Monitoring some form of significant ( to be determined more precisely) impact winter storm, Jan 16/17th. Moderate seems to be the upper limit - for now

[40/70 Benchmark]

Heh...good 'ole NAM.

 

[powderfreak]

19 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Should be some great riding this weekend after this one in NW Maine.

Winter is in place, with a fluffy light refresher on tap.  

Hope you guys get fluffed.  Large part of the north has a big/tall DGZ, add in some fronto banding and someone likely has a good event through CNE into NE NNE.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Heh...good 'ole NAM.

 

Mmmm, give me the IV drip.

[tavwtby]

appears 84S & E taint on the NAM, maybe someone just North of that rips for a bit... Berks up through SNH into southern Maine getting hammered 8+, 3-6 down to 84 and 1-3 to the coast I'd say now.

[ROOSTA]

IT GONNA SNOW!

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Absolutely terrible photo of Orion that I just off the back deck by holding my phone. The fact you can make out some of the nebulosity in the Orion nebula itself - even while through a thin cloud layer - is a testament to how far camera sensors have come over the past few years. Tis also rather cold out. At 10.6⁰.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Reggie very similar to 3k nam . 

Seems a bit better for RI and SE mass prior to 15z regarding rates / accum

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Reggie very similar to nam . 

Yeah, interesting and odd week of model watching, looks solid for the interior.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yeah, interesting and odd week of model watching, looks solid for the interior.

Ya This looks good for you 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yeah, interesting and odd week of model watching, looks solid for the interior.

What the hell is your avatar Hippy?  A crow and some wheat? 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

What the hell is your avatar Hippy?  A crow and some wheat? 

Lol, yes actually.  Still using my fall avatatr, need to switch to winter mode.

[Patrick-02540]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

What the hell is your avatar Hippy?  A crow and some wheat? 

I was gonna ass the same thing, but I figured I was the only one who didn't know what the hell it was. 

[Prismshine Productions]

In Reggie we trust

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[HIPPYVALLEY]

7 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

I was gonna ass the same thing, but I figured I was the only one who didn't know what the hell it was. 

I like the mocking nature of crows.

[tunafish]

45 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Nice hit there for you Mainers.  Develops at the right time.  Could be some good ratios

Hoping so!  

Ratios are fickle at my spot just 3mi inland - and 3mi from PWM.  Without checking my Cocorahs data, I'd guess my average ratio is between 7:1 and 8:1.  At least for the the 6 years I've lived here, which includes 3 as PWM obs ('21-current).

I'd be interested what GYX has for climo ratio for PWM, and if ratios at my site are significantly different.  Obviously my data only accounts for 3 years vs the 30 for climo, so not really a fair comparison yet, but I'm wondering if that lower ratio count persists over the next decade.

[MJO812]

DC is now under a Winter Storm Warning

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

DC is now under a Winter Storm Warning

we might be here by morning if models keep trending

[Patrick-02540]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

DC is now under a Winter Storm Warning

What do they need for that there, though, 3"?

[DavisStraight]

I like the nam

[ineedsnow]

GFS looks great

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

I like the nam

Ya that’s a great look here too…

[Prismshine Productions]

What do they need for that there, though, 3"?

Per the revamped criteria map, 5

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[WinterWolf]

Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

Per the revamped criteria map, 5

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That seems quite high?  I’d think it would be less there. But wow, I wouldn’t have guessed that. 

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That seems quite high?  I’d think it would be less there. But wow, I wouldn’t have guessed that. 

It’s been 5 for a while. I’m pretty sure that was the threshold when I lived there. 

[Prismshine Productions]

Nice bowling ball via the GFS kuchera, totals increasing even on the 10:1

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[WinterWolf]

This system is trending right up to go time.  Those that ridiculed and made fun of the folks who said that there was time for changes back on Saturday and Sunday, let this be a teachable moment.  
 

Looks like I polished this turd to a pretty nice shine T Blizz…

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It’s been 5 for a while. I’m pretty sure that was the threshold when I lived there. 

Ok thanks…that’s pretty high for them. 

[WxWatcher007]

Love seeing this happen up to game time. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Love seeing this happen up to game time. 

Yes it’s a great feeling. GFS was solid for most of the forum.

[NeonPeon]

It's a nice feeling going to bed to flakes and there still being snow in the morning. It'll wash away, of course, but a couple inches will quadruple what I've had so far.

I'll take anything.