Potential extensive winter event, I-95 west and with again a chance for NYC first inch(es) of snow Mon or more likely Tue Jan 16, 2024 (serves as OBS thread as well)

[Brian5671]

an inch here.  models way overdone even at 0z last night

[LoboLeader1]

Mix of snow & sleet falling here, about an inch of snow OTG thus far. 

[uofmiami]

2” here in N Syosset sent to OKX. 28 & snowing currently.

[jm1220]

Should be a nice burst for the island coming through, CC shows that as snow and the mix line gets pushed south offshore a little as it gets heavy. 

[SBUWX23]

I think the calls that models and forecasters busted a premature. Off by an inch? That's simply within the realm of error when it comes to snowfall forecasting. We did pretty good on LI, now sleeting here in Yaphank area. It's always better not use snowfall maps from models as they do not account for anything other than qpf. Snowfall habit and other characteristics are never handled well by models. The other thing this ended up being a little more banded over stratiform. It wasn't necessarily dry air moreso how the forcing evolved. Enjoy the snow that's out there! And finally that ridiculous stat is broken. CPK got 1.8 in that event last February but it was over 2 calendar days. So tired of hearing about the snowless streak when it snowed, just under an inch in two back to back days 

[Volcanic Winter]

Two different spots, 2.2 on my sidewalk and about 3.1 on the top of my car. Don’t know the “official” way to measure but I’m pretty pumped. Light snow all in all but wonderful after this two year stretch. 

[psv88]

Heavy burst about to come through the island. Per CC it should be snow north of the southern state…temp spiked to 29 now with snow in commack 

[Volcanic Winter]

I graduated HS in 2006, growing up in Monmouth I only remember school getting called for like 6 inches. Especially with how quickly the main roads clear it seems silly, but I remember always hearing it’s the condition of the side roads and out of the way developments that moves the needle on this. 

[Nibor]

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad
 

[jm1220]

8 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

Two different spots, 2.2 on my sidewalk and about 3.1 on the top of my car. Don’t know the “official” way to measure but I’m pretty pumped. Light snow all in all but wonderful after this two year stretch. 

The proper way is on a snow board every 6 hours but the 3.1 sounds like the more correct measurement. 

[RU848789]

Brief moderate to heavy snow band right now - maybe best snow of the event...

[Sampson]

Ripping now with much larger flakes. 

[Byrdhousebv]

31.3/23.3 and no precip at the moment. Just under 3" overnight.

 

 

[Volcanic Winter]

2 minutes ago, Byrdhousebv said:

31.3/23.3 and no precip at the moment. Just under 3" overnight.

 

 

Literally on Amazon buying one of those as we speak. That is so fun!

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Its 25/23 here. Heavy bands everywhere and moving north in to nyc. The bx seems to be doing well,big diff from the last time where it snowed and rained where it snowed everywhere else..we should go over the 3 easy..maybe 4+

[MJO812]

Central Park did it. Streak is over. 

[jm1220]

Increasing rates here. CC shows it mixing as the burst ends. Maybe the heavier precip can stay snow and lighter stuff will be the mix. 

[Volcanic Winter]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Central Park did it. Streak is over. 

Gratz dude! We’ll get more Friday, however much it is. Should be something at least. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Increasing rates here. CC shows it mixing as the burst ends. Maybe the heavier precip can stay snow and lighter stuff will be the mix. 

Along the water its a mix,just inland its prob snow. The east end is already at or just a tad above freezing.

[JonClaw]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Central Park did it. Streak is over. 

Our long national local nightmare is over.

[LibertyBell]

24 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said:

Mix of snow & sleet falling here, about an inch of snow OTG thus far. 

weird, still all snow here on the south shore of western nassau, we have about 2 inches so far, it's been snowing here since 4 PM yesterday

[Dark Star]

28 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

an inch here.  models way overdone even at 0z last night

It's only a bust if Central Park does not measure 1"

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Along the water its a mix,just inland its prob snow. The east end is already at or just a tad above freezing.

this is weird because here it's been all snow, large flakes too, around 2 inches

[psv88]

Moderate snow now in nw Suffolk, 29

[LibertyBell]

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Increasing rates here. CC shows it mixing as the burst ends. Maybe the heavier precip can stay snow and lighter stuff will be the mix. 

maybe thats why it's still all snow here, really large flakes too

[LibertyBell]

22 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Heavy burst about to come through the island. Per CC it should be snow north of the southern state…temp spiked to 29 now with snow in commack 

maybe the rain/snow line is further north out east, but here it's been all snow so far.

[jm1220]

Wow, nice rates and big flakes which should accumulate fast. 

[LibertyBell]

27 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said:

I think the calls that models and forecasters busted a premature. Off by an inch? That's simply within the realm of error when it comes to snowfall forecasting. We did pretty good on LI, now sleeting here in Yaphank area. It's always better not use snowfall maps from models as they do not account for anything other than qpf. Snowfall habit and other characteristics are never handled well by models. The other thing this ended up being a little more banded over stratiform. It wasn't necessarily dry air moreso how the forcing evolved. Enjoy the snow that's out there! And finally that ridiculous stat is broken. CPK got 1.8 in that event last February but it was over 2 calendar days. So tired of hearing about the snowless streak when it snowed, just under an inch in two back to back days 

I hate that too, especially because starting a new day at midnight is so subjective.  Why don't they measure storm totals instead of daily totals? The daily totals should be completely done away with.

[jm1220]

Mix is just south of the LIE and probably hits as the snow slackens off. 

[Rtd208]

@Maureen Light snow continues here. About 2.5" of accumulation. Temp 27