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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming


Jebman
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19 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range

This is the bottom line.

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1 minute ago, mattie g said:

I *suppose* I'd take 4" falling on top of whatever's left of the 9" I got just three days before...which would be a decent amount since it'll be cold.

If we can get snowcover, I’d say widespread single digit lows are pretty likely. 

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4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

The Euro is going to save us.  

Well at least it's impossible for it to be worse than 12z, lol I mean ya can't worse than nothing...Now if it hold serve, it's hard to imagine other guidance not caving to it. Then again, there is a lot of chaos with this one...

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Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Don't know why we can't seem to have snow-cover when we get a cold snap like that...don't think it's happened since 2014!

Feb 2015 did. But otherwise I think the coldest days the last 7 years have been of the frozen mud variety.

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