Carvers Gap Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, Silas Lang said: 0z RGEM pretty much the same as the 18z, but gives a little bit more to areas favored last run. What is starting to limit modeling trends is that the entry point into the forum area is northern MS to northern Alabama. Why? It is closer to the actual event, and less spread in modeling. That in turn, begins to limit how far the system can trend northwards. The RGEM is my "go to" from this point forward in the chase...for the eastern valley. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Latest ICON 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigbald Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 10 minutes ago, Silas Lang said: 0z RGEM pretty much the same as the 18z, but gives a little bit more to areas favored last run. For SWVA folks, Look at the agreement on the NAM and RGEM for the communities of Duffield/Jasper/Big Stone Gap. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Bigbald said: For SWVA folks, Look at the agreement on the NAM and RGEM for the communities of Duffield/Jasper/Big Stone Gap. Here is the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, Silas Lang said: Latest ICON Trowal? Definitely some enhancement along I-75 there. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Latest ICON. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 And here is the 0z GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Silas Lang said: And here is the 0z GFS It's a lie...anything that has me in or near bullseye is false lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Lol… close up of ICON. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 24 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: The RGEM is my "go to" from this point forward in the chase...for the eastern valley. I agree. Let's get that cold push all the way to the border and I'll be happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, PowellVolz said: Lol… close up of ICON . Wowza! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 wonder how the globals incorporate the data at this time frame in the Valley,its rare to have cold air to be in place already...dunno 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Check out the RGEM at 84. Yes, it is at range and probably way to cold, but wow. Real feel and actual. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Canada. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Here is the Canadian 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Id be happy to get WSW criteria right now,seems like we've been following this system since last winter...i'm getting tired..lol.Might be more wise now to follow the mesoscales. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Man I feel much more optimistic for extreme eastern areas such as myself after 00z. Pretty much all high res keep temps below 32 to the border except the NAM (which jumped SE in a big way) and the RGEM. Hopefully the RGEM can get on board with more cold push by 12z! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 This is probably the best shot at subzero temps in Chattanooga in my life. If we get the good snow cover shown on many of the globals, we have a real shot at it. I don't think it has happened since January 1985 (-10 and the all time record). I was born in 1988. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Don't know what the met of wvlt is watching but lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greyhound Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Don't know what the met of wvlt is watching but lmaoThey are definitely sticking to their guns.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 OHX and MRX going conservative on snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 The WVLT mets did have the infamous "melting into puddles will keep accumulation way down" in regards to I think the March 2022 event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, MattPetrulli said: OHX and MRX going conservative on snow totals MEG updated theirs with the warning...still waiting on MRX and OHX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 All 00z models including CAMS paste the Valley. Nam family is on an island. Becoming more and more optimistic for a good snow event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Latest model run, 03z RAP. Still snowing 75 corridor and East as of this frame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: MEG updated theirs with the warning...still waiting on MRX and OHX GOING CONSERVATIVE ON SNOW TOTALS This is typical. MRX at least. They will pick the most consevative model and cut that in half. Or they will go the other direction in rare occations especially if they have late in the game issued an advisory. They will keep totals going without any chance. Seen it both ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 The RAP pops a low over SW NC and sends it N as that run ends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 UKIE 10:1. Ratio'd should be better. It's came in line with other modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I wonder if the Ukie still has some mixing issues. It shows .9 QPF for KNX, but only 4" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 Just now, Wurbus said: I wonder if the Ukie still has some mixing issues. It shows .9 QPF for KNX, but only 4" of snow Possibly. I can't see any precip type panels. It's been wound up and warm for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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