jaxjagman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Matthew70 said: And they claimed on the game a bit ago it was a record for streaming the game last night. Well I was not one of them streaming it. I will not pay peacock to watch. Greed in college & NFL is ruining a great sport. Thats bull shit,of course they did to cover there ass and the NFL to do this.Next year you might be doing the SB as PPV,bunch of greedy ass owners 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, jaxjagman said: Thats bull shit,of course they did to cover there ass and the NFL to do this.Next year you might be doing the SB as PPV,bunch of greedy ass owners I agree with you 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tucker1027 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Sleet in southern Hamilton County, TN. . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Temp 36.3 DP 28.2. That should be enough to wet bulb to 32 or lower. Just need to get some qpf now. So far no flakes on the east side of white oak mtn. Edit: Right as I posted that, we have tiny flakes. No sleet that I can hear. Appears to be all snow just extremely small flakes. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 TYS reporting moderate snow with this band, first real band about to come through. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Pulaski TN reporting 3" 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, MattPetrulli said: TYS reporting moderate snow with this band, first real band about to come through. Yeah, crazy that it is just now starting. Seems like it is leaning towards an over performer,but I guess we will see! Any reports out west? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 About 1/4th inch once I got home. This may be 1/4 inch an hour for 20+ hours. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 It escalated in Halls, moderate snow, wind whipping. Got a dusting quick and building. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Precip appears a little south of expectations maybe? Or am I just seeing what I want to see? Lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, Chattownsnow said: Precip appears a little south of expectations maybe? Or am I just seeing what I want to see? Lol . It looks beefy to me. Which means it looks to encompass more north and south than some of the models indicated. Also considering the fact that I have had snow with zero returns over me is impressive. I was expecting a lot more virga. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 MRX evening update. Pay special attention to the last part! WPC has upped totals and thinks it will be easy to exceed 8in Central Valley and north! Astounding to say the least! 000 FXUS64 KMRX 150308 AAB AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Morristown TN 1008 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 944 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 A bit late on the evening update here, but wanted to have a little bit to see some early time steps of the 00z guidance and see the radar trends this evening as snow began to make it into our CWA. Main changes to the forecast were to update the PoP grids to reflect current radar trends and pretty strong onset of snowfall pushing into our area over the next 4-6 hours. Have seen several reports from Knoxville and points west that show snowfall accumulating on surfaces already. Albeit light, the fact that it`s already accumulating certainly lends confidence to the increase in snowfall totals with the afternoon forecast package earlier today. Current NBM hourly PoPs show this initial wave of precip moving out around 09z, with a distinct lull thereafter through about 13-14z before the main show moves in after daybreak. This seems very reasonable given the latest CAM guidance, but do not want to try and time a 3-4hr lull in precipitation given that it won`t have a significant impact on expected storm total amounts. Another notable change was to include some sleet and freezing rain precip types down in the Marion county area. NAM forecast soundings for Huntsville this evening did indeed show a weak warm nose through much of the overnight hours. Conceptually this would extend further ENE into our CWA in the warm SWLY flow around 850mb in that region. We`ve had a report of a light glazing in parts of eastern Marion county which confirms this thinking. Not expecting this to last as the column will continue to cool and precip rates increase. But it is in line with the uncertainty in ptypes, and storm total accumulations for the southern valley and far southeast Tennessee. Lastly, WPC has upped the snowfall amounts for the event in the I-40 corridor and points north. Didn`t want to make wholesale changes to the forecast for the evening update, but this trend doesn`t seem unreasonable given what`s already occurring this evening. And it is worth noting that for the last few days, NBM and HREF probabilistic guidance has been showing some healthy probability of seeing storm total snowfall amounts easily exceeding 8" across portions of the forecast area. Will let the overnight shift make any substantive changes that are necessary since they will have the full suite of the latest NBM probabilistic guidance as well as the 00z models at their 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CDUB_VOL Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Finally saw a few flakes in Jefferson county. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, Jed33 said: MRX evening update. Pay special attention to the last part! WPC has upped totals and thinks it will be easy to exceed 8in Central Valley and north! Astounding to say the least! 000 FXUS64 KMRX 150308 AAB AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Morristown TN 1008 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 944 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 A bit late on the evening update here, but wanted to have a little bit to see some early time steps of the 00z guidance and see the radar trends this evening as snow began to make it into our CWA. Main changes to the forecast were to update the PoP grids to reflect current radar trends and pretty strong onset of snowfall pushing into our area over the next 4-6 hours. Have seen several reports from Knoxville and points west that show snowfall accumulating on surfaces already. Albeit light, the fact that it`s already accumulating certainly lends confidence to the increase in snowfall totals with the afternoon forecast package earlier today. Current NBM hourly PoPs show this initial wave of precip moving out around 09z, with a distinct lull thereafter through about 13-14z before the main show moves in after daybreak. This seems very reasonable given the latest CAM guidance, but do not want to try and time a 3-4hr lull in precipitation given that it won`t have a significant impact on expected storm total amounts. Another notable change was to include some sleet and freezing rain precip types down in the Marion county area. NAM forecast soundings for Huntsville this evening did indeed show a weak warm nose through much of the overnight hours. Conceptually this would extend further ENE into our CWA in the warm SWLY flow around 850mb in that region. We`ve had a report of a light glazing in parts of eastern Marion county which confirms this thinking. Not expecting this to last as the column will continue to cool and precip rates increase. But it is in line with the uncertainty in ptypes, and storm total accumulations for the southern valley and far southeast Tennessee. Lastly, WPC has upped the snowfall amounts for the event in the I-40 corridor and points north. Didn`t want to make wholesale changes to the forecast for the evening update, but this trend doesn`t seem unreasonable given what`s already occurring this evening. And it is worth noting that for the last few days, NBM and HREF probabilistic guidance has been showing some healthy probability of seeing storm total snowfall amounts easily exceeding 8" across portions of the forecast area. Will let the overnight shift make any substantive changes that are necessary since they will have the full suite of the latest NBM probabilistic guidance as well as the 00z models at their Did they hire actual meteorologists lol...their afd have been a tremendous improvement 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Really excited about these rates. Hopefully can exceed an inch+ an hour. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Might have a inch now its picked up some the last few min 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, Jed33 said: MRX evening update. Pay special attention to the last part! WPC has upped totals and thinks it will be easy to exceed 8in Central Valley and north! Astounding to say the least! 000 FXUS64 KMRX 150308 AAB AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Morristown TN 1008 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 944 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 A bit late on the evening update here, but wanted to have a little bit to see some early time steps of the 00z guidance and see the radar trends this evening as snow began to make it into our CWA. Main changes to the forecast were to update the PoP grids to reflect current radar trends and pretty strong onset of snowfall pushing into our area over the next 4-6 hours. Have seen several reports from Knoxville and points west that show snowfall accumulating on surfaces already. Albeit light, the fact that it`s already accumulating certainly lends confidence to the increase in snowfall totals with the afternoon forecast package earlier today. Current NBM hourly PoPs show this initial wave of precip moving out around 09z, with a distinct lull thereafter through about 13-14z before the main show moves in after daybreak. This seems very reasonable given the latest CAM guidance, but do not want to try and time a 3-4hr lull in precipitation given that it won`t have a significant impact on expected storm total amounts. Another notable change was to include some sleet and freezing rain precip types down in the Marion county area. NAM forecast soundings for Huntsville this evening did indeed show a weak warm nose through much of the overnight hours. Conceptually this would extend further ENE into our CWA in the warm SWLY flow around 850mb in that region. We`ve had a report of a light glazing in parts of eastern Marion county which confirms this thinking. Not expecting this to last as the column will continue to cool and precip rates increase. But it is in line with the uncertainty in ptypes, and storm total accumulations for the southern valley and far southeast Tennessee. Lastly, WPC has upped the snowfall amounts for the event in the I-40 corridor and points north. Didn`t want to make wholesale changes to the forecast for the evening update, but this trend doesn`t seem unreasonable given what`s already occurring this evening. And it is worth noting that for the last few days, NBM and HREF probabilistic guidance has been showing some healthy probability of seeing storm total snowfall amounts easily exceeding 8" across portions of the forecast area. Will let the overnight shift make any substantive changes that are necessary since they will have the full suite of the latest NBM probabilistic guidance as well as the 00z models at their 6 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 National Weather Service Nashville TN 812 PM CST Sun Jan 14 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 755 PM CST Sun Jan 14 2024 It`s snowing!!! All of our observation sites are reporting snow this hour with the heaviest falling along and south of I-40. We`ve already received a report of 0.5" of snow in Bellevue. Looking at the latest run of the HRRR tonight, boy did it come in hot. It paints a narrow band of higher totals ranging from 6-8 inches from Wayne County all the way through to our furthest NE counties on the Plateau, including Nashville. This solution would mean this event overachieves a little further north than originally forecasted and it pumps out more snow in any heavier bands that move through. This will be something to watch as the night progresses. There were talks of bumping up QPF along our northern border to match up with this latest run of the HRRR, but for now, we`re going to hold off on that to see what the next round of models show since this is only 1 run. Our sounding tonight shows a textbook snow event; big, healthy layer of moisture right in the snow growth region with all layers below 0 degrees Celsius. As for temperatures, they have tanked. Most everyone is sitting right around 20 degrees and dropping. We will be back with a full forecast update in the next several hours. In the meantime, stay safe, stay warm, and enjoy the snow! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Nasty Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I can confirm 36° with light sleet and a few flurries. I live in Ooltewah just outside Chattanooga on 75N 15 miles from Cleveland. Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Lol am I being trolled? EDIT: Showcasing HRRR dry bias 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Temps starting to fall off the cliff here...28 in Madisonville. Good news is DP has stayed steady as air temp dropped. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, Uncle Nasty said: I can confirm 36° with light sleet and a few flurries. I live in Ooltewah just outside Chattanooga on 75N 15 miles from Cleveland. Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk I'm south of you and I am all snow, but it's light. Not sure what's going on there. Maybe some colder air trapped on this side of the ridges. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 My brother in Hixson said it was raining at his house but one of his friends who lives reasonably close has a dusting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utvols235 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I'm south of you and I am all snow, but it's light. Not sure what's going on there. Maybe some colder air trapped on this side of the ridges.I’ve got all snow as well. Few fatties coming down now. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 4 minutes ago, John1122 said: My brother in Hixson said it was raining at his house but one of his friends who lives reasonably close has a dusting. I can drive a mile up the road I go from 37 to 31...there is definitely a tight gradient here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Been mostly steady here the last hr or so,plow the came trough and cleared the lane heading towards Franklin,Tn https://g1.ipcamlive.com/player/player.php?alias=brentwood201173ahttps://g1.ipcamlive.com/player/player.php?alias=brentwood201173a not sure why my link dont work now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The 0z GFS is big. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Well, the warm nose has made a reappearance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Seriously, go look at the GFS. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: The 0z GFS is big. I helped it out 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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