mattie g Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Don't know why we can't seem to have snow-cover when we get a cold snap like that...don't think it's happened since 2014! It's because we often warm up after our decent snows and it takes time for the cold to get reestablished. We'll even lose snowcover when we get cold following moderate snow because of insolation/melt or sublimation. There are rarer times when we get extended snowcover and cold, but it's simply not our climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: H/T to @mitchnick: Ukie is amped. 995mb over ACY. Is that snow map above the amped Ukie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, BristowWx said: Is that snow map above the amped Ukie? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 21 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Only place above freezing on the east coast is the southern half of Florida. Whatever does fall is going to be a glacier. If its about 15 around DC at 1am then unless there was a strong cold frontb 8 or so hours before then daytime highs preceding and following ranging 25-30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, StormyClearweather said: Ukie Not a good trend. I will add that we are still a good ways away from this. Plenty of time for change. And for once I’d say slower is better. If this ends up a late Tues/We storm it might be a good thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Uncle is now over amplified. Model pendulums today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm gonna keep it real I would rather the storm fade into oblivion then this be a NW of 95 special. Sorry Temps sort of weird on the UKMET, we get a decent slug of precip: but this is the warmest panel at the surface, amped/sleet/rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'm gonna keep it real I would rather the storm fade into oblivion then this be a NW of 95 special. Sorry Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not a good trend. I will add that we are still a good ways away from this. Plenty of time for change. And for once I’d say slower is better. If this ends up a late Tues/We storm it might be a good thing It's because the Ukie is overamplied. So I'd say we're in between with the JV models on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I'm gonna keep it real I would rather the storm fade into oblivion then this be a NW of 95 special. Sorry SN anywhere in the region is a good thing ... I hope you get 8" ... ... and I get 18. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Lol it's an IMBY game and I'm a selfish mf. No apologies 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Really cold...like next week's cold Didn’t you always complain though that you don’t look as svelt in a warm parka in a rowdy cowboy bar?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Uncle is now over amplified. Model pendulums today at this point ill take over amplified instead of under-amplified especially with a good air mass 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Temps sort of weird on the UKMET, we get a great slug of precip: but this is the warmest panel at the surface --- with 850 temps at freezing on 95. so, sleet? That's the 0Z Here's 12Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Not a good trend. I will add that we are still a good ways away from this. Plenty of time for change. And for once I’d say slower is better. If this ends up a late Tues/We storm it might be a good thing The low isn’t se and it isn’t the euro so it’s fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 21 minutes ago, CAPE said: 12z GEFS a bit further south/offshore compared to 6z. 850’s in the teens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, WEATHER53 said: Didn’t you always complain though that you don’t look as svelt in a warm parka in a rowdy cowboy bar?? I mean, it's truth. I'm quite the specimen. I would link up the Instagram, but you and all of the straight men here would become crooked. <sashays away> 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Ji said: at this point ill take over amplified instead of under-amplified especially with a good air mass Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Anyone have 13z NBM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Anyone have 13z NBM? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, StormyClearweather said: That's the 0Z Here's 12Z. thanks, edited my post. the amped-ness warms i-95 above freezing, and less precip overall. 850s not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 5 minutes ago, Ji said: at this point ill take over amplified instead of under-amplified especially with a good air mass Always 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: NBM keeps getting worse 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 What’s everyone gut tell them about 12z Euro? More disappointment or throws us a bone and a middle of the road solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 What’s everyone gut tell them about 12z Euro? More disappointment or throws us a bone and a middle of the road solution? Disappointment is my opinion. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, Buddy1987 said: What’s everyone gut tell them about 12z Euro? More disappointment or throws us a bone and a middle of the road solution? I think it's going to hold and we'll all be inconsolable until 18z. 1 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: NBM keeps getting worse Isn't it a blend of models? Isn't the blend of models getting a bit worse? Wouldn't that be the expected result of the blended output? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, AmericanWxFreak said: Isn't it a blend of models? Isn't the blend of models getting a bit worse? Wouldn't that be the expected result of the blended output? yes, yes, and yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, BristowWx said: NBM keeps getting worse A bit of a drop off from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 PSU has been silent. We all know what's going on here....brace for it later 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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