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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?


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yea it is what it is... we all know who the JV players are, but its still better to have them on our side than against.  Preponderance of evidence and all that jazz... 

JV for sure, but it’s halfway decent within the 48-60 hour timeframe, which is where some of these key differences are occurring. As you said, better to have it on our side than not.
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19 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

The 557ww model also out to sea, though it looks abit closer to the coast than 12z UM, ACCESS-G, and GEOS-5. Reminds me more of the look on 12z ARPEGE

GiBC2Vs.gif

lol don’t ever change 

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So the 18z icon and icon are in the camp of focusing on that first wave. They’re both too warm for us because of how far NW it is.

The images below are the 12z icon, Ukie, then the 3rd one was the 00z Ukie, which was maybe the hottest H5 run we’ve had.


A low developing on that wave isn’t ideal.8a61de80ab6f238af31400f4e2fd8f2e.jpg
e7642463b4ab41a81fecbdadde682060.jpg

1fb38dcf411c9d8209ef6d83795fbda8.jpg


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