Potential extensive winter event, I-95 west and with again a chance for NYC first inch(es) of snow Mon or more likely Tue Jan 16, 2024 (serves as OBS thread as well)

[mannynyc]

[Tatamy]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro has mood flakes

Good for dusting up surfaces 

It has a “storm”.  We will take it.

[mannynyc]

Seems closer to something more 

[MJO812]

Just now, Tatamy said:

It has a “storm”.  We will take it.

Yep thats a plus. Let's see if it can beef up .

[Allsnow]

Temps in the 20’s With light snow Tuesday on the euro 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Temps in the 20’s With light snow Tuesday on the euro 

We take 

[winterwx21]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

We take 

I'll gladly take an inch or two. Always the chance this could beef up some as it gets closer too. Who knows, maybe the UKMET will be right with the higher amounts but right now 1 to 2 looks like a good early call. 

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I'll gladly take an inch or two. Always the chance this could beef up some as it gets closer too. Who knows, maybe the UKMET will be right with the higher amounts but right now 1 to 2 looks like a good early call. 

this is probably not the final solutions - since various METS warned to wait till the previous storm passes the EURO trending now toward the coast 

[SnowGoose69]

3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

this is probably not the final solutions - since various METS warned to wait till the previous storm passes the EURO trending now toward the coast 

Inside 90 the Euro never makes large moves but it can just incrementally keep moving one direction...to me the most glaring thing is the RGEM/NAM agreeing somewhat past 60...that is not something we see too often, when you see that you have to be concerned the higher res models might be onto something.

[Northof78]

90% of the time storms get more amped and N/W from 24/36 and out across the model suite (see last snowstorm), so I think we are in pretty good shape here. 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Def take light snow in the 20s. Blizzards are nice but not every storm has to be a KU

[North and West]

Euro has mood flakes
Good for dusting up surfaces 

turn off the lights
the party's over


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[NEG NAO]

9 minutes ago, North and West said:

turn off the lights
the party's over


.

are you related to snowman19 ? BTW the party's just begun  ! The EURO coming back toward the coast is telling !

 

[MANDA]

Looks to be locking in on a 1-3" event.  Inland will see the most as ratio's will help a bit.  Doubt immediate coast NJ / NYC on east see more than an inch.  Could be a crap shoot if NYC gets to the elusive inch....we'll see how things evolve.

[mannynyc]

18 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Looks to be locking in on a 1-3" event.  Inland will see the most as ratio's will help a bit.  Doubt immediate coast NJ / NYC on east see more than an inch.  Could be a crap shoot if NYC gets to the elusive inch....we'll see how things evolve.

Difference with this system is that temps should be well below freezing which will make it much easier to get that inch in the city

[SBUWX23]

4 minutes ago, mannynyc said:

Difference with this system is that temps should be well below freezing which will make it much easier to get that inch in the city

As long as the low doesn't end up close to coast where an onshore flow develops

[Big Jims Videos]

I need a half inch to get to the highest total since January 22 here in Point Pleasant Beach.  Bring it on.  

[NJwx85]

We’re a month away from pitchers and catchers. Pattern breaks down after the 20th storm. Good riddens.

[North and West]

are you related to snowman19 ? BTW the party's just begun  ! The EURO coming back toward the coast is telling !
 

from your lips to my Dog’s ears


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[Allsnow]

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

We’re a month away from pitchers and catchers. Pattern breaks down after the 20th storm. Good riddens.

Yup. Hopefully more warmth for February. I’m about done with this awful winter if the 20th storm misses 

[wilsonvoid1]

Yup. Hopefully more warmth for February. I’m about done with this awful winter if the 20th storm misses 

hi AllSnow did you get the EPS yet?


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[LibertyBell]

40 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Looks to be locking in on a 1-3" event.  Inland will see the most as ratio's will help a bit.  Doubt immediate coast NJ / NYC on east see more than an inch.  Could be a crap shoot if NYC gets to the elusive inch....we'll see how things evolve.

it will be sooo much more fun if NYC gets to 0.9 and stops right there.

[Allsnow]

5 minutes ago, wilsonvoid1 said:

hi AllSnow did you get the EPS yet?


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For this event? 

[LibertyBell]

6 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Yup. Hopefully more warmth for February. I’m about done with this awful winter if the 20th storm misses 

what happened to the people who were saying February would be our best month of the winter?

[MANDA]

Just now, LibertyBell said:

what happened to the people who were saying February would be our best month of the winter?

They forgot to take their meds today.

[wilsonvoid1]

For this event? 

yes sorry to bother ya!


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[the_other_guy]

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

what happened to the people who were saying February would be our best month of the winter?

None of these guys know what February will bring. They arent Jehovah. Last week of Jan looks warm. Beyond that, who knows

[Allsnow]

5 minutes ago, wilsonvoid1 said:

yes sorry to bother ya!


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Mean is 1-2…

 

Looks solid for a light event 

[MJO812]

17 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

what happened to the people who were saying February would be our best month of the winter?

People are still saying February will be our best month . This warmup is going to be brief.

[snowman19]

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Mean is 1-2…

 

Looks solid for a light event 

After last winter and so far this winter in the NYC metro area……Take the 1-2 inches and run