the fall line where temps should stay below 32° on Tuesday. 

just one run, but this is our warmest panel and it's still only 33 at DCA.  We should do alright on cars, trash cans, decks, snow boards I would think.  Streets, maybe not.

nu9Rydn.png

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1 minute ago, Ji said:

maybe the tuesday event is an appetizer for a hECS a few days later. Before some HECS, we would get an appetizer event right before it. FEb 2010, FEb 2003 come to mind lol. Totallly grasping at straws here but i would take 1-2 Tuesday if i knew bigger and better was coming a few days later

our big storm is next weekend.  This is a table setter

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3 minutes ago, Ji said:

maybe the tuesday event is an appetizer for a hECS a few days later. Before some HECS, we would get an appetizer event right before it. FEb 2010, FEb 2003 come to mind lol. Totallly grasping at straws here but i would take 1-2 Tuesday if i knew bigger and better was coming a few days later

Gfs laughs at the idea

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