jacindc Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah, now that the threat thread is separate... is it shit the blinds for ~10 days after Friday? Can take a mental pause. Apologies to all, but I am using all available juju to have a warm up so that there is no chance of snow on the 23rd. Surgery I've been waiting for and need desperately is scheduled that day, and I will not have you weenies wishing a storm into existence and messing it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 We are in a snow pattern 86-87 has come up more than once in analog discussions this season. That is the greatest season in my life for snowing every time it possibly could with most events looking like 1-3” ending up 4-6.! Kinda just happened and more reinforcing cold comes in and we well may be snowing Saturday at noon and the temp not above 25 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Let's get two events in one week and then start big game hunting 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Getting gusty, blowing snow. Gotta love it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 4 minutes ago, jacindc said: Apologies to all, but I am using all available juju to have a warm up so that there is no chance of snow on the 23rd. Surgery I've been waiting for and need desperately is scheduled that day, and I will not have you weenies wishing a storm into existence and messing it up. I hope there are cars in ditches and/or abandoned on the side of the road that day. I hope your surgeon has to helicopter to your house and perform your surgery on your dining room table. 1 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 I'm joking @jacindc. In all seriousness I hope you get it done and recover quickly friend. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 32 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Out my back window. 7.2" Storm Total. Dan’l Are you well stocked with proper squirrel and muskrat vittles during this winter siege? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just now, stormtracker said: I'm joking @jacindc. In all seriousness I hope you get it done and recover quickly friend. Hah ha, no worries, and thank you. At this point I'd be Just Fine with dining room table surgery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 33 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Let be known that I created this under duress. Doing so may well darken your image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 33 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Stop exciting Randy (unfortunately i don't know his last name) so much. Its Leggings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AACOUNTYMD Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Hello Everyone- Big time lurker. . . like big time. Thanks for keeping me and all my friends in the know. if you will indulge me, can I ask when the start time for the snow on Friday will be? Over night Thursday? Or Friday morning. Thanks much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 16 Author Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Let's get two events in one week and then start big game hunting We are on a heater! Demolishment is still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 37 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Stop exciting Randy (unfortunately i don't know his last name) so much. Diggler 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 18 minutes ago, jacindc said: Hah ha, no worries, and thank you. At this point I'd be Just Fine with dining room table surgery. ... though it just occurred to me that since I'm having it done at Georgetown, there's no worries about snow anyway. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 14 minutes ago, AACOUNTYMD said: Hello Everyone- Big time lurker. . . like big time. Thanks for keeping me and all my friends in the know. if you will indulge me, can I ask when the start time for the snow on Friday will be? Over night Thursday? Or Friday morning. Thanks much As of now, most guidance sees this as a snow beginning Friday AM and ending Friday PM. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 4 hours ago, mattie g said: I thought the 12z was a bit more consolidated around the Lakes and actually dug some more. I might be wrong, but if that had gone out about 6-12 more hours it may have looked halfway decent. Extrapolated NAM leading the way! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 i need a 3 paragraph post from PSU about February 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Ji said: i need a 3 paragraph post from PSU about February Use chatgpt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said: Use chatgpt Word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 24 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said: Use chatgpt I used the Google version which is vastly inferior, and a pretty crappy prompt. The results were, somewhat lacking. You get what you pay for in this case... ---- The Blizzard Bearer of DC: PSU's Forecast Furore PSU, or "Predictive Snow Unicorn" as he was affectionately (and sometimes mockingly) known on the American Weather Forum, wasn't your typical meteorologist. Sure, he had the charts, the models, the lingo like "geopotential heights" and "frontogenesis" tripping off his tongue with ease. But PSU had something more – an almost uncanny ability to feel the whisper of blizzards, a sixth sense for snowflakes swirling on the horizon. He'd post on the forum, not with dry data dumps, but with poetic pronouncements like: "I smell salt in the air, friends, and the wind whispers of fury. Hold onto your hats, the Atlantic's brewing a beast." Or, "Ice crystals clinging to my beard, folks. Winter's flexing its muscles, and the Mid-Atlantic's about to get flexed on." His warnings, tinged with whimsy, were never disregarded. Local news channels clamored for interviews, the National Weather Service lurked in his forum threads, and snow shovel manufacturers secretly offered him sponsorship deals. But fame wasn't PSU's game. He reveled in the power to warn, to prepare towns for the white-knuckled ride of a blizzard. He'd track storms like chess pieces, his posts rallying points for communities bracing for the onslaught. When his forecasts unfurled with chilling accuracy, he wasn't smug, but relieved. Lives saved, roofs secured, children sledding with glee amidst the aftermath – that was his reward. So, next time a winter wind carries a hint of salt and your town buzzes with whispers of "PSU's called it again," remember: the Blizzard Bearer of DC is just doing his duty, translating the snow's symphony for those willing to listen. 1 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Dan’l Are you well stocked with proper squirrel and muskrat vittles during this winter siege? Lol, yeah good to go,lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 NAM seemed like a nice run, even though its the NAM past 48hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 hours ago, jacindc said: Apologies to all, but I am using all available juju to have a warm up so that there is no chance of snow on the 23rd. Surgery I've been waiting for and need desperately is scheduled that day, and I will not have you weenies wishing a storm into existence and messing it up. Wishing you the best. I had to drive my son to surgery during a snow/ice storm in 2019. Definitely added a layer of stress. Right now you look pretty safe for that date! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 is there a slight can kick of when the pattern changes back? @Bob Chillalways say add a week to it--so that would take us to Feb 6 instead of January 30th....EPS still have above normal temps late Jan even though the pattern is clearly changing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 We should be fine by early February. There is a Stratosphere warming happening now https://ibb.co/59rRrb2 My issue is after the coldest day of the year Jan 27th, we have recently had a tendency to warm up real fast, especially in late February. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 50 minutes ago, Ji said: is there a slight can kick of when the pattern changes back? @Bob Chillalways say add a week to it--so that would take us to Feb 6 instead of January 30th....EPS still have above normal temps late Jan even though the pattern is clearly changing From what I see, temps will keep us shut out for about a week. Then back to favorable temps by Feb 1st. Maybe a day or 2 before. But that's just temps. How quick something breaks right is just wild guessing for now. If we're on a true back half heater, we may not have to wait long. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 5 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: We are in a snow pattern 86-87 has come up more than once in analog discussions this season. That is the greatest season in my life for snowing every time it possibly could with most events looking like 1-3” ending up 4-6.! Kinda just happened and more reinforcing cold comes in and we well may be snowing Saturday at noon and the temp not above 25 A repeat of Jan and Feb 87 would be just HORRIBLE, lol. 33 inches in Jan and another 16.3 in Feb here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Might not be exactly what we were expecting, but after maybe a one week milder period, this type of pattern can get us back to normal pretty quick. As is, it looks somewhat like 2015, but there are hints of Scandi ridging retrograding. Latest Euro weeklies depict a longwave pattern progression from that^ to this for mid Feb. Can kick? Maybe. Subjective. I don't see any indication of a shit the blinds pattern going forward. My wag is we see a -NAO episode Feb into March. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: Might not be exactly what we were expecting, but after maybe a one week milder period, this type of pattern can get us back to normal pretty quick. As is, it looks somewhat like 2015, but there are hints of Scandi ridging retrograding. Latest Euro weeklies depict a longwave pattern progression from that^ to this for mid Feb. Can kick? Maybe. Subjective. I don't see any indication of a shit the blinds pattern going forward. My wag is we see a -NAO episode Feb into March. Is there any hint of the active stormy snowy pattern advertised on seasonal models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 47 minutes ago, CAPE said: Might not be exactly what we were expecting, but after maybe a one week milder period, this type of pattern can get us back to normal pretty quick. As is, it looks somewhat like 2015, but there are hints of Scandi ridging retrograding. Latest Euro weeklies depict a longwave pattern progression from that^ to this for mid Feb. Can kick? Maybe. Subjective. I don't see any indication of a shit the blinds pattern going forward. My wag is we see a -NAO episode Feb into March. Depressing that it looks like we might go another year without a HECS. We have to be closing in on the longest gap in between HECS that we have ever had. 2 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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