clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:04 PM, stormtracker said: Wide spread 2-5. Expand And it would stick around for a while. I think we all would take that in a heartbeat. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nukeing Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 I don't see anything to hate about a few area wide inches with temps solidly below freezing 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:03 PM, Eskimo Joe said: GFS has snow. I'm not sure why everyone is crying. Expand probably because some might think that this run was just a stop along the way to euro town. on that logic 18z should be half of the 2-4 which was 6-8 at 6z...you know the drill 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:04 PM, yoda said: If we can stay on the right side... the B and W maps show a big hit Expand We are on the right side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:05 PM, WxUSAF said: Through 96 it’s southeast of 0z, but it’s a big storm and it’s turning up the coast… Expand 108 is 994 inside benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Dont know about "big hit", but the GGEM/CMC is a hit. Might be the best I've seen of it so far 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:06 PM, yoda said: 108 is 994 inside benchmark Expand Yep, its FOLKS worthy, if only the CMC looked like the GFS and GFS showed the Canadian solution...I'd be a lot happier, but good to see it stay with a solid evolution. No kicker up in the PNW like Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Yeah, CMC is good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Some will complain on here about the GFS cutting totals in half. Just saying... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 GGEM doesn’t look like a complete phase, but looks pretty good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 CMC definitely trended SE, as has the GFS. Let's hope this is the compromise that the Euro gets to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:07 PM, LeesburgWx said: Some will complain on here about the GFS cutting totals in half. Just saying... Expand 2-5 area wide we'd all take right now. What people worry is it cuts in half, then if it cuts in half again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Canada ftw. Its a nice hit. Especially NE of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Models be like 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 3:54 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: A really early call would say this ends better. I’ll grab a towel just in case Expand This may be the worst post in history 2 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:08 PM, Terpeast said: CMC definitely trended SE, as has the GFS. Let's hope this is the compromise that the Euro gets to Expand Differences between runs are again with how shortwaves 2 and 3 interact and how strong they are. 6z gfs had a lot more interaction between them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 CMC dives the TPV west and south into the backside of the trough. GFS has it oriented E-W so it acts to flatten out on the gfs. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 CMC clown maps look great. Let’s hope this actually happens. Would be good for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 CMC full weenie map, lol 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 GGEM is 6-9” right among 95. Gradient is over @usedtobes house. @psuhoffmanslightly fringed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 2:43 PM, Maestrobjwa said: So basically...until we get to the short range, mentally treat Day 4 like Day 7-8 Expand Right now 24 hours and inside is only sure safety, even just inside 3 days has wild swings and differing final outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:11 PM, Paleocene said: CMC full weenie map, lol Expand Now we are talking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:11 PM, Paleocene said: CMC full weenie map, lol Expand This looks like a chattanooga choo choo, just saying for those old enthusiasts. The long stripe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:11 PM, LP08 said: CMC dives the TPV west and south into the backside of the trough. GFS has it oriented E-W so it acts to flatten out on the gfs. Expand Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:12 PM, Terpeast said: Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range Expand Absolutely, we've seen the TPV modeled differently in location and orientation on almost every run of every model this week. Subtle differences having big impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:12 PM, LeesburgWx said: Now we are talking! Expand its the GGEM though...that model gives us 200 inches of digital snow a year all to take it back 24 hours before the storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Please hug a Canadian today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 IMO, Icon, GFS, and GGEM are all solutions that have been in the envelope of the storm for the past 48 hours. Differences are in shortwave details. I don’t see any of them as “moving toward the euro” , at least in isolation. 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 On 1/12/2024 at 4:12 PM, Terpeast said: Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range Expand I thought H5 looked good early on with the trough then the TPV stretched E-W and flattened the flow out in front. Notice the CMC has that EURO kicker but it doesn't matter in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2024 Share Posted January 12, 2024 Um, the GFS at 171...trying something...let's see 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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