stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, yoda said: FO........................................ I mean...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 It’s not 12z but it’s good enough to keep my interest. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Still going at 147. def some coastal enhancement in there I think...it's almost like Tuesday was supposed to be, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just a slightly deeper dig, and this has nuke potential 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Its not 12z but I'd hit that 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 to 4 for the cities...about 4 to 6 from AA county east and like 6 to 8 over the entirety of DE 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: 2 to 4 for the cities...about 4 to 6 from AA county east and like 6 to 8 over the entirety of DE @CAPE accepts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Just a slightly deeper dig, and this has nuke potential You aren’t kidding. It’s a slight amplitide Away from capturing the developing coastal. It’s trapped from climbing past our latitude by the flow. If it can get captured by the energy at the tail of the trough….boom 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 We can’t get hurt by suppression twice in a row right? So… right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 way better this run w the tpv and main wave seperation(12z vs 18z vs 0z) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: You aren’t kidding. It’s a slight amplitide Away from capturing the developing coastal. It’s trapped from climbing past our latitude by the flow. If it can get captured by the energy at the tail of the trough….boom 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It’s not 12z but it’s good enough to keep my interest. 12z had a much stronger s/w crashing into the PAC NW...not sure where it came from but the orientation and the strength was instrumental i think in it digging 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: way better this run w the tpv and main wave seperation(12z vs 18z vs 0z) Did they feed PSU’s drawings into the Gfs as input? Hmmm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, baltosquid said: We can’t get hurt by suppression twice in a row right? So… right where we want it. You didn't tell us you just moved here. Welcome man. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: unacceptable in a winter where 09-10 was a top analog 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, Ji said: unacceptable in a winter where 09-10 was a top analog These are just teasers. Our two hecs come in Mid Feb and early March. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, Ji said: unacceptable in a winter where 09-10 was a top analog Maybe it was 1909-10. That was a dicey season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 31 minutes ago, Terpeast said: TPV is way east, more into 50/50. Might help Very notable and important trend over the last few runs imo. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I am currently enjoying a Martini and biding time before the Euro. There’s a non zero chance that i might be yelling man down before then. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I am currently enjoying a Martini and biding time before the Euro. There’s a non zero chance that i might be yelling man down before then. I think we may bring the Mon-Tues event home now….F the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 NSFW screenshot here 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 ok, so...so far Euro is pretty similar vs 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Now switching to comparing 0z vs 12z....def some h5 changes...nothing wacky so far...s/w out west is stronger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 The SW in question seems a little stronger and a little south of 12z at 102 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Its going to be a better run, BUT it's all relative. Won't get to where we want, but there is increase in aerial coverage of precip where there is some in the south where there was none before. Snow on our doorstep at 129hr 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Its going to be a better run, BUT it's all relative. Won't get to where we want, but there is increase in aerial coverage of precip where there is some in the south where there was none before. Snow on our doorstep at 129hr none of the other panels are past day 4, but for some reason the h5 updated out to day 5.5 on wxbell. I can tell its better but not like that 12z GFS run...but its a significant difference from the 12z euro. Much closer to something big but the SW looks like it needed to be slightly more amplified to get it done. But huge move in the right direction from 12z IMO. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Definitely a wetter run so far...like I said, nothing to jump for joy over, but it's a definite improvement 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Definitely a wetter run so far...like I said, nothing to jump for joy over, but it's a definite improvement I just wanna hear… Folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Definitely a wetter run so far...like I said, nothing to jump for joy over, but it's a definite improvement Except this one is still way out there considering how volatile it is...this is a NS dominant event not a STJ wave that is likely to be resolved at longer leads. The general pattern is pretty darn good for this one, all the parts are there we just need that SW to be a little more amplified and come in a bit further south and both those trends were evident on this run. I just want to be in the game at this stage. This definitely keeps me invested. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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