Maestrobjwa Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Man why'd the Euro have to go and farther earlier? Even the air freshener of this happy hour gfs didn't completely cover up the stink. Model chaos...one of the most frustrating parts of this hobby! We'll see who caves to who...but as of now, Euro vs. everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: the euro 100% In the end, it will probably screw me though lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 976mb in Maine.. it starts phasing with the northern system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 976mb in Maine.. it starts phasing with the northern system. Don't give a S about Maine Chuck 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Looking good on the snow depth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 minute ago, CAPE said: 100% In the end, it will probably screw me though lol. I’m off all next week. Wanna meet up and chase? I’ll bring the food, you bring the beer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 At 15z Tuesday the GFS places the LP inside of Hatteras. That is very important for inland areas! The EURO will cave at 00Z IMAO........................ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, you're almost at immunity from ban line. one of my faves Hilarious movie, with one of the best movie-rants ever by Steve Martin! 13 minutes ago, stormtracker said: FOLKS.... I'm guessing "FOLKS..." is the new "Jaws music"!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Alright alright let’s see some clown maps for shits and giggles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Just now, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Hilarious movie, with one of the best movie-rants ever by Steve Martin! I'm guessing "FOLKS..." is the new "Jaws music"!! Pretty much. Gotta switch it up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 18Z GFS looks almost like a cross between the Euro and CMC (Euro almost nothing or too far out, CMC too close and warm)...I'm speaking in terms of the outcome, sort of. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I’m off all next week. Wanna meet up and chase? I’ll bring the food, you bring the beer I have a class to teach. Tbh, I wouldn't even be able to enjoy this one. Still want some damn snow though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 I’m greedy. How much more can we squeeze out of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 That run was da bomb 9 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 In all seriousness, it was a pretty solid run for a SECS, bordering MECS with the current environment. Would love to see the ECMWF get on board. By this weekend, we’ll have a good idea of the potential. This is one of the best ways to score around these parts. You’ll get some solid baroclinicity in this type of evolution. Great banding on the NW side as play within the prime isotherms of -4C, and the holy grail of -12C to -18C within the 850-600mb region. GFS is a beaut. Still more worried about a no-storm or something suppressed given the flow up top. We take and proceed with caution. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: That run was da bomb For you lol. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Question, for those who have delved deeper into this than I have. There's been discussion that the models won't have the best handle on this system until the GL cutter moves out (approx. Saturday). How have the Euro and GFS handled the location, strength, etc. of that cutter relative to each other? Obviously that's not the only piece here but it is a big player in the overall setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 This is what we should have when there is a block over the Davis Strait like this. 2 jets underneath of it.. perhaps phasing. look at this potential energy on the 18z gfs run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 15 minutes ago, Terpeast said: GFS doubles down. Your move, Euro. 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: which would you rather have now? Given where everything else is I’m glad the euro is where it is. If the euro and gfs were both flush hits and the gem uk NW we would be worried about it going NW. right now the median of all guidance is a hit and that’s not a bad spot. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 6 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: I’m greedy. How much more can we squeeze out of this? 6-12 area wide —> cold temps —> snowpack for a week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: In all seriousness, it was a pretty solid run for a SECS, bordering MECS with the current environment. Would love to see the ECMWF get on board. By this weekend, we’ll have a good idea of the potential. This is one of the best ways to score around these parts. You’ll get some solid baroclinicity in this type of evolution. Great banding on the NW side as play within the prime isotherms of -4C, and the holy grail of -12C to -18C within the 850-600mb region. GFS is a beaut. Still more worried about a no-storm or something suppressed given the flow up top. We take and proceed with caution. Thing I like about this is how the cold air (in the GFS) is still pretty well locked despite the low tucking in a bit more. Just looking at the 2-m temps, for instance, it's in the mid-20s to near 30ish throughout Tuesday before they crash that evening. Mid-levels do get dicey-er during Tuesday for a time, but no point parsing such details at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Every time a storm To make PSU et all happy. It makes me say 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Da F… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, H2O said: Every time a storm To make PSU et all happy. It makes me say 2 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 GEFS is gonna be a huge move from 12z… . 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 Follow the finger of snow it points the way to a big dog. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 1 minute ago, Heisy said: GEFS is gonna be a huge move from 12z… . ???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2024 Share Posted January 11, 2024 ????It’s gonna be good . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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