nukeing Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I don't see anything to hate about a few area wide inches with temps solidly below freezing 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: GFS has snow. I'm not sure why everyone is crying. probably because some might think that this run was just a stop along the way to euro town. on that logic 18z should be half of the 2-4 which was 6-8 at 6z...you know the drill 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, yoda said: If we can stay on the right side... the B and W maps show a big hit We are on the right side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, WxUSAF said: Through 96 it’s southeast of 0z, but it’s a big storm and it’s turning up the coast… 108 is 994 inside benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Dont know about "big hit", but the GGEM/CMC is a hit. Might be the best I've seen of it so far 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, yoda said: 108 is 994 inside benchmark Yep, its FOLKS worthy, if only the CMC looked like the GFS and GFS showed the Canadian solution...I'd be a lot happier, but good to see it stay with a solid evolution. No kicker up in the PNW like Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Yeah, CMC is good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Some will complain on here about the GFS cutting totals in half. Just saying... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 GGEM doesn’t look like a complete phase, but looks pretty good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 CMC definitely trended SE, as has the GFS. Let's hope this is the compromise that the Euro gets to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Some will complain on here about the GFS cutting totals in half. Just saying... 2-5 area wide we'd all take right now. What people worry is it cuts in half, then if it cuts in half again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Canada ftw. Its a nice hit. Especially NE of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Models be like 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 15 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: A really early call would say this ends better. I’ll grab a towel just in case This may be the worst post in history 2 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, Terpeast said: CMC definitely trended SE, as has the GFS. Let's hope this is the compromise that the Euro gets to Differences between runs are again with how shortwaves 2 and 3 interact and how strong they are. 6z gfs had a lot more interaction between them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 CMC dives the TPV west and south into the backside of the trough. GFS has it oriented E-W so it acts to flatten out on the gfs. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 CMC clown maps look great. Let’s hope this actually happens. Would be good for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 CMC full weenie map, lol 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 GGEM is 6-9” right among 95. Gradient is over @usedtobes house. @psuhoffmanslightly fringed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: So basically...until we get to the short range, mentally treat Day 4 like Day 7-8 Right now 24 hours and inside is only sure safety, even just inside 3 days has wild swings and differing final outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, Paleocene said: CMC full weenie map, lol Now we are talking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Paleocene said: CMC full weenie map, lol This looks like a chattanooga choo choo, just saying for those old enthusiasts. The long stripe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, LP08 said: CMC dives the TPV west and south into the backside of the trough. GFS has it oriented E-W so it acts to flatten out on the gfs. Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range Absolutely, we've seen the TPV modeled differently in location and orientation on almost every run of every model this week. Subtle differences having big impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Now we are talking! its the GGEM though...that model gives us 200 inches of digital snow a year all to take it back 24 hours before the storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Please hug a Canadian today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 IMO, Icon, GFS, and GGEM are all solutions that have been in the envelope of the storm for the past 48 hours. Differences are in shortwave details. I don’t see any of them as “moving toward the euro” , at least in isolation. 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, Terpeast said: Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range I thought H5 looked good early on with the trough then the TPV stretched E-W and flattened the flow out in front. Notice the CMC has that EURO kicker but it doesn't matter in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Um, the GFS at 171...trying something...let's see 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Watch the Euro bring a big Dog back now...... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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