Potential extensive winter event, I-95 west and with again a chance for NYC first inch(es) of snow Mon or more likely Tue Jan 16, 2024 (serves as OBS thread as well)

[cannoliman42]

I'd rather shovel 10 inches of snow over this slop. And being near a subway station means everyone compacts the snow to make it an unshovelable icy mess. I was out there for nearly two hours hacking away.

[the_other_guy]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:43 PM, RU848789 said:

Score a huge win for the NAM and the RGEM the two major mesoscale/regional models, as both models have been calling for significant freezing rain (ZR) since Sunday morning and generally weren't joined by the global models in predicting appreciable ZR until Monday morning or afternoon.  

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Lets stop with the win/bust declarations until this is all over.

Obviously a dynamic situation here

[jm1220]

Even Long Beach on the extreme S Shore of Nassau still at 32 so no melting and maybe some accreting. We have a few hours before the crash begins. 

[hooralph]

Light rain downtown. Obviously less than uptown. Enough to scare the tourists away from the bull.

 

 

[Picard]

LIght to moderate snow here.  I'm right on the edge of the heavier precip line. Up to 2.25" in the last two hours.   Maybe I'll get close to the low side of 3-6" before all is said and done.  Temp 23F.

[NCPOW]

26.8 here with moderate freezing rain with some sleet mixed in. 

[NorthShoreWx]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:49 PM, the_other_guy said:

What would they plow? You need salters for days like this. Roads are wet going to icy

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Plow made a few passes here in the past hour.  They only salted overnight.

31° FZR

[psv88]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:49 PM, the_other_guy said:

What would they plow? You need salters for days like this. Roads are wet going to icy

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My street was plowed no less than 4 times this morning between 4 am and 7 am. Ridiculous. 
 

roads are going to be an absolute nightmare later. Temps ticking down closer to 30 now with steady freezing rain. 

[Volcanic Winter]

Temp started dropping at home, inland TR / Manchester. 34 down to 33. 

Hillside at 28 with heavy precip, basically freezing rain. Car is glazed. 

[nycemt123]

24° & freezing rain in monsey, Rockland County

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

[Bxstormwatcher360]

literally every type of frozen precip is falling here,temp is still well below freezing at 27f. Ice skaking rink up here in the bronx.

[jm1220]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:58 PM, psv88 said:

My street was plowed no less than 4 times this morning between 4 am and 7 am. Ridiculous. 
 

roads are going to be an absolute nightmare later. Temps ticking down closer to 30 now with steady freezing rain. 

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Yep. Honestly it may not get any higher at all and we’re accreting. Models have temps dropping starting around 1pm. 

[Terraryzing87]

Just watched a car spin a 360 on the road next to my school. Not very excited for the 45 min ride home at 2:30. Freezing rain continues in Port Jeff, temp is at 31.

[Rjay]

2" in Holbrook before the changeover

[nycemt123]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:58 PM, psv88 said:

My street was plowed no less than 4 times this morning between 4 am and 7 am. Ridiculous. 
 
roads are going to be an absolute nightmare later. Temps ticking down closer to 30 now with steady freezing rain. 

The roads here in Rockland are a nightmare already. Foe the first time I actually agree with them canceling school, regardless of how little actual snow OTG because the roads are extremely icy and only getting worse.
I've only seen 2 saltrucks go by since 5am

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[Volcanic Winter]

So what happened meteorologically with this that it’s basically raining with temps in the 20’s for many. I’m assuming that means the upper levels are too warm? How did that happen when the storm started off so cold and with lots of cold air in place?

Curious and don’t know enough to explain. 

[Breene]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:49 PM, the_other_guy said:

What would they plow? You need salters for days like this. Roads are wet going to icy

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ok guy , what kind of truck puts salt down ?

[psv88]

Farmingdale dropped from 33-32 last hour, ISP at 33, but PNS around the airport at 32. Maybe a NAM win for the ZR. Lots of rain coming up the coast…could be power outages if we accrete all of that ice 

[RU848789]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:50 PM, the_other_guy said:

Lets stop with the win/bust declarations until this is all over.

Obviously a dynamic situation here

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It's a win because it's already verified for much of the area with every untreated surface around here covered in a glaze of ice and we're very likely to continue to see ZR for awhile anywhere along/close to the 95 corridor.  

[uofmiami]

31.3 now in Syosset.

[kat5hurricane]

Freezing rain. Car is glazed, wet and gross out there.

[gravitylover]

23/22 with heavy pinging   

[weathermedic]

light-moderate freezing rain at my work location in Jamaica Queens. Anything not treated icing up

[Bxstormwatcher360]

 Snow/ice/snow for us today. That backside snow is gonna be interesting to watch develop. Might be raining in boston,snowing in nyc later.

[BxEngine]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:49 PM, the_other_guy said:

What would they plow? You need salters for days like this. Roads are wet going to icy

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The palisades had more than enough snow to plow it earlier. As did 303, 59, parts of the thruway, and 202. 

[Stormlover74]

  On 1/16/2024 at 3:43 PM, RU848789 said:

Score a huge win for the NAM and the RGEM the two major mesoscale/regional models, as both models have been calling for significant freezing rain (ZR) since Sunday morning and generally weren't joined by the global models in predicting appreciable ZR until Monday morning or afternoon.  

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Gfs way too cold in the mid levels as usual

[snywx]

21° w/ very lgt snow falling

2.4" otg

Gonna come up short of the 4-5" forecasted up this way 

[RU848789]

Ice accreting on all untreated surfaces here at 29F right now.  The treated street in front of my house is ok, but the untreated street perpendicular to it is slushy from snow/sleet/rain and getting icy from the freezing rain.  

[jm1220]

  On 1/16/2024 at 4:07 PM, psv88 said:

Farmingdale dropped from 33-32 last hour, ISP at 33, but PNS around the airport at 32. Maybe a NAM win for the ZR. Lots of rain coming up the coast…could be power outages if we accrete all of that ice 

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It’s also lighter rain so it’s accreting more efficiently. Heavier rain would run off. 

[wdrag]

Wantage NJ 2.1" at 1110A. S--