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Potential extensive winter event, I-95 west and with again a chance for NYC first inch(es) of snow Mon or more likely Tue Jan 16, 2024 (serves as OBS thread as well)

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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snowman19
snowman19

The Euro is still the best model we have, especially given that it excels during southern branch dominated Ninos. I think that solution is absolutely believable given how fast the southern branch shor

MJO812
MJO812

DT expects the models to trend west this weekend .

MJO812
MJO812

Miss snow

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snowman19

snowman19

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_21.png

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_23 (1).png

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_24.png

The ICON, RGEM and CMC are all too amped up IMO. The UKMET is a clear outlier. The NAM is total trash, not even worth looking it, it’s already trending towards the EURO/EPS. Nothing has changed in my view, still a 1-2 inch event area wide. The GFS probably comes a bit further west like the EURO the next 2 runs

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NJwx85

NJwx85

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Yup. Hopefully more warmth for February. I’m about done with this awful winter if the 20th storm misses 

This feels like one of those February’s where we crack 70 degrees and it snows a week later.

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SnowGoose69

SnowGoose69

Posted
Posted

The 1/2017 storm was odd in that a LP which originated off FL managed to come N enough to impact us, nobody had ever seen that before, if we see the same happen again and get a substantial snow event out of it it just adds to the list of odd things we see that we never used to

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North and West

North and West

Posted
Posted
The ICON, RGEM and CMC are all too amped up IMO. The UKMET is a clear outlier. The NAM is total trash, not even worth looking it, it’s already trending towards the EURO/EPS. Nothing has changed in my view, still a 1-2 inch event area wide. The GFS probably comes a bit further west like the EURO the next 2 runs

Oh man, I was invested in the snowman/MJO good feelings tour, too.


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