Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming

[winter_warlock]

Just now, Interstate said:

Slow night for the GFS?  Nothing on tropical tidbits. 

GFS must be more confused than usual  lol

[NorthArlington101]

It’s rolling on WeatherBell… @stormtracker is it rolling on SV or do you need help?

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

Def some changes with the pac wave that comes on shore at 50-60 hours. See how that plays out


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Looks a little slower to me. Or flatter

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

Slow night for the GFS?  Nothing on tropical tidbits. 

I’m on pivotal weather

[Ji]

Don't think it was an excuse...the fact that we're seeing a possible change now actually lends more credence to that idea.

Not an excuse but the Midwest storm is tomorrow. The models should have a good handle by now

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk

[stormtracker]

slightly better ridging out west...slight higher heights out front

[Heisy]

Gfs has slightly stronger tpv press, my early guess would be this comes SE of 18z


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[stormtracker]

now heights are a bit lower...precip does look a hair more S and E vs 18z

[stormtracker]

Just now, Heisy said:

Gfs has slightly stronger tpv press, my early guess would be this comes SE of 18z


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Concur so far

[stormtracker]

It's going to be SE..it's just a matter of how much rn

[Heisy]

This will be a nailbiter, ugh, idk about this run boys, sloppier phase going on


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[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, Heisy said:

This will be a nailbiter, ugh, idk about this run boys, sloppier phase going on


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H5 It's Euro-esque

[Terpeast]

Looks SE from earlier runs today, but not as suppressed as 0z/11

i take that back, even more S

[WhiteoutMD]

Icon ish…


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[stormtracker]

Precip entering the area at 111

[NorthArlington101]

Precip entering the area at 111

Generous depiction of events

[stormtracker]

117 broad  elongated low forming along the coast of  NC/VA.  Light retuns over the area

[TSSN+]

This hobby is stupid lol 

[stormtracker]

definitely smashed S and E, precip nowhere near as heavy/signficant over the area.  Sigh...storm is still there tho.  Light snow still going at 126

[stormtracker]

129 moderate snow over and SE of 1-95

[LeesburgWx]

I’m with Ji. It’s never a trend for the better. If the Euro has no snow and the GFS does, the Euro wins. If the Euro has snow but the GFS doesn’t; the GFS wins. Every damn time.

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, stormtracker said:

definitely smashed S and E, precip nowhere near as heavy/signficant over the area.  Sigh...storm is still there tho.  Light snow still going at 126

I'd take that as a Prelude...as long as that's what it is and that the main show(s) are later 

[stormtracker]

It's not a disaster if you want to see snow.  But def not as exciting as 12z

Precip at 132 is still actually decent.

[adelphi_sky]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

This hobby is stupid lol 

Compared to day-trading, this is nothing. Not only do you get emotional when the market swings, you also lose or gain money. lol At least this hobby has o financial impact. :-)

[Terpeast]

Trend points to a rug pull

[NorthArlington101]

It's not a disaster if you want to see snow.  But def not as exciting as 12z

ends up being an area wide 4-6” assuming ratios by the grace of whoever you believe in. Won’t be on the roads though… can plow it at the .25”/hr rate

[NorthArlington101]

It's not a disaster if you want to see snow.  But def not as exciting as 12z

ends up being an area wide 4-6” assuming ratios by the grace of whoever you believe in. Won’t be on the roads though… can plow it at the .25”/hr rate

[TSSN+]

Not a weather map you usually see. 

[stormtracker]

Verbatim it's how you'd think it would be. 3 to 5 for the city S and E More over St Marys county, northern neck

[Allsnow]

He 129 mod snow for everyone