Wurbus Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, John1122 said: Memphis area is getting smoked this run of the RGEM. There was one SREF Plume that gave Memphis 17" this morning 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, John1122 said: For posterity. Still ripping over the region at this time. And it is still going in eastern areas, correct? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Man, Chattanooga right on the razors edge. Wouldn’t have it any other way around here lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: And it is still going in eastern areas, correct? kind of but no not really. The front doesnt really push far enough. the line of purple on the snow map is pretty much where the precip sets up. Sharp cutoff. for Mountains and NE TN. But this run is actually about 50 miles further SE than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, fountainguy97 said: kind of but no not really. The front doesnt really push far enough. the line of purple on the snow map is pretty much where the precip sets up I just checked on Pivotal. It had just reached this area. Most precip was still west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 5 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: And it is still going in eastern areas, correct? It's still going almost state wide still at that point. It's still going in Northern Louisiana and Southern Arkansas and it's aimed all the way to SW VA. Looks like sleet for Northern Alabama and Georgia at the end with heavy precip aimed at Chattanooa around the transition zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 10 minutes ago, Matthew70 said: Officially confirmed several loud claps of thunder here at my location. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 4 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: kind of but no not really. The front doesnt really push far enough. the line of purple on the snow map is pretty much where the precip sets up. Sharp cutoff. for Mountains and NE TN. But this run is actually about 50 miles further SE than 6z. I triple checked. The heaviest returns are to the west of us. It hadn't reached us yet. If forms a wave on the backside like the GFS - basically a deformation band. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 5 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: I just checked on Pivotal. It had just reached this area. Most precip was still west of us. Looking at the direction and movement of the precip, I'd have guess Tri would have been under moderate/heavy returns for the next 6-12 hours due to the heavy slug of moisture aimed from Northern Alabama, through Knoxville and aimed at Tri, it the RGEM went to 96. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 ICON with heavier returns covering most of East Tennessee at the 84hr mark. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 13 minutes ago, AMZ8990 said: Heck yeah! I will sing it loud and proud, lol. What a run!! You and me both. Even Dickson County north of 40 does well on this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 The ICON has a LP track over Eastern NC, that would probably have even more precip than it depicts over Eastern areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kasper Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Well I know it’s the Weather Channel but they went up on totals for my area, from 1-3 Monday night, to 3-5 and added snow for Tuesday! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silas Lang Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I am just starting to come to the realization that this could potentially happen... We are almost with the 3 day mark. Short range models are picking it up now. The storm today will be out of the way tonight and we should start having the energy sampled properly on the West Coast. If we can stay locked in today and tomorrow, we could have something historic. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Silas Lang said: I am just starting to come to the realization that this could potentially happen... We are almost with the 3 day mark. Short range models are picking it up now. The storm today will be out of the way tonight and we should start having the energy sampled properly on the West Coast. If we can stay locked in today and tomorrow, we could have something historic. I'm hoping it's a March '22 event instead of one of the many rug pullers. I still refuse to get my hopes up too high. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*Flash* Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, John1122 said: I'm hoping it's a March '22 event instead of one of the many rug pullers. I still refuse to get my hopes up too high. I actually did slightly better with the March 2022 event than December 2022 so I'll take this recent analog. Like you, I'm reserving excitement until I see the white of this storm's eyes. Lucy has the signed document in hand but she hasn't notarized it yet. P.S. To those whom this applies, take your work laptops home with this weekend...just in case. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 14 minutes ago, *Flash* said: You and me both. Even Dickson County north of 40 does well on this one. Hopefully we can stay at home and see the snow for this storm! It will be interesting to see when the warnings and watches start to get put out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 My work is going to be hell next week. Even if mby doesn’t get much, LTL will take a hit causing a huge back log, especially if it crawls up the coast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 GFS looks a lot like the NAM. Not particularly surprising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 GFS holding serve so far through 84. The precip field looked a little stronger to me compared to 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 crappy run for me on gfs. That over-running pivots north which is my fear for NETN. but man it crushes the rest of the state! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 The GFS is a looooooong duration event with several waves of snow. MRX noted this a few days ago. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Beware: Mt Leconte with a 1" and Knoxville with 10"? I don't think so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Canadian looks pretty similar to the GFS so far on the snow totals through 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 12 Author Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, snowbird1230 said: Beware: Mt Leconte with a 1" and Knoxville with 10"? I don't think so... It happens at times. Not to that extreme but this isn't about temperatures, simply about the direction of the moisture fetch. In Feb 1996 Knoxville got 12-18 inches and LeConte got 4-6. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Crazy uncle takes a better track with the low through the panhandle and southern GA and has more snow than GFS on the back end. Knoxville is going to wind up with over 14" on the Kuchera map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Cmc smokes the northern and Central valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 IMO that was the best CMC so far. Just looking at surface stuff on tropical tidbits. up in Kingsport trying to break the EB so probably no maps from me until 18z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, John1122 said: It happens at times. Not to that extreme but this isn't about temperatures, simply about the direction of the moisture fetch. In Feb 1996 Knoxville got 12-18 inches and LeConte got 4-6. True..I just wouldn't want to be in the bullseye of this storm atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 GFS is the only model that kills the NW,artic air pulls out to quick,in MHO its a outlier that run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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